Houston Astros vs New York Yankees MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Prediction 5/7/2024

The Houston Astros (12-22) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (23-13) on Tuesday, May 7th. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on TBS. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Astros are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mariners. First pitch is set for 7:05 ET.

Astros vs Yankees

houston astros nba

Houston closed out their series vs. the Mariners with a 5-4 loss. Heading into the game, the Astros were the slight favorite at -134 on the money line. Things started off well for the Astros, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Mariners scored twice in the top of the 2nd.

Hunter Brown got the start for the Astros and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on five hits. The Astros’ offense scored their other three runs in thejson 6th, but it wasn’t enough to pick up the win. Jon Singleton had a big game at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

The Astros are on the road today, looking to pick up a win vs. the Yankees, as they are currently 12-22 overall, putting them 4th in the AL West. So far, they are seven games behind the Rangers for the lead in the AL West. Houston lost the final two games of their series vs. the Mariners.

At home, the Astros are 7-12 this season, and they are 5-10 on the road. So far, they have really struggled in day games, going just 3-8 this year. As the underdog, the Astros are 2-0 on the road and 2-3 overall. Their overall record as the underdog is 2-3, and they are 10-19 as the favorite this year. Houston’s overall series record is 4-6-1.

When the Astros win, they win big, with an average run margin of 5.0. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.6 runs. Houston is 12-22 vs. the run line this season, including a 5-10 mark on the road. They are 9-20 vs. the run line as the favorite, but 3-2 as the underdog. Their overall run differential is -0.6 runs per game, but they are actually outscoring opponents by 0.3 runs per game at home.

Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the Astros-Yankees game is significantly lower than the 9.5 combined runs per game that the Astros and their opponents have averaged this season. Houston’s games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs, and their over/under record is 11-21. So far this season, 88.2% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and the over/under record for games with lines higher than 8 runs is 0-0-1.

Justin Verlander Gets The Start For The Astros

Justin Verlander and the Astros are on the road to take on the Yankees. Verlander has been solid in his first two starts, picking up a win against the Nationals and then going 7 innings in a no-decision vs. the Guardians. He has 13 strikeouts in 13 1/3 innings of work and has not allowed a home run yet this season.

Astros Offense Breakdown

Jose Altuve has been swinging the bat well of late, going 7/21 in his last five games and is batting .343 for the season. He also has seven homers, which is 5th in the league and 2nd on the team. Kyle Tucker is 3rd in the league with nine homers and is also the team’s leader in RBIs, with 23. However, Tucker has struggled of late, going just 2/17 in his last five games.

As a team, the Astros are batting .259, which is 3rd in the league, and they are also the top team in terms of fewest strikeouts per game. Overall, they are averaging 4.4 runs per contest, but that number jumps to 4.8 when playing at home.

The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Tigers, closing out their series with a 5-2 win. After allowing one run to the Tigers in the top of the first, the Yankees responded with a run of their own and added another in the 2nd inning. New York went on to close out the scoring with two more runs in the 7th.

Nestor Cortes put together a good start for the Yankees, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just two runs on three hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out nine Tigers batters. Aaron Judge was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a homer and a run scored. The Yankees also had three other players with two hits.

The Yankees are 23-13 this season, putting them just one game behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. New York will be at home today, hosting the Astros, and they have won three straight games, taking the final three games of their series vs. the Tigers. So far, they are 6-7 in AL East matchups.

At home, the Yankees have gone 11-5 this season and are 12-8 on the road. As the favorite, the Yankees are 16-9 this year and 7-4 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 8-2-1 this year.

The Yankees are 6-10 against the run line at home this season, but they have won their last two games against the run line at Yankee Stadium. They are 17-19 overall against the run line, and their average run margin in winning games is 3.3 runs.

When the Yankees play, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. This season, the Yankees have played 34 games with an over/under line set at 8 runs, and the over has hit in 14 of those games. The Yankees’ games have averaged 8.1 runs per game this season, and the over has hit in two straight games.

Luis Gil Gets The Start For The Yankees

Luis Gil gets the start for the Yankees today and is facing the Astros at home. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 2-1 with an ERA of 3.19. Gil has made one quality start this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. In that May 1st start against the Orioles, he went 6 1/3 innings, picking up the win. Looking at his numbers, opponents are batting .152 this year, and his ERA at home is 2.08 compared to 4.08 on the road.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

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So far this season, the Yankees have been a good home run hitting team, as they are 4th in the league in homers. Overall, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game (12th) and are among the league’s best at getting on base, as they have the 3rd best OBP in the league. New York’s team batting average is .246, which is 8th best in the league.

Juan Soto has been a big addition to the Yankees lineup, as he is batting .316 for the season and is 1st on the team with 28 RBIs. Soto is also 4th in the league in RBIs and 4th in the league in homers. Aaron Judge is 2nd on the team in RBIs and has gone 6/23 in his last seven games.

Astros vs Yankees Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Astros vs. Yankees game is that the Yankees will come out on top by a score of 6-5. With the Yankees predicted to win, we recommend taking them on the money line, where the payout is -121.

Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, we have Luis Gil going 8 innings for the Yankees and finishing with five strikeouts. As for Justin Verlander, he is projected to finish with five K’s and go the distance.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.