Houston vs Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Houston vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 4/10/2024

The Houston Astros (4-8) travel to face off against the Kansas City Royals (7-4) on Wednesday, April 10th. This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City and televised on BSKC. The Royals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Astros are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Astros. First pitch is set for 7:40 ET.

Astros vs Royals

houston astros nba

The last game of this Royals vs. Astros series needed extra innings, with the Royals pulling out a 4-3 win at home. Kansas City was actually out-hit 14-7 in the game, but they made their hits count, as the Astros couldn’t push across a run after the 4th inning.

Neither team hit a home run in the game, and the Astros had two more doubles than the Royals. Yordan Alvarez had a big game for Houston, going 4/5, but he didn’t drive in a run. Jeremy Pena and Nelson Velazquez each had two hits for the Royals.

James McArthur got the win out of the bullpen for Kansas City, while Wander Suero took the loss. Neither starter got a decision, as Cole Ragans went five innings for the Royals, giving up three earned runs on ten hits. Cristian Javier also gave up two earned runs for Houston.

After dropping the first game of their series against the Royals, the Astros are now 4-8 on the season and are currently in 4th place in the AL West, 2.5 games behind the Athletics for 3rd place. They have gone 2-2 against divisional opponents so far this season.

Overall, the Astros have struggled this season, especially when they are favored, as they are just 2-8 in those games. They have been much better as an underdog, going 2-0.

When the Astros have won, they have done so by an average of 6.2 runs per game. In their losses, they have been outscored by an average of 3.1 runs per game. This has led to an average run margin of 0.0 runs per game overall. They are 4-8 against the run line this season, including a 2-5 mark at home. As the favorite, they are just 2-8 against the run line, but as the underdog, they are 2-0. Their run line losing streak when favored is at three games.

Through 11 games, the Astros have seen their games average 8.3 runs per game, but they have gone under the total in eight of those games. Their average over/under line is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 9 runs, they have gone 1-3-1 to the under. Overall, their games have had an average of 8.3 runs per game, and the over/under record is 3-8.

Spencer Arrighetti Gets The Start For The Astros

Spencer Arrighetti takes the mound for the Astros in today’s game versus the Royals. It’s his opportunity to start the season on the right foot, as this will be his first outing of the year.

Astros Offense Breakdown

For the Astros, we like Yordan Alvarez to have a good game at the plate. He has the highest home run projection on the team and it’s 10th best in the league today. Jose Altuve has the highest hits projection on the team and it’s 20th best in the league. Kyle Tucker is 2nd in terms of total hits and 3rd in terms of home run projections.

After winning the first game of their series against the Astros, the Royals will look to extend their winning streak to six games. They have been playing well at home this season, posting a 6-2 record, and have also been strong in night games, going 4-1.

Currently, they are one game behind the Guardians in the AL Central and have an overall record of 7-4. In the division, they have gone 5-2 and will be looking to make up ground on the Twins, who are currently in first place in the AL Central.

When it comes to betting the run line, the Royals have been a solid choice this season, going 7-4 overall. They are 5-3 against the run line at home, where they have an average run margin of +2.5 runs per game. They have covered the run line in three straight games overall and as the underdog. In their wins, they have an average run margin of +4.3 runs per game.

When the Royals play at home, the over/under line is set at an average of 8 runs per game. This season, the combined run average in their games is 6.9, and their over/under record is 3-7. Their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 1-2, and they have had an under streak of 4 games. So far, none of their games have had an over/under line set at 9 runs.

Seth Lugo Gets The Start For The Royals

Seth Lugo will be making his 3rd start of the season for the Royals, and he will be facing the Astros at home. Lugo has been solid in his first two outings, going 6 innings in each start. He picked up a win in his last outing, going 6 2/3 innings and striking out 8 batters.

Royals Offense Breakdown

kansas city royals

When looking at the Royals’ offensive projections, Bobby Witt Jr. is not only projected to have the most hits on the team, but his hits projection is 14th best in the league today. Witt Jr. is also the Royals’ top projected player to hit a home run, with his home run projection ranking 9th in the league. Nelson Velázquez has the 6th best hits projection on the team and his home run projection is 10th in the league today. Maikel Garcia has the 2nd best hits projection on the team and his home run projection is 21st in the league.

 

Astros vs Royals Prediction

 

Our prediction for today’s Astros vs. Royals game is to take the Royals on the money line, with the payout sitting at +102. We have the Royals winning this one by a score of 6-5, giving us a little bit of wiggle room on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Seth Lugo is projected to go 12th in terms of starters picking up a win and has a predicted strikeout total of just three. As for the Astros lineup, they are projected to finish with the sixth most home runs on the day.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.