Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 5/12/2024

The Houston Astros (14-25) travel to face off against the Detroit Tigers (20-19) on Sunday, May 12th. This game will be played at Comerica Park in Detroit and televised on MLBN. The Tigers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Astros are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Tigers. First pitch is set for 1:40 ET.

Astros vs Tigers

houston astros nba

Detroit cruised to an easy 8-2 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Tigers had a huge 2nd inning, scoring seven of their eight runs. As for the Astros, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Tigers were favored at -158 on the money line.

Tarik Skubal pitched well for the Tigers in this one, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued two walks. Cristian Javier had a rough outing for the Astros, giving up seven earned runs in just 1 1/3 innings of work.

Kerry Carpenter hit the game’s only two home runs while going 2/5 with five RBIs. Mark Canha also had a good game at the plate, going 1/3 with four RBIs.

Houston is on the road today vs. the Tigers with an overall record of 14-25, which has them 5th in the AL West. Currently, they trail the Rangers by seven games, and they are 5-5 in divisional games. The Astros are looking to get back to .500 in their series, as their overall series record is 4-7-1 and have dropped two straight series.

At home, the Astros are 7-12 this year and just below .500 at 7-13 on the road. So far, they have really struggled in day games, going 3-9 this year. As the favorite, the Astros are 11-19 and 3-6 as the underdog. Houston’s overall record has them 11 games below .500, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.

When the Astros win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.6 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.9 runs per game. Overall, their run line record is 14-25, with a run line record of 7-13 on the road.

The over/under line for the Houston Astros’ game against the Detroit Tigers is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their average combined run total of 9.5 runs per game this season. The Astros’ over/under record for the year is 14-23, and they have played in games with an average line of 9 runs. In games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs, the Astros are 1-3 on the year, and 89.7% of their games have had higher lines than 7.5 runs.

Justin Verlander Gets The Start For The Astros

Justin Verlander will be making his 4th start of the season today, as he takes on his former team, the Detroit Tigers. Verlander has a win and 2 no-decisions on the year, but is coming off a tough outing against the Yankees, where he took the loss, giving up 7 runs in 5 innings.

Astros Offense Breakdown

Jeremy Peña has been tearing the cover off the ball for the Astros, hitting .345 for the season and batting .400 over his last 10 games. During this stretch, he has gone deep once and driven in five runs. Kyle Tucker has also been a big run producer for Houston, as his 26 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 7th in the league. Tucker also leads the Astros with 12 homers but has struggled as of late, hitting just .161 over his last nine games.

As a team, the Astros are batting .257, which is the 3rd best mark in the league, and they are also the top strikeout team in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.3 runs per game, but that number jumps to 4.8 when they are at home. Houston is also among the league leaders in team on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.

Detroit is 20-19 overall and 3.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 10-6 in divisional games. The Tigers will be hosting the Astros today with an overall home record of 9-10.

At home, the Tigers have dropped two straight as the underdog, and they are 2-4 as the underdog overall this year. Detroit has been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 10-7. Their overall series record is 6-4-2, but they have dropped two straight series.

When betting on the Tigers’ run line, it’s worth noting that they have a losing record against the run line at home, but a winning record on the road. They have been a better bet as the underdog compared to the favorite, and their average run margin in games they’ve won is much higher than in games they’ve lost.

The Detroit Tigers have had a combined run average of 7.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 18-19. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 7-6. Overall, 53.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs. In their most recent game, they combined with the Astros for 10 runs, going over the 7.5-run line.

Jack Flaherty Gets The Start For The Tigers

Jack Flaherty has made seven starts this season and has a record of 0-2 with an ERA of 3.86. Looking at his overall numbers, Flaherty has a WHIP of 1.05 and has allowed a total of six home runs. In his last outing, he took the loss, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. One of these hits was a home run. Against the Guardians, he only gave up two hits but one was a homer. Flaherty has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

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Andy Ibáñez has been one of the Tigers’ hottest hitters of late, going 9/23 in his last eight games, including two home runs. Riley Greene has also hit three homers in his last 10 games, but overall, he is batting just .244 in that stretch. Greene and Mark Canha are Detroit’s top power threats, as Greene’s nine homers is 4th in the league and Canha’s six homers is 7th in the MLB. Canha also leads the team with 20 RBIs.

As a team, the Tigers are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. Their team batting average of .229 is also 14th in the league. Detroit’s team on-base percentage and OPS are all near the bottom of the league’s rankings.

Astros vs Tigers Prediction

Our predicted score for this game is 5-4 in favor of the Astros, and with the payout being -116, we like the Astros on the money line. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Justin Verlander finishing with six strikeouts, and Jack Flaherty with 12.

If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look at the over/under, and we would take the over at 7.5. As for the lineups, the Astros are predicted to finish with 11 hits, compared to the Tigers with nine.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.