New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Mets vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 5/20/2024

The New York Mets (21-25) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (30-17) on Monday, May 20th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on SNY. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:10 ET.

Mets vs Guardians

new york mets nba

Heading into their last game vs. the Marlins, the Mets closed out the series with a 7-3 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -140 on the money line. It was a four-run 1st inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Marlins could only score three runs, all of which came in the 2nd.

Sean Manaea put together a good start for the Mets, going five innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. New York’s offense was carried by Brandon Nimmo, who went 1/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

New York is 21-25 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL East, and they trail the Phillies by 12 games for the division lead. The Mets head into today’s game vs. the Guardians, having gone 3-7 across their last 10 games. This season, they are just 5-8 in divisional games.

At home, the Mets are 10-14 this year and have gone 11-11 on the road. New York lost two of three in their series vs. the Marlins. Currently, their overall series record is 6-8-2.

When betting the run line, the Mets have been a better choice on the road than at home. They are 13-9 against the run line on the road, compared to 8-16 at home. Overall, they are 21-25 against the run line. They have been the favorite in 24 games, going 9-15 against the run line, and the underdog in 22 games, going 12-10 against the run line.

After a five-game over streak, the Mets’ over/under record is now 24-22. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game, but their average over/under line is 8.0 runs per game. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 6-4, and they have had seven games with over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, which is 15.2% of their games.

Tylor Megill Gets The Start For The Mets

Tylor Megill and the Mets are on the road to take on the Cleveland Guardians. Megill is coming off a loss in his first start of the season, which came at home against the Brewers. In that outing, he went 4 innings, giving up 2 runs on 3 hits and finished with 4 strikeouts.

Mets Offense Breakdown

Brandon Nimmo has been a key run producer for the Mets this season, as his 29 RBIs are 10th in the league and the best mark on the team. However, he has struggled of late, going just 2/20 in his last five games. Nimmo is also tied for 2nd on the team with seven homers but is batting just .217 for the season. Pete Alonso is also near the top of the league in home runs, but he has a batting average of just .229.

As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.3 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 12th in home runs and have the 13th best team batting average in the league. New York’s offense is also one of the best in the league at avoiding strikeouts.

The Guardians wrapped up their series vs. the Twins with a 5-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -114 on the money line. It was a big 1st inning for the Guardians, as they scored two runs, and then added another two runs in the 3rd.

Tanner Bibee put together a good start for the Guardians, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued only one walk and struck out eight Twins batters. Will Brennan was hot at the plate, going 1/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

Cleveland is hosting the Mets today with an overall record of 30-17, good for 1st place in the AL Central. The Guardians currently lead the Royals by 1.5 games in the division and have gone 10-5 against other AL Central teams. The Guardians have won three straight games and closed out their series vs. the Twins with a three-game winning streak.

So far, the Guardians have been really good in day games, going 14-3 this season. They have also been tough to beat at home, coming in with a record of 15-6. The Guardians have been equally as good on the road, going 15-11 this season. As the favorite, the Guardians are 19-9 this season and 11-8 as the underdog. Cleveland’s overall series record is 11-4, and they have won two straight series.

When playing at home, the Guardians have a run line record of 12-9, and their average run margin is +1.0. As the underdog, they are 14-5 against the run line, and their average run margin in winning games is +3.7.

When the Cleveland Guardians play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than their combined run average of 8.4 runs per game. The over/under record for the Guardians this season is 23-22, and their average over/under line is 8 runs per game. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the Guardians have a record of 5-10. So far this season, 53.2% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs.

Ben Lively Gets The Start For The Guardians

Through six starts, Ben Lively has a record of 2-2 and an ERA of 3.06 for the Guardians. Lively’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.27. So far, he has made two quality starts, and his ERA at home is 1.46 compared to 3.96 on the road. Lively’s most recent outing came on May 14th, where he picked up the win after going five innings and giving up three earned runs. In that outing, he gave up three homers. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

cleveland guardians

Andrés Giménez has been one of the hottest hitters in the MLB over the last nine games, going 13/36 (.361) with two homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .277 with three homers. Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor are the Guardians’ top power threats, with Ramirez leading the team with 11 homers and Naylor right behind him at 12. Ramirez also leads the team with 41 RBIs.

As a team, the Guardians are 6th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .238 and have the 7th ranked home run total in the league. Cleveland comes into the game as one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts.

Mets vs Guardians Prediction

The best bet we see for this Mets vs. Guardians matchup is to take the Guardians on the money line at -128. We actually have the Guardians winning this one by a score of 6-5, so there is some value on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Ben Lively finishing with just four strikeouts, which has him as the second-worst starter in terms of Ks today. As for Tylor Megill, he is projected to finish with five, which has him in the middle of the pack.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.