Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Mariners vs New York Yankees Prediction 5/23/2024

The Seattle Mariners (27-23) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (34-17) on Thursday, May 23rd. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on MLBN. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mariners are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 12:35 ET.

Mariners vs Yankees

seattle mariners nba

Seattle wasted a good outing from Bryce Miller, as he went six innings and gave up just one hit and no earned runs as the Mariners starter vs. the Yankees. New York still picked up a 7-3 win in that game, thanks in large part to a three-run 1st inning and a two-run 8th.

Nestor Cortes only went five innings for the Yankees but didn’t give up a run and finished with six strikeouts. He picked up the win in the game, while Miller took the loss for Seattle.

Juan Soto hit the game’s only two homers while going 2/4 with five RBIs. Aaron Judge also went deep for the Yankees, going 1/3 with two RBIs.

Seattle is 27-23 overall and leads the AL West by three games over the Rangers. The Mariners are 6-3 against other teams in the AL West. Currently, they are on the road, leading the Yankees 2-1 in the series.

At home, the Mariners have gone 15-10 this year, and they are just below .500 at 12-13 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 15-11, and they are 12-12 as the underdog this year. Seattle’s overall series record is 8-6-1.

Seattle is 25-25 against the run line this season. The Mariners have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 13-11, compared to 12-14 as the favorite. Their average run differential in wins is +3.1, while in losses it is -3.7.

Seattle’s over/under record is 20-27, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. In games where the line was set at 8 runs, their record is 5-6-1. Their combined run average is 7.6 runs per game, and their current over streak is at 4 games.

Luis Castillo Gets The Start For The Mariners

Luis Castillo is looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Orioles on May 18th, he went six innings, giving up two earned runs, four hits, and four walks. Looking back further, Castillo has turned in a quality start in seven of his 10 outings. His ERA for the season is 3.28, along with a record of 4-5. So far, he has allowed a total of seven home runs. Per nine innings, Castillo is averaging 2.24 walks compared to 9.85 strikeouts.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

Julio Rodriguez has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/33 in his last eight games. For the season, he is batting .263 and has two home runs. Dylan Moore has also been on a tear, going 9/25 in his last eight games, with three homers in that stretch. Moore’s six RBIs in his last eight games are also a team-high.

Cal Raleigh has been the Mariners’ top power threat this season, as his 11 homers are 7th in the league. He also has 28 RBIs, which is 14th in the MLB. However, he is batting just .219. As a team, the Mariners are 26th in the league in scoring, averaging just 3.8 runs per game.

The Yankees are 34-17 overall and lead the AL East by three games over the Orioles. New York is 8-8 in divisional games this year. They have gone 17-8 at home, and they have the same 17-9 record on the road.

So far, the Yankees have been really good as the favorite, going 25-13, and they are 9-4 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 12-2-1 this year, and they have won five straight series. This season, they are 17-8 as the home favorite.

When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. They have a run line record of 28-23 this season, and they have been a good bet on the run line on the road, where they have a 16-10 record. They have a run line record of 12-13 at home, where they have an average run margin of 1.6 runs per game.

When the New York Yankees host the Seattle Mariners on Friday, the over/under line will be set at 8 runs. The Yankees have seen their games average 8.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 22-27. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs this season, they have gone over the total in 5 of 12 games.

Luis Gil Gets The Start For The Yankees

New York starter Luis Gil has been excellent this season, coming into the game with a record of 5-1 and an ERA of 2.39. He has made four quality starts, and opponents are batting just .148 off the right-hander. Gil most recently faced the White Sox, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Gil’s ERA at home is 1.79 compared to 3.27 on the road. His walk rate is 4.96 per nine innings.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

new york yankees

As a team, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also near the top of the league in most offensive categories. This includes leading the league in OPS and on-base percentage, while also being 2nd in team slugging percentage. Collectively, they are batting .255, which is the 4th best mark in the league.

Juan Soto and Aaron Judge have been two of the top home run hitters in the league this season, with Soto batting .313 and Judge at .268. Judge has been even better of late, going 15/34 in his last 10 games with five homers. Soto has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 12/40 with four homers in his last 10 games.

Mariners vs Yankees Prediction

Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Mariners matchup is that the Yankees will pick up a 5-4 win. Given that the Yankees are the favorites on the money line, we like them at -150 to get the win.

Looking at today’s starters, we have Luis Castillo finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing fifth among starters. As for Luis Gil, we have him finishing with six strikeouts as well, which would have him finishing eighth.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.