The Miami Marlins (55-93) travel to face off against the Washington Nationals (66-81) on Saturday, September 14th. This game will be played at Nationals Park in Washington and televised on BSFL. The Nationals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nationals. First pitch is set for 3:05 CT.
Marlins vs. Nationals Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Marlins (+124)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- Marlins have won 4 out of their last 6 away games.
- Marlins scored an average of 5.5 runs per game in their last 4 wins.
- Marlins have a head-to-head win against the Nationals in their last game, scoring 6 runs.
- Marlins have scored 4 or more runs in 7 out of their last 15 games.
- Marlins have a higher league rank (15th) compared to the Nationals (23rd).
Marlins vs Nationals
Washington picked up a 4-1 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a two-run 1st inning and didn’t score another run until putting up two more in the 7th. As for the Marlins, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Nationals were favored at -142 on the money line.
DJ Herz only went five innings for the Nationals but gave up just one run and one hit. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued one walk. Kyle Finnegan closed things out for Washington. Edward Cabrera had a good outing for the Marlins, giving up just one hit and no earned runs across six innings of work.
Luis Garcia Jr. hit the game’s only home run while going 1/3 with three RBIs and a run scored. Xavier Edwards had two hits and scored the Marlins’ only run. Javier Sanoja also had a two-hit game at the plate.
When favored, the Marlins have struggled this season, going just 4-14, but as underdogs, they have a 67-63 record. Overall, Miami is 55-93 and 33.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. Their average run margin is -1.3 runs per game, with an average of 8.9 runs per game in their contests.
Against the run line, the Marlins are 69-79, with a 37-36 record on the road and 32-43 at home. Their over/under record for games with an 8.5 run total is 28-23, and this line has been set in 18.9% of their games this season.
Valente Bellozo Gets The Start For The Marlins
Miami is sending right-hander Valente Bellozo to the mound today vs. the Nationals. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 2-3 with a 3.57 ERA. Bellozo’s WHIP for the season is 1.28, and opponents are batting .242 off him this year. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings vs. the Pirates and giving up three runs (one earned). Before that, he had turned in a quality start and didn’t give up a run. Bellozo has given up at least one homer in four of his last five outings.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
One of the Marlins’ top hitters this season has been Jake Burger, who is batting .246 with a team-high 25 home runs and 61 RBIs. He is also currently on a four-game hitting streak. Jesús Sánchez is also near the top of the home run leaderboard, with 17 homers this season while batting .248. Otto Lopez has gone 12/36 in his last nine games, while Connor Norby has struggled of late, going just 6/32 in his last eight games.
Overall, the Marlins are averaging only 3.8 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in team on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. As a team, they are batting just .241 and have the 25th ranked isolated power figure in the league.
Washington is 5 games below .500 at home, with a 34-39 record, and on the road, they are 32-42. They have an overall record of 66-81, placing them 4th in the NL East, 22 games behind the Phillies. The Nationals are 5-5 in their last 10 games and have split the first two games of this series vs. the Marlins.
As underdogs, the Nationals have a strong run line record of 70-51, but as favorites, they are 12-14. Their overall run line record is 82-65, with an average run margin of -0.6 runs per game. The O/U record for Nationals games this season is 70-71, and the average total runs scored in their games is 9.0.
Patrick Corbin Gets The Start For The Nationals
Left-hander Patrick Corbin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Marlins at home. This year, he has made 29 starts and has a record of 5-13 with a 5.60 ERA. Corbin’s WHIP for the season is 1.52, and opponents are batting .291 off him this year. In his last outing, Corbin took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Corbin’s ERA on the road is 7.34, compared to 4.73 at home.
Nationals Offense Breakdown
Washington’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 4.2 runs per game, which is 22nd in the MLB. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a team slugging percentage of just .377. One bright spot for the Nationals is that they have the 5th fewest strikeouts in the league.
CJ Abrams has been a bright spot for the Nationals this season, leading the team with 20 homers, but he is hitting just .239 for the season. Over his last six games, he has gone 5/23 with two homers. Luis Garcia Jr. is batting .282 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 64 RBIs.
Marlins vs Nationals Prediction
Our pick for today’s Marlins vs. Nationals matchup is to take the Marlins on the money line at +124. We have the Marlins winning this one by a final score of 5-4. With the over/under sitting at 8.5 runs, there isn’t a whole lot of wiggle room, and we would recommend sticking with the Marlins on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Valente Bellozo finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing 12th among all starters. As for Patrick Corbin, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which would have him finishing near the bottom of all starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 14, 2024 Marlins, Nationals