Kansas City Royals vs New York Mets MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Kansas City Royals vs New York Mets Prediction 4/12/2024

The Kansas City Royals (9-4) travel to face off against the New York Mets (5-7) on Friday, April 12th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on BSKC. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 7:10 ET.

Royals vs Mets

kansas city royals nba

To close out their series vs. the Astros, the Royals picked up an impressive 13-3 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +112 on the money line. It was a nine-run 1st inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Astros could only score three runs, all of which came in the 4th.

Brady Singer put together a good start for the Royals, going five innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Kansas City’s offense was carried by Bobby Witt Jr., who went 4/5 with two homers and five RBIs.

Currently, the Royals are on a seven-game winning streak and are 9-4 overall this season. They are in 2nd place in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 0.5 games. In the division, they are 5-2. Overall, the Royals are 8-2 at home and 1-2 on the road.

As for their series status, they are currently in a series with the Mets, and overall, they are 1-2 in series this season. When they have been the underdog, they have gone 5-4, including a 1-2 mark as the road underdog.

While the Royals have a run line record of 9-4 overall, they are just 2-1 against the run line on the road. However, they have covered the run line in their last two road games and are 6-3 against the run line as the underdog this season.

The Royals have played 12 games this season with an average O/U line of 8 runs. Their O/U record is 5-7, and the combined run average in their games is 8.1. Their last game went over the total of 8.5 runs, and their last three games have gone over the total. This season, 69.2% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 8 runs.

Michael Wacha Gets The Start For The Royals

Michael Wacha will be making his 3rd start of the season for the Royals, and it will be on the road against the Mets. Wacha is coming off a win in his last start, where he went 7 innings and struck out 8. He has given up 3 runs in each of his first 2 starts.

Royals Offense Breakdown

When looking at the Royals’ player prop projections, we see Bobby Witt Jr. is expected to have a strong game at the plate. He has the highest total hits projection on the team and the 11th highest in the league today. Witt Jr. also has the 2nd best odds on the team to hit a home run, with the 7th best odds in the league. Nelson Velázquez is also a player to watch, as his home run projection is the best on the team and 6th best in the league today.

The Mets’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Braves, closing out their series with a 16-4 win. New York was the +139 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. It was only a 1-0 lead after the 1st inning but the Mets scored another two runs in the 2nd to extend their lead. Things really got out of hand in the 3rd inning, as the Mets scored four runs in the inning. New York’s offense added another three runs in the 7th to close things out.

Jose Quintana put together a good start for the Mets, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just three runs on five hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

After a rough start to the season, the Mets have played better of late, going 4-2 in their last six games. They are currently 5-7 overall and are in 3rd place in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 1.5 games for 2nd place.

At home, the Mets are just 1-5, but they have played much better on the road, going 4-2. They have also been better as an underdog this season, going 3-2 compared to 2-5 as the favorite.

Despite their losing record on the run line, the Mets have been a profitable team to back in that market when they’re on the road. They’ve covered the run line in five of their seven road games, and their average run margin in those contests is +2.0 runs per game. They’ve also been a good bet to cover the run line when they’re the underdog, going 4-1 in those games.

The Mets have been involved in high-scoring games lately, with the over hitting in three straight contests. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 6-6 overall. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs, which is right around their season average. So far this season, 50% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs or higher.

Luis Severino Gets The Start For The Mets

Luis Severino will be making his second start of the season for the Mets, and he will be at home against the Royals. In his first start, Severino went 5 innings and took a loss against the Brewers, giving up 6 runs. He did have a solid outing in his last start, going 5 innings and striking out 7 while giving up 2 runs.

Mets Offense Breakdown

new york mets

For the Mets, Brandon Nimmo has the highest total hits projection on the team and his home run projection is 4th best on the team and 14th best in the league today. Jeff McNeil has the 2nd highest total hits projection on the team and Pete Alonso has the top home run projection on the team and the 8th best in the league today. Francisco Alvarez is 2nd on the team in home run projection and 12th in the league today.

 

Royals vs Mets Prediction

 

Our prediction for this Royals vs. Mets matchup is to take the Royals on the money line, with the payout being +105. We have the Royals winning this one by a final score of 5-4.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis Severino is projected to have a better outing than Michael Wacha. However, we have Severino finishing with six strikeouts, which is lower than his potential. As for Wacha, we have him finishing with four strikeouts.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.