The Miami Marlins (54-92) travel to face off against the Washington Nationals (65-80) on Thursday, September 12th. This game will be played at Nationals Park in Washington and televised on BSFL. The Nationals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pirates. First pitch is set for 5:45 CT.
Marlins vs. Nationals Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Nationals (-182)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- The Nationals have won 4 out of their last 6 home games.
- In their last 15 games, the Nationals have scored 5 or more runs in 7 games.
- The Nationals have a recent head-to-head win against the Marlins, scoring 6 runs on September 3rd.
- The Nationals have a better home record (33-38) compared to the Marlins’ away record (26-45).
- The Nationals have won 4 of their last 10 games, while the Marlins have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
Marlins vs Nationals
The Nationals Took The Last Game Of This Series
The Marlins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Pirates with a 3-1 loss. This was Miami’s third straight loss, and all three came in their series vs. Pittsburgh. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +130 on the money line. Things started off well for the Marlins, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Pirates scored twice in the bottom of the first.
Jonathan Bermudez got the start for the Marlins and took the loss. He only lasted two innings, giving up three earned runs on three hits. Cristian Pache came out of the bullpen to toss two scoreless innings, and the Marlins’s offense scored their only run in the 9th.
Miami is 5th in the NL East, 34 games behind the Phillies, and they have a 54-92 overall record with a three-game losing streak. The Marlins’ current skid started with a loss to the Pirates in the final game of their series.
Against the run line, the Marlins are 36-35 on the road, but as favorites, they are just 2-16. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 9 runs, which is the same as the combined average runs per game for both teams this season. In games with a total of 9, the Marlins have gone over 4 times, under 13 times, and pushed once.
Darren McCaughan Gets The Start For The Marlins
Miami is sending right-hander Darren McCaughan to the mound today as he faces the Nationals on the road. McCaughan has made two starts and seven appearances this season and has a record of 0-0 with a 7.40 ERA. So far, he has a WHIP of 1.85 and has allowed a total of six home runs. Opponents are batting .333 off McCaughan this season. In his most recent outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. McCaughan has finished with a no-decision in each of his last four outings.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Marlins offense is averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is the 2nd worst mark in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 13th in the league, but are near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and OPS. Miami’s offense has also been one of the worst in terms of drawing walks and home runs.
Jake Burger has been the Marlins top power threat this season, as his 25 home runs are the best mark on the team and 15th in the league. He is also leading the team with 61 RBIs. However, Burger is batting just .239 this season. Jesús Sánchez is batting .246 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 17 homers.
The Nationals Are Coming Off A Win
The Nationals are coming off a big 5-1 win over the Braves to close out their series. Washington was the +147 underdog at home going into this matchup. Things really turned in their favor with a three-run 3rd inning, and the Braves could only score one run, which came in the to 6th.
Jake Irvin put together a good start for the Nationals, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Washington’s offense was carried by CJ Abrams, who went 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Washington is 81-64 against the run line this season, with a 70-51 record as underdogs. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs, and their over/under record is 70-70. The over/under line for today’s game is 9 runs, and their O/U record in games with that total is 14-18-3.
The Nationals are 65-80 overall and 33-38 at home. They are 53-68 as underdogs and 12-12 when favored. Heading into today’s game, they have a 17-23-6 series record and are 4-6 in their last ten games.
Mitchell Parker Gets The Start For The Nationals
Washington is sending left-hander Mitchell Parker to the mound today vs. the Marlins. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 7-9 with an ERA of 4.43. Parker’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.31. In his 26 starts, he has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 8.07 strikeouts per nine innings. Parker most recently faced the Pirates, where he gave up four earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had lost three straight starts.
Nationals Offense Breakdown
Washington’s offense has been pretty average this season, as they are 21st in runs per game at 4.2 and are also near the bottom of the league in home runs. However, they do come in as one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts. The Nationals’ team batting average of .245 is 11th in the league.
CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. have been the Nationals’ top power threats this season, with Abrams leading the team with 20 homers and Garcia Jr. sitting in 2nd with 15. Abrams is also the team’s leader in RBIs, with 65. However, he has hit just .239 this season and has gone only 5/31 in the team’s last eight games. Luis Garcia Jr. has been a bit better of late, batting .229 in this stretch.
Marlins vs Nationals Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Marlins vs. Nationals game is to take the Nationals to win, but with the money line sitting at -182, we recommend taking the over, with the line being set at 9 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Nationals.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Mitchell Parker is projected to go just five innings, and his chances of picking up a win are not great. However, we do have him finishing with five strikeouts, which could make him an option in DFS. As for the Marlins, they are projected to finish with just seven hits compared to the Nationals with eight.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 12, 2024 Marlins, Nationals