The Seattle Mariners (63-60) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (57-64) on Saturday, August 17th. This game will be played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh and televised on MLBN. The Pirates are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mariners are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pirates. First pitch is set for 12:05 CT.
Mariners vs. Pirates Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Pirates (+133)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Pirates have scored an average of 4.6 runs per game over their last 15 games.
- The Pirates have a home record of 28-31, while the Mariners have an away record of 26-34.
- The Pirates have won 4 out of their last 6 home games.
- The Pirates have scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games.
- The Mariners are on a 4-game losing streak.
Mariners vs Pirates
Pittsburgh picked up a 5-3 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a two-run lead going into the 5th inning, and the Mariners could only muster one run in the 9th inning. Heading into the game, the Pirates were favored at -119 on the money line.
Paul Skenes started for the Pirates and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued four walks. Logan Gilbert got the start for the Mariners, taking the loss after going 6 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.
Yasmani Grandal and Isiah Kiner-Falefa each had two hits and an RBI for the Pirates. Oneil Cruz also drove in two runs while going 1/4. For the Mariners, Luke Raley hit the game’s only home run and drove in two runs.
Seattle has struggled against the run line this season, posting a 53-70 record. They are 26-34 on the road and have lost five straight run line games away from home. The Mariners are 44-37 as favorites and 19-23 as underdogs straight up.
Overall, the Mariners are 63-60 and are three games behind the Astros in the AL West. They have lost four in a row, including the first two games of their current series vs. the Pirates. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 12 of their 17 matchups this season.
Luis Castillo Gets The Start For The Mariners
Seattle is sending Luis Castillo to the mound today, and he will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing against the Mets, he picked up the win. Looking back over his last four outings, Castillo has given up three earned runs in three of them. His record for the season is 10-11, and he has an ERA of 3.40. So far, he has made 25 starts, and opponents are batting .232 off the right-hander this year. Per nine innings, Castillo is averaging 8.98 strikeouts and just 2.43 walks.
Mariners Offense Breakdown
Cal Raleigh has been struggling of late, batting just .167 over his last five games, but he does have two homers in that span. For the season, he is batting just .211, but his 26 homers are the most on the team and 12th most in the league. Julio Rodriguez is batting .265 for the season and is currently on a three-game hitting streak.
As a team, the Mariners are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. They are also the worst hitting team in the league, with a combined batting average of just .215. Seattle’s offense is also near the bottom of the league in strikeouts and on-base percentage.
After snapping a nine-game losing streak with a win in the first game of their series vs. the Mariners, the Pirates are 57-64 overall and 5th in the NL Central, 12.5 games behind the Brewers. Pittsburgh’s series record this season is 16-18-5, and they have lost four straight series.
When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Pirates have a 25-17 O/U record. Their games this season have averaged 8.5 runs, and their overall O/U record is 58-62. The run line record for the Pirates is 68-53, and they have covered the run line in 37 of 62 road games.
Bailey Falter Gets The Start For The Pirates
Bailey Falter gets the start for the Pirates today and is coming off a rough outing against the Dodgers. In that start, he went 4 innings, giving up 4 earned runs, and 3 home runs. He finished with a no-decision in the outing. Looking back at his last three starts, Falter has finished with a no-decision in each one. His record for the season is 5-7, and he has an ERA of 4.07. Opponents are batting .248 off the left-hander this season. Falter has made 20 appearances and 7 of them have been quality starts.
Pirates Offense Breakdown
Over the past seven games, Oneil Cruz has gone 10/28 with one home run and five RBIs. Bryan Reynolds has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 9/29 with three homers in that stretch. Reynolds is the Pirates’ leader in RBIs this season, with 69, and also leads the team in home runs. Cruz and Bryan De La Cruz are right behind Reynolds in terms of home runs, with 18 apiece.
As a team, the Pirates are 23rd in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Overall, their team OPS is just 23rd in the league. Pittsburgh’s offense is also one of the most strikeout-prone lineups in the league.
Mariners vs Pirates Prediction
Our pick for today’s Mariners vs. Pirates matchup is to take the Pirates on the money line at +133. We have the Pirates winning this one by a score of 5-4. With the payout for a Pirates win sitting at +133, this is a great value pick.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis Castillo is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the third-best among starters today. As for Bailey Falter, he is projected to finish with just four K’s, which is the lowest among today’s starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 17, 2024 Mariners, Pirates