Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 7/19/2024

The Houston Astros (50-46) travel to face off against the Seattle Mariners (52-46) on Friday, July 19th. This game will be played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and televised on MLBN. Both the Astros and Mariners are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 9:10 CT.

Astros vs. Mariners Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Mariners (-127)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7 Runs
  • Mariners have a strong home record with 30 wins and 18 losses, compared to the Astros’ away record of 22 wins and 25 losses.
  • In the last 15 games, the Mariners have scored 5 or more runs in 6 games, indicating a potent offense.
  • Mariners have won 4 out of their last 6 home games, showing recent strong performance at home.
  • In head-to-head matchups at home this season, the Mariners have won 3 out of 4 games against the Astros.
  • Mariners have a better division record (18-8) compared to the Astros (16-14), showing stronger performance against divisional opponents.

Astros vs Mariners

houston astros nba

The Mariners Took The Last Game Of This Series

Houston closed out their series vs. the Rangers with a 4-2 loss. Heading into the game, the Astros were the slight favorite at -126 on the money line. Things started off well for the Astros, as they got on the board with a run in the 3rd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Rangers scored twice in the top of the first.

Ronel Blanco put together a good start for the Astros, going six innings and giving up just two runs on two hits. He only had five strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. The Astros’s offense scored their only other run in the 6th, but it wasn’t enough to pick up the win.

As the Astros look to avoid a third straight loss, they are aiming to catch the Mariners for the AL West lead. Houston trails Seattle by one game, with a 50-46 overall record, and they have an average run margin of +0.5 runs per game on the road.

For the season, Houston’s games have averaged 9.0 runs, with 54 overs and 38 unders. When the over/under line is 7 runs, all three games have gone over the total.

Hunter Brown Gets The Start For The Astros

Hunter Brown is looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Rangers and picked up the win. In that July 12th outing, he went 6 innings and gave up 2 earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Brown has made 18 starts, has a record of 7-6, and his ERA is 4.39. Opponents have a batting average of .246 off Brown this season. The right-hander has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 9.61 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, Brown has allowed 14 homers and is averaging 3.48 walks per nine innings.

Astros Offense Breakdown

The Astros have the best team batting average in the league this season at .262, and they are also among the league leaders in slugging percentage and on-base percentage. Overall, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. Houston’s offense has been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game.

Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker have been two of the Astros’ most consistent power threats this season, as they both have 19 homers, which is 10th in the league. Alvarez’s 52 RBIs are the best mark on the team, while Tucker is 6th with 40 RBIs. Jose Altuve is also having a strong season, batting .306 with 14 homers and 44 RBIs. Altuve and Alex Bregman are both on three-game hitting streaks, with Bregman batting .333 over his last nine games.

The Mariners Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Mariners will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Angels with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Angels scored three runs in the bottom of the 8th. Seattle was the -167 favorite on the money line going into the game.

Logan Gilbert put together a good start for the Mariners, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out nine Angels batters. However, the Mariners couldn’t close things out, and Austin Voth took the loss out of the bullpen. J.P. Crawford had only one hit, but it was a home run, and Kyle Seager had a good day at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored.

Seattle is leading the AL West by just one game over the Astros, with an overall record of 52-46. The Mariners have dropped three straight games, losing the final three games of their series vs. the Angels. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.2 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.2 runs per game.

As the favorite, the Mariners have a 23-37 run line record, while as the underdog, they are 21-17. Seattle’s O/U record this season is 41-52, with their games averaging 7.5 runs per contest. Currently, their under streak is at 2 games.

Luis Castillo Gets The Start For The Mariners

Seattle is sending Luis Castillo to the mound today vs. the Astros, and he will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. In that outing vs. the Angels, he went six innings and didn’t give up a run. Castillo finished with the win in that outing. Looking back further, he has given up three earned runs in three straight outings. So far this season, he has made 20 starts, and opponents are batting .230 off him this season. Castillo’s ERA is 3.53, and his record for the season is 8-9.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

seattle mariners

Cal Raleigh has had a tough season at the plate for the Mariners, batting just .216, but he has been red hot of late, going 13/37 in his last nine games with five homers and 10 RBIs. Julio Rodríguez has also been swinging a hot bat, going 14/26 in his last nine games, including two homers. For the season, he is batting .267 with 10 homers.

As a team, the Mariners are 28th in the league in runs per game at 3.9. This is due to the fact that they are batting just .219 as a team, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also last in the league in strikeouts. Overall, they are 10th in home runs and have been good at drawing walks.

Astros vs Mariners Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Astros vs. Mariners matchup is to take the Mariners on the money line at -127. We have the Mariners winning this one by a final score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a payout, the Mariners at -127 is the way to go.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis Castillo is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is good for fifth among all starters. As for Hunter Brown, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which has him down in 18th.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.