Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction 8/6/2024

The Houston Astros (57-55) travel to face off against the Texas Rangers (54-59) on Tuesday, August 6th. This game will be played at Globe Life Field in Arlington and televised on BSSW. The Rangers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Astros are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rangers. First pitch is set for 7:05 CT.

Astros vs. Rangers Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Rangers (+104)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • Rangers have won 5 of their last 6 home games.
  • Rangers have outscored their opponents 35-19 in their last 6 home games.
  • Rangers have won 3 of their last 4 games against the Astros.
  • Rangers have a higher home win percentage (.554) compared to Astros’ away win percentage (.463).
  • Rangers have scored 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 home games.

Astros vs Rangers

houston astros nba

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Rangers vs Astros series. Texas went into the matchup as slight favorites at -113 and squeaked out a 4-3 win. Heading into the game, the Rangers had won the first two games of the series.

Houston had a late rally in the 8th and 9th innings, scoring one run in the 8th and another two in the 9th, but the Rangers’ bullpen held on. Kirby Yates got the win out of the bullpen, while Caleb Ferguson took the loss for the Astros.

Andrew Heaney only went six innings for the Rangers but gave up just one hit and one earned run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued five walks. As for the Astros, Hunter Brown gave up just one hit and one earned run across six innings of work.

Heading into today’s game, the Astros have lost three straight games, including the series opener vs. the Rangers. Houston’s overall series record is 19-16, but they have dropped two straight series. They are 2nd in the AL West, 1.5 games behind the Mariners, who are leading the division.

Against the run line, the Astros are 55-57 this season, with a run differential of +0.4 runs per game. Their over/under record in games with an 8-run line is 7-11-2, and their overall O/U record is 44-64. The O/U line for today’s game is set at 8 runs.

Framber Valdez Gets The Start For The Astros

Framber Valdez gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Rangers on the road. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 10-5 with a 3.56 ERA. Valdez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.25. In his last outing, he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work, coming out with the win. Before that, he had gone 6 1/3 innings without giving up an earned run. Valdez has allowed at least one homer in three of his last four outings. So far, he has one complete game and 11 quality starts.

Astros Offense Breakdown

Yordan Alvarez has been a big power threat for the Astros this season, as his 20 homers lead the team and is 11th in the league. He is also hitting .298 for the season. Yainer Diaz also has been a big run producer for the Astros, as his 59 RBIs are the best on the team. Diaz is also batting .295 and has two homers in his last eight games.

As a team, the Astros are 2nd in batting average and are averaging 4.5 runs per game. They have been especially good at home, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Overall, the Astros are 10th in slugging percentage and 3rd in fewest strikeouts per game.

Overall, the Rangers have a 54-59 record and are 14-16 against AL West teams. They are 3rd in the division, five games behind the Mariners. Texas won the first game of the series vs. the Astros and have a 3-7 record in their last 10 games.

When favored, the Rangers are 36-28 straight up but only 22-42 against the run line. Their games have averaged 3.8 runs per game over the line, and their over/under record for the season is 50-59. Today’s O/U line of 8 runs is lower than the average line for Rangers games, which is 8.6 runs.

Tyler Mahle Gets The Start For The Rangers

Getting the start for the Texas Rangers is right-hander Tyler Mahle. In his five starts last season, Mahle went 1-2 with an ERA of 3.16. He finished the season with a WHIP of 1.05 and allowed a batting average of .220. Mahle’s FIP for the season was 4.19, and he gave up a total of five home runs. In terms of strikeouts, Mahle averaged 9.82 per nine innings and had a strikeouts-to-walk ratio of 5.6.

Rangers Offense Breakdown

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Corey Seager has been on a tear for the Rangers over his last nine games, hitting .324 with four homers and six RBIs. Seager’s 23 homers this season is 8th in the league and leads the Rangers. Overall, he is batting .277. Marcus Semien and Adolis Garcia are also in the top three for the Rangers in homers, but Garcia is batting just .209 this season.

For the season, the Rangers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. As a team, they are batting just .238, which is 14th in the MLB. Their team on-base percentage of .307 is also below the league average.

Astros vs Rangers Prediction

With the Rangers at +104 on the money line, that is the route we recommend going for today’s Astros vs. Rangers matchup. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Rangers, giving you some value on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Tyler Mahle is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is tied for 10th among today’s starters. As for Framber Valdez, he is projected to finish with seven, which is fifth best. However, we still have the Rangers finishing with the win.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.