Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 5/11/2024

The Houston Astros (14-24) travel to face off against the Detroit Tigers (19-19) on Saturday, May 11th. This game will be played at Comerica Park in Detroit and televised on BSDET. The Astros are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Tigers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Astros. First pitch is set for 6:10 ET.

Astros vs Tigers

houston astros nba

Houston picked up a 5-2 road win over the Tigers in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a huge 8th inning, scoring four of their five runs. As for the Tigers, they scored their only two runs in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Astros were favored at -149 on the money line.

Framber Valdez got the win for the Astros, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with just four strikeouts and allowed two home runs. Josh Hader got the save. Andrew Chafin took the loss for the Tigers out of the bullpen.

Kyle Tucker and Yordan Alvarez each homered for the Astros, while Jeremy Pena scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/4. Andy Ibanez had a two-hit game for the Tigers.

The Astros are on the road today, taking on the Tigers, and they lead the series 1-0 after taking the series opener. Houston comes into today’s game seven games out of the AL West lead, and they are 14-24 overall. So far, they have gone just 5-5 against other teams in the AL West.

At home, the Astros are 7-12 this year, and they are also 7-12 on the road. This season, the Astros have really struggled as the favorite, going 11-19. As for their record as the underdog, it is 3-5 this year. Houston’s overall series record is 4-7-1, and they have dropped two straight series.

The Astros are 14-24 against the run line this season, including a 7-12 mark at home and on the road. They have covered in two straight games on the road and are 4-4 as an underdog. Houston’s average run differential in games they’ve won is +4.6, while it’s -3.8 in losses.

When the Astros play, the over/under line has been set at 7 runs just once this season, and that game went under. The combined run average in Astros games this season is 9.5 runs per game, and the team’s over/under record is 13-23. The under has hit in two straight games for Houston.

Cristian Javier Gets The Start For The Astros

Cristian Javier is on the mound for the Astros today, as they take on the Tigers on the road. Javier has been solid through his first two starts of the season, going 1-0 with a win over the Blue Jays and a no-decision against the Royals. In his last start, he went 7 innings and gave up 2 earned runs, and he has 12 strikeouts in 12 1/3 innings of work so far.

Astros Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Astros are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the MLB. As a team, the Astros are batting .257, which is 3rd in the league, and they also lead the league in fewest strikeouts per game. Houston also has the league’s top home run hitter in Kyle Tucker, who is also 8th in the league in RBIs.

Jose Altuve comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak and is batting .325 for the season. He is also 2nd on the team with seven homers. Kyle Tucker has also been hot of late, going 12/32 in his last nine games, but he is just 5/31 in that stretch.

Detroit is an even 19-19 on the season, and they are 4.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. The Tigers have dropped two straight games heading into today’s matchup vs. the Astros. So far, they have gone 10-6 in divisional games this season.

At home, the Tigers are 8-10 this season compared to an 11-9 mark on the road. Detroit has dropped two straight series and has an overall series record of 6-4-2 this year. As the home favorite, the Tigers are 6-6 this year and 9-7 overall as the favorite.

When the Tigers win, they do so by an average of 2.8 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 2.6 runs per game. They have a run line record of 18-20 on the season, with a 13-7 mark on the road. At home, they are just 5-13 vs. the run line. As the favorite, they are just 3-13, but as the underdog, they are 15-7.

The Detroit Tigers have played 33 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 7 runs, which accounts for 86.8% of their games. Their combined run average is 7.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 17-19. Today’s over/under line is set at 7 runs, and the Tigers’ over/under record when the line is set at 7 runs is 3-1. Their games this season have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game.

Tarik Skubal Gets The Start For The Tigers

Tarik Skubal gets the start for the Tigers today and is facing the Astros at home. So far this season, he has made seven starts and has a record of 4-0. Skubal’s ERA is an impressive 1.90, along with a WHIP of .77. The left-hander has turned in five quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he had 12 strikeouts. In that start vs. the Yankees, he gave up two earned runs in six innings of work. Skubal has been especially tough at home, with an ERA of 2.45 compared to 1.0 on the road.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

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Andy Ibáñez has been swinging a hot bat for the Tigers of late, going 9/23 in his last eight games with two homers. He also has a three-game hitting streak coming into today’s game. Overall, Ibáñez is batting .391 in his last eight games, and he has six runs batted in during this stretch. Riley Greene has also homered twice in his last eight games, but he has gone just 8/33 during this stretch.

For the season, Greene is batting .254 with a team-high 17 RBIs and nine homers, which is 4th in the league. Mark Canha is 2nd on the team with 16 RBIs and is batting .240 for the season. As a team, the Tigers are averaging 4 runs per game and are 20th in the league in scoring.

Astros vs Tigers Prediction

Our prediction for this Astros vs. Tigers matchup is to take the Astros on the money line, with the payout currently sitting at +112. We actually have the Astros winning this one by a score of 5-4, so if you are looking to play the over/under line, we would go with the over, as the line is currently sitting at 7 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Cristian Javier finishing with five strikeouts compared to Tarik Skubal, who we have finishing with five as well. However, we have Skubal going fewer innings, and he is projected to give up more runs than Javier.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.