Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 5/28/2024

The Houston Astros (24-30) travel to face off against the Seattle Mariners (29-26) on Tuesday, May 28th. This game will be played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and televised on None. The Mariners are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Astros are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mariners. First pitch is set for 9:40 ET.

Astros vs Mariners

houston astros nba

Seattle picked up a 3-2 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a three-run 1st inning but didn’t score another run until picking up the game-winning run in the 8th. As for the Astros, they scored their only two runs in the 5th.

Julio Rodriguez and J.P. Crawford each had two hits and an RBI for the Mariners. Rodriguez scored the game’s first run in the 1st and then scored the game-winning run in the 8th. Jake Meyers was the only Astros hitter to have more than one hit.

Bryce Miller pitched well for the Mariners in this one, going six innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Andres Munoz closed things out. Framber Valdez had a rough outing for the Astros, taking the loss.

Houston is 24-30 overall and 4.5 games behind the Mariners for the AL West lead. So far, they have gone 12-9 in divisional games. The Astros trail the Rangers by 1 game for the second spot in the AL West standings.

At home, the Astros have gone 14-15 this year compared to 10-15 on the road. The Astros have won two straight games as the underdog, and they are 5-6 as the underdog overall. As the favorite, Houston is 19-24 this year, and their overall series record is 8-8-1.

When the Astros win, they win big, with an average run margin of +4.2. But when they lose, they lose by an average of -3.5 runs. Their overall run line record is 22-32, with a negative run differential of -0.1 runs per game. They have been a better bet on the run line at home, where they are 12-17, compared to 10-15 on the road. They have been a profitable run line bet as an underdog, going 6-5, and have covered the run line in two straight games as the underdog.

The Houston Astros are on the road today against the Seattle Mariners. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 9.1 runs per game. Houston has an over/under record of 21-30 this season. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Astros have gone 3-4. So far this season, 87.0% of Astros games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs. Houston is currently on a streak of three straight games going under the total.

Hunter Brown Gets The Start For The Astros

Hunter Brown is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Angels, where he took the loss. In that May 22nd start, he gave up 2 earned runs in 6 innings of work. Looking back further, Brown has made 9 starts and is 1-5 with a 7.06 ERA. Opponents are batting .285 this season vs. Brown. The right-hander has a WHIP of 1.78 and has issued 4.98 walks per nine innings compared to 9.14 strikeouts. Brown’s ERA on the road is 36.26 compared to 4.58 at home.

Astros Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Astros are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 4.9 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s top hitting team, with a team batting average of .263. Houston also leads the league in slugging percentage and has the fewest strikeouts in the MLB.

Kyle Tucker has been the top power hitter in the league so far, as his 18 home runs are the most in the MLB. He also comes into the game with the 6th best RBI total in the league. Over his last 10 games, Tucker has gone 9/35 with five homers. Jose Altuve and Yordan Alvarez are also among the league leaders in home runs, with nine apiece.

Seattle is 29-26 overall, putting them in 1st place in the AL West. They currently lead the Rangers by 3.5 games for the top spot in the division. The Mariners have gone 7-3 against other teams in the AL West this season.

The Mariners have won two straight games, and they are 5-5 across their last 10. At home, Seattle is 16-10 this season and 13-16 on the road. As the home favorite, the Mariners have gone 11-8 this season, and they are 13-13 as the underdog.

Seattle is 27-28 against the run line this season, with a -0.1 run differential per game. They are 14-12 at home vs. the run line, where their average scoring margin is +0.4 runs per game. The Mariners are 13-16 vs. the run line on the road, where their average scoring margin is -0.6 runs per game. In their 27 wins, Seattle has outscored opponents by an average of 3.1 runs per game, while in their 28 losses, they have been outscored by an average of 3.7 runs per game.

Seattle’s games have averaged 7.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 21-31. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, they are 6-10. Overall, 49.1% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.

Luis Castillo Gets The Start For The Mariners

Seattle is sending Luis Castillo to the mound today vs. the Astros, and he comes into the game with a record of 4-6 and an ERA of 3.31. So far, he has made 11 starts, and opponents are batting .243 off the right-hander this season. In his 11 starts, Castillo has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 9.51 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Castillo took the loss vs. the Yankees, going five innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

seattle mariners

Cal Raleigh leads the Mariners with 29 RBIs and also has the most home runs on the team, with 11. However, he is batting just .210 for the season. Ty France and Mitch Haniger are tied for 2nd on the team with six homers apiece, with France hitting .244 and Haniger at just .213. Dylan Moore also has six homers and is batting .239.

Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 28th in the MLB. They also have the league’s worst strikeout rate and are batting just .224 as a team. Over their last nine games, Julio Rodriguez, Ty France, and Dylan Moore have all hit two home runs.

Astros vs Mariners Prediction

The best way to play this Astros vs. Mariners matchup is to take the Astros on the money line, with the payout sitting at +110. We have the Astros winning this one by a score of 5-4, giving you a little bit of wiggle room if you want to take the Astros on the run line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Hunter Brown finishing with six strikeouts compared to Luis Castillo with five. However, Castillo is projected to go deeper into the game, but with the payout on the Astros’ money line, we would stick with that.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.