The Miami Marlins (55-92) travel to face off against the Washington Nationals (65-81) on Friday, September 13th. This game will be played at Nationals Park in Washington and televised on MASN. The Marlins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nationals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Marlins. First pitch is set for 5:45 CT.
Marlins vs. Nationals Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Nationals (-148)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Nationals have scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games.
- The Nationals have won 4 of their last 5 home games.
- The Nationals have a 3-1 record against the Marlins in their last 4 head-to-head games.
- The Nationals have a higher home win percentage (.458) compared to the Marlins’ away win percentage (.375).
- The Nationals have outscored their opponents by a total of 10 runs in their last 3 home wins.
Marlins vs Nationals
Miami picked up a 6-3 road win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins offense got off to a fast start, scoring three runs in the first and adding two more in the 3rd. On the other side, the Nationals got on the board with three runs in the 5th.
Darren McCaughan only went five innings for the Marlins but gave up just three hits and one earned run. Anthony Bender got the win out of the bullpen, and Jesus Tinoco got the save. Mitchell Parker had a good outing for the Nationals, going 6 1/3 innings and striking out five.
Jake Burger went 3/4 with two RBIs to lead the Marlins offense. Xavier Edwards also had a two-hit game and scored a run for Miami. Dylan Crews had a two-hit game and drove in a run for the Nationals.
As the underdog, the Marlins have been a solid bet against the run line, going 67-62. Overall, they are 69-78 vs. the run line, and their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season. Miami is currently winning their series vs. the Nationals and has an overall series record of 11-26-9.
Miami’s straight-up record is 55-92, and they are 33.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Marlins have struggled as the favorite, going just 4-14, and they have a 28-47 home record compared to 27-45 on the road.
Edward Cabrera Gets The Start For The Marlins
Miami is sending Edward Cabrera to the mound today vs. the Nationals, and he comes in with a record of 4-6 and an ERA of 4.88. So far, he has made 17 starts, and opponents are batting .223 this season. In his 17 appearances, Cabrera has turned in four quality starts, and his ERA on the road is 8.27 compared to 4.14 at home. The right-hander’s most recent outing was a gem, as he went seven innings vs. the Phillies, picking up the win and not allowing a run. Before that, he had allowed at least two earned runs in three straight outings.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.4 runs per contest. Miami’s offense has been a little better at home, putting up 4.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 14th in the league, and their team on-base percentage is just .297 (23rd).
Jake Burger has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 25 homers is 1st on the team and 15th in the league. He is also 1st on the team with 61 RBIs. Jesús Sánchez is 2nd on the team with 17 homers and 59 RBIs. Over his last eight games, Otto Lopez has gone 11/32, and Connor Norby has three homers in his last seven games but is just 6/28 in that stretch.
Washington has been a run-line underdog in 121 games, posting a 70-51 record in those contests. Overall, they are 81-65 against the run line, with a 43-31 mark on the road and 38-34 at home. The Nationals’ games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, resulting in a 70-70 over/under record. In games they’ve won, the average run differential is +3.4, while in losses it is -3.8.
Heading into today’s game, the Nationals are 65-81 overall and 23 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. They are 4th in the division, with a 20-23 record in divisional games. At home, Washington is 33-39, while on the road, they are 32-42. The Nationals have dropped two straight games as the favorite and have a 12-13 record in those situations this season.
DJ Herz Gets The Start For The Nationals
DJ Herz will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that start vs. the Pirates, he went five innings and didn’t give up a hit. Looking at his overall numbers, Herz has made 16 starts, and his record for the season is 3-7. The right-hander has an ERA of 3.82 and a WHIP of 1.22. Opposing batters are hitting .214 off Herz this season. Out of his 16 starts, Herz has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 11.11 strikeouts per nine innings.
Nationals Offense Breakdown
Washington’s offense has been pretty average this season, as they are 21st in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 12th in the league, and are also one of the league’s better teams at avoiding strikeouts.
CJ Abrams has been a bright spot for the Nationals this season, leading the team with 20 home runs. He is also coming off a stretch in which he went 5/19 with two homers over his last five games. Luis Garcia Jr. is batting .281 this season and is 2nd on the team with 63 RBIs.
Marlins vs Nationals Prediction
Our predicted final score for this Nationals vs. Marlins matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Nationals. With the money line sitting at -148 for the Nationals, this is the bet we recommend making.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have DJ Herz finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Edward Cabrera, who we have finishing with six. Herz is also projected to go longer into the game than Cabrera.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:September 13, 2024 Marlins, Nationals