Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction 7/11/2024

The Seattle Mariners (51-43) travel to face off against the Los Angeles Angels (38-54) on Thursday, July 11th. This game will be played at Angel Stadium of Anaheim in Anaheim and televised on RSNW. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 8:38 CT.

Mariners vs. Angels Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Angels (+140)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Angels have scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games.
  • The Angels have won 5 of their last 7 home games.
  • The Angels have a higher home win percentage (40.4%) compared to the Mariners’ away win percentage (45.7%).
  • The Angels have outscored their opponents by a combined 20 runs in their last 5 home wins.
  • The Angels have won 4 of their last 5 games against division opponents at home.

Mariners vs Angels

seattle mariners nba

The Mariners Are Coming Off A Win

The Mariners’s offense was carried by Bryce Miller in their most recent game vs. the Padres. Miller went six innings, giving up zero runs on just five hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win. Seattle’s offense scored their only two runs in the 2nd inning of the 2-0 win. The Mariners were the +123 underdog going into this road game.

Andrés Muñoz closed things out for the Mariners, picking up the save. Seattle’s bullpen was quiet otherwise, as the Mariners only used one other reliever. The Mariners also got a good start from Taylor Trammell, going 1-3 with a run scored.

Seattle, leading the AL West by two games, has a 51-43 overall record and is 17-5 against divisional opponents. As the road favorite, they have a 9-11 record, and their overall series record is 14-14-2.

For the season, the Mariners’ games have averaged 7.5 runs, and their over/under record is 39-50. When the total line has been 8.5 runs, their O/U record is 8-2. Heading into today’s game, the Mariners have covered the run line in three straight games.

Luis Castillo Gets The Start For The Mariners

Luis Castillo will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Blue Jays and picked up the win. In that start, he went 6 2/3 innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Castillo has made 19 starts and has a record of 7-9. His ERA for the season is 3.72, along with a WHIP of 1.18. Opposing batters are hitting .232 off Castillo this season. The right-hander has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 8.97 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 15 home runs.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

Cal Raleigh has not had a strong season at the plate for the Mariners, as he is batting just .208, but he has been swinging the bat better of late, going 8/31 in his last eight games with three homers. Overall, he leads the team with 17 home runs and 55 RBIs. Julio Rodriguez is also a big power threat in the lineup, as he has nine homers and is batting .253.

Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. This is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average and on-base percentage. Overall, they are 10th in home runs but have the most strikeouts in the league.

The Angels Are Coming Off A Win

The Angels’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rangers, closing out their series with a 7-2 win. After allowing one run to the Rangers in the top of the first, the Angels responded with four runs of their own. Los Angeles went on to add another three runs in the 2nd inning.

Griffin Canning got the start for the Angels, going 4 1/3 innings, and picked up the win. He gave up just two runs on seven hits and issued only two walks. Zach Neto was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

Los Angeles has struggled recently, losing 8 of their last 10 games and dropping three straight series. They are 4th in the AL West with a 38-54 record, 12 games behind the Mariners. As underdogs, the Angels have a 48-33 run line record, but as favorites, they are just 3-8.

When the Angels play at home, the over/under line is usually set higher than 8.5 runs, with 26.1% of their games having higher totals. Their overall over/under record is 46-43, and games with an 8.5 run line have gone over 21 times and under 19 times. On the run line, the Angels are 51-41, with an average margin of victory of 3.3 runs per game.

Jack Kochanowicz Gets The Start For The Angels

Today, Jack Kochanowicz gets the nod for the Angels as they face the Mariners. It’s his chance to make a strong opening statement, as this will be his first time on the mound this year.

Angels Offense Breakdown

los angeles angels

So far this season, the Angels offense has been one of the league’s worst, averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the MLB. They have been even worse on the road, averaging just 3.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .236, which is 14th in the league, and have the 11th most home runs in the league.

Logan O’Hoppe has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/29 in his last eight games while also hitting two home runs. O’Hoppe is currently 2nd on the team with 42 RBIs and is batting .283 for the season. Taylor Ward has been the Angels’ top power threat, as he is 14th in the league with 14 homers and leads the team with 44 RBIs.

Mariners vs Angels Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Mariners vs. Angels game is to take the Angels on the money line at +140. We actually have the Angels winning this one 5-4, so you could also look to take the Angels on the run line if you’re looking for a little more value.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis Castillo has the second-best projected strikeout total among starters, and his chances of picking up a win are also among the best. We have him finishing with seven K’s and giving up four earned runs.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.