MLB Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 5/24/2024

The Miami Marlins (17-34) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (24-26) on Friday, May 24th. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on BSFL. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 9:40 ET.

Marlins vs Diamondbacks

miami marlins nba

The Marlins’s offense was carried by Jazz Chisholm Jr. in their most recent game vs. the Brewers. Chisholm went only 1/4, but his one hit was a home run, and the Marlins won the game 1-0. It was a big performance by Chisholp, as the Marlins’s offense really struggled outside of his homer.

Jesús Luzardo started for the Marlins, going eight innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three hits and struck out four. However, the Marlins almost blew the lead, as Tanner Scott allowed two baserunners in the 9th. He was able to close things out and pick up the save.

Miami is on the road today to take on the Diamondbacks with an overall record of 17-34, 20 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they are just 4-12 in divisional games. The Marlins took the series vs. the Brewers, winning two of three games.

So far, the Marlins have been much better at home, going 10-19 compared to 7-15 on the road. This season, they have really struggled in night games, going 7-18. As the favorite, the Marlins are just 3-11 this year but have gone 14-23 as the underdog. Miami’s overall series record is 4-11-1, and they have won three straight series.

When the Marlins are on the road, they are a solid bet against the run line, as they are 10-12 on the run line away from home. Their average run margin in all games is -1.6 runs per game, but they are 19-32 against the run line overall. They have been a better bet against the run line as the underdog, going 18-19, compared to just 1-13 when they are the favorite.

The Miami Marlins are on the road in Arizona to take on the Diamondbacks. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs, and the combined run average for Marlins games this season is 9.2 runs per game. Miami has a 30-21 over/under record on the season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs this season, the Marlins are 4-4 in those games. Overall, 58.8% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs.

Braxton Garrett Gets The Start For The Marlins

Braxton Garrett and the Marlins are on the road to take on the Diamondbacks. This will be Garrett’s 3rd start of the season, and he has yet to pick up a decision in his first two outings. In his last start, he went 5 1/3 innings and gave up 5 runs on 5 hits, but did strike out 8 batters.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

Josh Bell has been the Marlins’ top run producer this season, as his 26 RBIs are the best mark on the team. He also comes into today’s game on a five-game hitting streak, going 7/20 (.350) with two runs and six RBIs during that stretch. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 6/21 in his last five games with two homers and four RBIs.

As a team, the Marlins are batting just .232 this season and are near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories. This includes being 28th in runs scored (3.8 per game) and 19th in home runs. Miami’s team on-base percentage of .288 is 21st in the MLB.

Heading into their last game vs. the Dodgers, the Diamondbacks closed out the series with a 6-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at +258. It was a big three-run 5th inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Dodgers could only score two runs the entire series. Arizona’s offense scored their six runs on nine hits and only hit two home runs.

Ryne Nelson got the start for the Diamondbacks, going two innings, and picked up the win. He also didn’t give up a run and issued just one walk. Brandon Hughes only lasted two-thirds of an inning, taking the loss. He also didn’t give up a run.

Arizona is hosting the Marlins today with an overall record of 24-26, which has them 4th in the NL West. Currently, they trail the Giants by a half-game for the 3rd spot in the division and are eight games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Diamondbacks head into today’s game having won two straight, and they closed out their series vs. the Dodgers with a win.

As the Diamondbacks have an overall record of 24-26, they are just above .500 in the NL West, going 11-9 in divisional games. At home and on the road, they have both been 12-13 this year. So far, they have been the favorite in 22 games, going 12-10, and 12-16 as the underdog. Arizona has an overall series record of 6-9-1 this year.

Arizona has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 14-11 against the run line. The Diamondbacks have an average run margin of +1.0 on the road, compared to -0.7 at home. They are 10-15 vs. the run line at home and 8-14 as the favorite.

Arizona has played to the over in 23 of their 48 games this season, and their games have had an average of 9.5 runs scored. When their over/under line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone over the total in 3 of 5 games. Overall, 72% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.

Zac Gallen Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Right-hander Zac Gallen gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces off against the Marlins. So far this season, he has made nine starts and has a record of 5-3 with a 3.02 ERA. Gallen’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.10. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Gallen has been tough to hit at home, coming in with an ERA of 1.46 compared to 4.56 on the road.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

arizona diamondbacks

Arizona has been one of the league’s top offenses so far this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the MLB. They have been even better on the road, putting up 4.9 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have been very good at avoiding strikeouts, and their team batting average of .247 is 8th in the league.

Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have both been good for the Diamondbacks this season, but Walker has struggled a bit of late, hitting just .200 over his last six games. Marte comes into the game on a 21-game hitting streak and has gone 8/26 in his last six games. Joc Pederson has been a nice surprise for the team so far, as he is hitting .313 and has gone deep six times.

Marlins vs Diamondbacks Prediction

Our prediction for the Diamondbacks vs. Marlins matchup is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line. However, we see there being more value in taking the over, with the line sitting at 8 runs. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Diamondbacks.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Zac Gallen is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among all starters today. As for Braxton Garrett, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and we have him finishing with a quality start.

Offensively, the Diamondbacks are projected to finish with eight hits, while the Marlins are projected to finish with eight. However, the Marlins are projected to finish with the fifth-fewest runs among all teams.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.