The Miami Marlins (18-34) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (24-27) on Saturday, May 25th. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on BSFL. The Marlins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Diamondbacks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Marlins. First pitch is set for 10:10 ET.
Marlins vs Diamondbacks
Miami picked up a 3-0 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins offense only had one more hit than the Diamondbacks and struck out five times as much, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +161 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Braxton Garrett for the Marlins and Zac Gallen for the Diamondbacks. Garrett went nine innings and didn’t give up a run as he picked up a win in the game. On the other side, Gallen gave up three earned runs in seven innings of work.
Miami’s two and three hitters, Jake Burger and Otto Lopez, each had two hits and two RBIs in the win. Blaze Alexander was the only Diamondbacks hitter to have more than one hit.
Miami is 18-34 overall this season, and they are 19 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 4-12. The Marlins have won two straight games, and they are 7-3 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Marlins are just 10-19 this year, but they have been a bit better on the road at 8-15. This season, the Marlins are 3-11 as the favorite and 15-23 as the underdog. They have also been good in road underdog games, going 8-15 this year. Miami has an overall series record of 4-11-1, and they have won three straight series.
When the Marlins are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 11-12. They are currently on a four-game run line win streak on the road and have covered the run line in two straight as underdogs. Miami’s average run margin in losing games is -3.9.
With an over/under line of 9 runs, the Miami Marlins and Arizona Diamondbacks have a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game this season. The Marlins have hit the under in 84.6% of their games this season, and their games have averaged just 8 runs per game. Miami’s games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game this season.
Sixto Sánchez Gets The Start For The Marlins
Sixto Sánchez gets the start for the Marlins today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. So far, he has made five starts and 12 appearances this season. Sánchez has a record of 0-2 and an ERA of 6.41. Looking at his WHIP, it is currently 1.69. The last time he pitched, Sánchez took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. He has given up at least two home runs in three of his last four outings. Sánchez has allowed a total of nine homers this season.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
Josh Bell has been the Marlins’ top run producer so far this season, as he leads the team with 26 RBIs and is also 3rd on the team with six homers. Bell comes into the game with a batting average of just .228, but he has gone 9/32 (.281) over his last eight games. Bryan De La Cruz and Jazz Chisholm Jr. are also near the top of the team’s home run and RBI charts, with De La Cruz leading the team with nine homers and Chisholm Jr. 2nd with 25 RBIs.
Chisholm Jr. and Nick Fortes have both been swinging the bat well of late, with Chisholm Jr. going 9/33 in his last eight games, and Fortes is 5/17 in his last seven games. De La Cruz has also been good recently, going 8/29 in his last eight games.
With an overall record of 24-27, the Diamondbacks are 4th in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by eight games. So far, they have gone 11-9 in divisional matchups. Arizona dropped the first game of their series vs. the Marlins. Looking at their overall series record, the Diamondbacks are 6-9-1 this year.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 12-14 this season compared to 12-13 on the road. As the favorite, Arizona has gone 12-11 and 12-16 as the underdog. Their overall record is made up of a 5-5 mark over their last 10 games.
Arizona has a run line record of 24-27 this season, including a mark of 10-16 at home. The Diamondbacks have an average run margin of 0.1 runs per game, but they have been outscored by an average of 0.8 runs per game at home. They have a run line record of 14-11 on the road and are 8-15 against the run line as the favorite.
Arizona has a combined run average of 9.4 runs per game this season, and the over/under record for their games is 23-26. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 4-5-1. So far this season, 21.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, while 58.8% have had lines set lower than that. The under has hit in each of their last two games.
Jordan Montgomery Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks
Jordan Montgomery gets the start for the Diamondbacks today and comes in with a record of 2-2 and ERA of 4.98. So far, he has made six starts and has a WHIP of 1.37. Montgomery has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 5.24 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up four earned runs, three walks, and two homers. Montgomery has not lost on the road this year, coming in with a record of 2-1 and 2.64 ERA.
Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown
Arizona comes into today’s game as one of the top-scoring teams in the league, averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game. The Diamondbacks have been a good home run hitting team this season, as they are 15th in the league in home runs and have a team batting average of .245, which is 9th in the MLB.
Christian Walker and Ketel Marte are tied for the team lead with 10 home runs apiece, with Walker also leading the team with 32 RBIs. Joc Pederson has also been a big run producer for the Diamondbacks, as he is 2nd on the team with six homers and has 16 RBIs, while batting .313. Pederson has also been hot of late, going 10/26 in his last seven games.
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Prediction
The best way to play the Marlins vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the over, with the line currently sitting at 9 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Diamondbacks, giving us plenty of cushion to take the over.
Looking at the money line, the payout for a Diamondbacks win is -180, and with our projections, we don’t see this as a good payout. Sixto Sanchez is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and if you’re looking at a Jordan Montgomery, he is projected to finish with five as well.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:May 25, 2024 Diamondbacks, Marlins