Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 7/4/2024

The Houston Astros (44-42) travel to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (39-47) on Thursday, July 4th. This game will be played at Rogers Centre in Toronto and televised on MLBN. The Astros are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Blue Jays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Astros. First pitch is set for 12:07 CT.

Astros vs. Blue Jays Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Astros (-118)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Astros have won 10 of their last 15 games.
  • In their last 15 games, the Astros have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game.
  • In the last 15 games, the Astros have a run differential of +29.
  • The Astros have won 4 of their last 5 road games.
  • In the last 3 head-to-head games against the Blue Jays, the Astros have won 2 out of 3.

Astros vs Blue Jays

houston astros nba

Houston cruised to a 9-2 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a huge 7th inning, scoring four of their nine runs. As for the Blue Jays, they scored their only two runs in the 1st. Heading into the game, the Astros were favored at -117.

Ronel Blanco got the win for the Astros, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs. Yusei Kikuchi had a rough outing for the Blue Jays, taking the loss after going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs.

Yordan Alvarez and Yainer Diaz each had three hits and three RBIs for the Astros’ offense. Daulton Varsho had a two-hit game for the Blue Jays.

Currently on a seven-game winning streak as favorites, the Astros are 33-32 when favored this season. They trail the Mariners by two games for the AL West lead, holding an overall record of 44-42. In their last 10 games, Houston has an 8-2 record.

For the season, Astros games have averaged 9.0 runs, and their over/under record is 33-49. Heading into today’s game, their over streak is at 2 games. The over/under line for today’s game is 8.5 runs, which is lower than usual, as only 38.4% of their games have had lower totals than 8.5 runs.

Framber Valdez Gets The Start For The Astros

Framber Valdez gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 6-5 with an ERA of 4.11. Valdez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.29. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on eight hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Valdez has a total of eight quality starts this season and one complete game. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.17 strikeouts and 3.06 walks.

Astros Offense Breakdown

Not only do the Astros lead the league with a team batting average of .264, but they are also the top home run hitting team in the league right now. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. At home, they have been even better, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Houston also does a great job of putting the ball in play, as they have the fewest strikeouts in the league.

Yordan Alvarez has been on a tear for the Astros, hitting .500 over his last six games with three homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he leads the team with 19 homers and is batting .303. Kyle Tucker is also at 19 homers and is batting .266. Jose Altuve is on a three-game hitting streak and is batting .306 for the season.

With a 39-47 record, the Blue Jays are 12 games behind the Rays for the final Wild Card spot and 16 games behind the Orioles in the AL East. As the underdog, they have a 9-27 record, while as the favorite, they are 30-20. Toronto is looking to even the series against the Astros today, as they are currently down 1-2.

Against the run line, the Blue Jays are 24-18 on the road and 15-29 at home. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs, resulting in a 41-42 over/under record. The over has hit in their last two games, and when the total is 8.5, their O/U record is 12-16.

Chris Bassitt Gets The Start For The Blue Jays

Right-hander Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Astros at home. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 7-6 with a 3.24 ERA. Bassitt’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.37. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run on six hits. Bassitt has not lost a game since May 5th. Looking back at his last four outings, he has finished with a no-decision in three of them. Bassitt has made nine quality starts this year and is averaging 8.41 strikeouts per nine innings.

Blue Jays Offense Breakdown

toronto blue jays

Over the Blue Jays’ last eight games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been on fire, going 15/33 with four homers and 17 RBIs. He is also on a nine-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .297 with 13 homers and 50 RBIs. Daulton Varsho is also among the league leaders in homers but has struggled with a batting average of just .199.

As a team, the Blue Jays are averaging 4 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. Their team batting average of .234 is 16th in the league. Overall, they are 20th in home runs and have a collective on-base percentage of .311.

Astros vs Blue Jays Prediction

Our predicted final score for this Astros vs. Blue Jays matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Astros. With the Astros predicted to win and a money line payout of -118, that is the way we recommend playing this one.

If you’re looking for an over/under prediction, we would take the under, as we have this one finishing with a combined nine runs and the line is currently sitting at 8.5.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.