Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Marlins vs Washington Nationals Prediction 9/15/2024

The Miami Marlins (55-94) travel to face off against the Washington Nationals (67-81) on Sunday, September 15th. This game will be played at Nationals Park in Washington and televised on BSFL. The Nationals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nationals. First pitch is set for 12:35 CT.

Marlins vs. Nationals Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Nationals (-177)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Nationals have won 5 of their last 7 home games.
  • In the last 15 games, the Nationals have scored 4 or more runs in 9 games.
  • The Nationals have won 3 of their last 4 games against the Marlins.
  • The Nationals have held opponents to 2 runs or fewer in 4 of their last 7 home games.
  • The Nationals have a current winning streak of 2 games, while the Marlins are on a 2-game losing streak.

Marlins vs Nationals

miami marlins nba

Washington picked up a 4-1 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their four runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only run in the 2nd. Heading into the game, the Nationals were favored at -145 on the money line.

Patrick Corbin started for the Nationals and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued one walk. Valente Bellozo got the start for the Marlins and took the loss, going just 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.

Jose Tena and Joey Gallo each homered for the Nationals, while Juan Yepez scored twice and drove in a run while going 1/3. Keibert Ruiz also had a two-hit game at the plate.

Marlins games with a total of 8.5 runs have gone over 28 times in 51 games this season. The average total line for their games is 8 runs, and the under has hit in their last two games. Miami’s overall O/U record is 79-65.

On the run line, the Marlins are 67-64 as underdogs but just 2-16 when favored. They have a 27-47 road record and are currently 5th in the NL East at 55-94, 34.5 games behind the Phillies.

Adam Oller Gets The Start For The Marlins

Adam Oller is getting the start for the Marlins today on the road against the Nationals. Oller has a 1-2 record this season, and in his last start, he took the loss against the Pirates, giving up 6 runs over 5 innings. He has 21 strikeouts in 16 1/3 innings this year.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 29th in the majors. Their home run total of 134 is also near the bottom of the league. As a team, they are batting .241, and their on-base percentage of .296 is 22nd in the MLB.

Jake Burger and Jesús Sánchez have been the Marlins’ top power threats this season, with Burger leading the team with 25 homers and Sánchez sitting in the 2nd spot with 17. Burger has also driven in 61 runs, which is also the best mark on the team. Burger has gone 6/21 in his last five games, while Otto Lopez has also been swinging a hot bat, going 5/18 in his last five games.

Washington is 67-81 overall this season and 4th in the NL East, 22 games behind the Phillies. They have a 22-23 record in divisional games and are currently 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Nationals are leading their current series against the Marlins.

On the run line, Washington has an 83-65 record for the season and as underdogs, they are 70-51. Their average run margin in wins is +3.3, while in losses it’s -3.8. The Nationals’ over/under record is 70-72 and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season.

MacKenzie Gore Gets The Start For The Nationals

Washington is sending left-hander MacKenzie Gore to the mound today vs. the Marlins. He has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 8-12 with a 4.34 ERA. Gore’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.52. In his 29 appearances, he has turned in eight quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Gore took the loss vs. the Braves, going 3 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs, three walks, and a homer. Before that outing, he had gone 1-0 in two straight starts. Gore is averaging 9.65 strikeouts per nine innings.

Nationals Offense Breakdown

washington nationals

Washington’s offense has been pretty average this season, as they are just 22nd in runs per game at 4.2. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have the 5th fewest strikeouts in the league. The Nationals have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game.

CJ Abrams has been a bright spot for the Nationals this season, leading the team with 20 homers. He has also gone 5/19 in his last five games with two homers. Luis Garcia Jr. is batting .281 this season and has the 2nd most RBIs on the team. He is also on a three-game hitting streak.

Marlins vs Nationals Prediction

For this Marlins vs. Nationals matchup, we actually like the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Nationals, giving us plenty of room to take the over.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have MacKenzie Gore finishing with seven strikeouts and Adam Oller with six. However, Gore is projected to go just 5 innings, while Oller is projected to go 6 1/3 innings.

Offensively, our projections have the Nationals finishing with nine hits compared to the Marlins with nine. However, the Marlins are projected to finish with more strikeouts than the Nationals.

If you’re looking for a money line pick, we would go with the Nationals, but at -177, we think there is more value on the over at -104.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.