Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Mariners vs New York Yankees Prediction 5/20/2024

The Seattle Mariners (25-22) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (33-15) on Monday, May 20th. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on YES. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mariners are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 7:05 ET.

Mariners vs Yankees

seattle mariners nba

Seattle closed out their series vs. the Orioles with a 6-3 loss. The Mariners were the +125 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Mariners, as they got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Orioles scored two runs in the bottom of the first.

George Kirby took the loss, going six innings and giving up five earned runs on nine hits. Luke Raley was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with two doubles, a run scored, and a stolen base. The Mariners also had three other players with two hits.

Seattle heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Yankees holding a 25-22 record, which has them leading the AL West by 1.5 games. The Mariners dropped two of three in their series vs. the Orioles, and they are 6-3 in the AL West this year.

At home, the Mariners have gone 15-10 this year, and they are just under .500 at 10-12 on the road. As the underdog, the Mariners are 10-11 compared to a mark of 15-11 as the favorite. Seattle’s overall series record is 8-6-1 this year.

Seattle has a run line record of 23-24 this season, with a run line record of 13-12 at home and 10-12 on the road. The Mariners have an average run margin of 0.0 this season, with a scoring margin of -0.4 on the road and 0.4 at home. They have a run line record of 12-14 as the favorite and 11-10 as the underdog.

Seattle’s over/under record for the season is 17-27, and their average over/under line is 8. The over/under line for today’s game against the Yankees is 8 runs, and the combined run average for their games this season is 7.5 runs. So far this season, 26 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 or lower, and their record in those games is 3-6-1.

Logan Gilbert Gets The Start For The Mariners

Seattle is sending right-hander Logan Gilbert to the mound today as he faces the Yankees on the road. Gilbert has made nine starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with a 3.07 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Gilbert has a WHIP of .95 and has issued just 2.76 walks per nine innings. In his last outing, Gilbert took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Gilbert has made seven quality starts this year.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

Julio Rodríguez and Luke Raley have been swinging the bat well of late for the Mariners, with Rodriguez going 12/28 in his last seven games and Raley going 11/24 in his last six games. Rodriguez is also on a seven-game hitting streak coming into today’s game. Rodriguez is batting .274 for the season and has two homers, while Raley is batting .228 with 10 homers. Cal Raleigh is the team’s top power threat, as his 25 RBIs are 1st on the team and 14th in the league.

As a team, the Mariners are 26th in the league in scoring at 3.8 runs per game. They are also the league’s worst team in terms of strikeouts. Overall, Seattle is batting just .228 and have a collective OBP of .302. However, they are 7th in the league in home runs and have the 12th best isolated power mark in the league.

Heading into their last game vs. the White Sox, the Yankees closed out the series with a 7-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -321. Offensively, the Yankees scored their seven runs on json0 hits and only had two home runs.

Carlos Rodon put together a good start for the Yankees, going six innings and giving up just two runs on four hits. He only had six strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

The Yankees kick off their series vs. the Mariners with a seven-game winning streak, and they lead the AL East by two games over the Orioles. So far, they are 8-8 in divisional games. New York has been really good at home this year, going 16-6, and they have also played well on the road, sitting at 17-9.

As the favorite, the Yankees have gone 24-11 this year and 9-4 as the underdog. New York has been good in closing out series, as they are 12-2-1 this year and have won five straight series. Their overall series winning streak is at five straight series.

The Yankees have been a solid run line bet this season, going 27-21 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 16-10 against the run line. They have covered the run line in their last three home games and are on a five-game run line win streak when favored.

The Yankees have had 32 games with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and their games have averaged 8.1 runs per game. Their over/under record is 19-27, and they have gone over the total in 3 of 7 games with an over/under line of 8 runs.

Marcus Stroman Gets The Start For The Yankees

New York is sending Marcus Stroman to the mound today vs. the Mariners, and he will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. Against the Twins on May 15th, Stroman picked up the win, going six innings in the outing. Looking at his overall numbers, Stroman has made nine starts, has a record of 3-2, and his ERA is 3.33. Stroman has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 7.77 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has issued 4.62 walks per nine innings. At home, his ERA is 4.06 compared to 3.09 on the road.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

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So far this season, the Yankees are the league’s top home run-hitting team and are also among the league leaders in runs scored. Overall, they are 5th in the league in runs scored (4.9) and are batting a collective .256, which is the 4th best mark in the league. One of the reasons they have been so good offensively is their ability to get on base, as they have the league’s 2nd best on-base percentage and are 2nd in walks.

Coming into the game, both Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton are near the top of the league in home runs, with Judge leading the team with 13 homers and Stanton right behind him at 11. Judge has been especially hot of late, going 10/20 in his last six games with three homers. Juan Soto is also having a strong season for the Yankees, as he is batting .311 with 11 homers and 37 RBIs.

Mariners vs Yankees Prediction

The best bet in this Mariners vs. Yankees matchup is to take the Yankees on the money line, with the payout sitting at -137. We actually have the Yankees winning this one by a score of 5-4, so you could also look to take the Yankees on the run line, but we would recommend sticking with the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Marcus Stroman ending the day with four strikeouts, which is good for third worst among today’s starters. As for Logan Gilbert, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is seventh worst.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.