The Houston Astros (24-29) travel to face off against the Seattle Mariners (28-26) on Monday, May 27th. This game will be played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and televised on MLBN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 9:40 ET.
Astros vs Mariners
The Astros’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Athletics, closing out their series with a 5-2 win. After scoring five runs in the 4th inning, the Astros went on to pick up the 5-2 win. Houston was the heavy favorite going into the game, at -169.
Ronel Blanco put together a good start for the Astros, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Houston’s offense was carried by Kyle Tucker, who went 1/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
The Astros are 3rd in the AL West, trailing the Mariners by 3.5 games. Overall, the Astros are 24-29 as they play on the road today vs. the Mariners. Houston’s record in the AL West is 12-8 heading into today’s game.
At home, the Astros have gone 14-15 this season, and they are just under .500 at 10-14 on the road. As the favorite, the Astros have gone 19-23 this season, and they are 5-6 as the underdog. So far, they have won two straight series on the road, and their overall series record is 8-8-1 this year. Houston closed out their series vs. the Athletics with a win and are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
When it comes to the run line, the Astros have been a team to avoid, as they are just 22-31 on the run line this season. They have been a bit better on the run line at home, going 12-17, compared to 10-14 on the road. As the favorite, they have been especially bad on the run line, going just 16-26, compared to 6-5 as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.2, while it drops to -3.6 in losses.
When the Astros are on the road, the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs for six games this season, and they are 3-3 in those contests. Houston’s games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this year, and the over/under record for the season is 21-29. The over/under line for their games on average is set at 9 runs, and 88.7% of their games have had higher lines than 7.5 runs. Their current under streak is at two games.
Framber Valdez Gets The Start For The Astros
Framber Valdez gets the start for the Astros today as he faces off against the Mariners on the road. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with an ERA of 4.32. Valdez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.32. In his last outing, he got roughed up by the Angels, giving up eight earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had picked up the win in two straight outings. Valdez has a total of five home runs allowed this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.34 strikeouts and 2.59 walks.
Astros Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the league’s top hitting team, with a batting average of .264. They also lead the league in slugging percentage and have the fewest strikeouts in the league. Overall, they are 4th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.6 runs per game. At home, they are averaging 4.9 runs per game.
Kyle Tucker has been the Astros’ top power threat this season, as his 18 home runs are the most in the MLB. He is also 6th in the league with 39 RBIs. Yordan Alvarez is also among the league leaders in home runs, as he and Jose Altuve are tied for 2nd on the team with nine homers apiece. Alvarez is also 3rd on the team with 22 RBIs.
Seattle closed out their series vs. the Nationals with an impressive 9-5 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -177. It was a big 4th inning that really turned things in their favor, as the Mariners scored three runs in the inning. Seattle’s offense added another three runs in the 7th to put things out of reach. The Mariners went on to win 9-5.
Julio Rodriguez was hot at the plate, going 3/5 with a homer and four RBIs. The Mariners really broke things open with a three-run 7th, and Rodriguez added another three-run homer in the 8th. Seattle’s starter, Bryan Woo, went six innings, giving up three runs on five hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.
Seattle opens up their series vs. the Astros with a 28-26 record, good for 1st place in the AL West. Overall, they are 6-3 against other teams in the division, and they currently hold a three-game lead over the Rangers. The Mariners will be looking to get back on track, as they dropped two of three games in their most recent series vs. the Nationals.
At home, the Mariners are 15-10 this season compared to 13-16 on the road. As the underdog, Seattle has dropped two straight, and they are 12-13 overall in games where they were the underdog. As for their record as the favorite, they are 16-13 this season. So far, their series record is 8-7-2.
Seattle has been a tough team to figure out on the run line this season, as they are just under .500 at 26-28. They have been a better bet at home, where they are 13-12 on the run line compared to 13-16 on the road. Their average run differential on the season is just below zero at -0.1 runs per game. When they win, they win big, with an average run differential of 3.2 runs per game in their victories.
Seattle’s games have averaged 7.6 runs per game this season, and the Mariners have an over/under record of 21-30. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, but when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 6-9. Half of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, while just over one-fifth of their games have had lower lines.
Bryce Miller Gets The Start For The Mariners
Right-hander Bryce Miller gets the start for the Mariners today as he faces the Astros at home. Miller has made 10 starts this season and comes in with a record of 3-5 and an ERA of 3.53. So far, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 8.59 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Miller gave up five earned runs in six innings of work, taking the loss. Before that, he had given up just two earned runs in back-to-back outings. Miller has given up at least one homer in three straight starts.
Mariners Offense Breakdown
Cal Raleigh has been the Mariners’ most consistent power threat this season, as his 11 home runs are 7th in the league and lead the team. He also leads the team with 28 RBIs. However, Raleigh is batting just .213 this season. Ty France and Mitch Haniger are tied for 2nd on the team with six homers apiece, with Haniger having 23 RBIs and France at 20.
Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are 28th in runs per game (3.7) and have the worst strikeout rate in the league. They also have a team batting average of just .224. The Mariners do come into the game with the 6th most home runs in the league.
Astros vs Mariners Prediction
With the money line sitting at +109 in favor of the Mariners, that is the direction we would recommend going for this Astros vs. Mariners matchup. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Mariners, meaning there is some value in taking them on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we actually have Bryce Miller finishing with fewer strikeouts than Framber Valdez, but we like Miller to pick up the win more than Valdez. Our projections have Valdez finishing with six strikeouts and Miller with four.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:May 27, 2024 Astros, Mariners