The New York Mets (19-22) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (30-13) on Wednesday, May 15th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on NSPPH. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.
Mets vs Phillies
Philadelphia cruised to a 4-0 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a two-run 3rd inning and added two more runs in the 9th. As for the Mets, they had their best chance to score in the 5th when they loaded the bases with no outs, but Aaron Nola got out of the jam without giving up a run.
Nola was outstanding for the Phillies in this one, going the distance and striking out eight without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Jose Butto took the loss for the Mets. Butto went just five innings and gave up two earned runs.
Starling Marte was the only Mets hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 2/4. Alec Bohm had a two-hit game for the Phillies, scoring two runs and driving in two runs.
The Mets are 19-22 overall this season, and they are 10.0 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. New York has dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Phillies 0-2. So far, they have gone 3-5 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Mets are 10-14 this season, and they are just above .500 at 9-8 on the road. New York has dropped two straight games, and they are just 7-7 as road underdogs this season. The Mets’ overall series record is 6-7-1, and they have dropped two straight series.
When the Mets are on the road, they have been a good bet against the run line, going 11-6. They have covered the run line in three straight games and have been a good bet as the underdog, going 11-9. They have a run differential of +0.4 on the road, compared to -0.4 at home.
The Mets have gone under the total in 7 of their 11 games with a total of 7.5 runs this season. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 19-22. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs per game.
Joey Lucchesi Gets The Start For The Mets
Joey Lucchesi is coming off a season in which he went 4-0 in nine starts for the Mets. His ERA for the season was 2.89, and he had three quality starts. Lucchesi’s WHIP for the season was 1.31, and he allowed four home runs. His FIP for the season was 4.22, and his strikeout-to-walk ratio was 1.9. For the season, Lucchesi averaged 6.17 strikeouts per nine innings and 3.28 walks per nine innings.
Mets Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Mets have been one of the best road hitting teams in the league, averaging 5.5 runs per game. However, they have been one of the worst home hitting teams in the league, averaging just 3.3 runs per game. Overall, they are 18th in the league at 4.2 runs per game. As a team, the Mets are batting just .233, which is 17th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .307 is also below the league average.
Brandon Nimmo comes into the game as the Mets’ current leader in RBIs, and he has gone 7/30 over his last nine games, including three home runs. Pete Alonso has gone deep nine times this season, which is 5th in the league, but he is batting just .226 overall. Francisco Lindor and Alonso have also struggled at the plate, with Lindor batting just .204 and Alonso at .226.
With a record of 30-13, the Phillies lead the NL East by 2 games over the Braves. The Phillies have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Mets. So far, they have gone 7-4 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Phillies are 15-7 this season, and they have also been strong on the road at 15-6. This season, the Phillies have been really good in night games, going 19-6. As the favorite, the Phillies are 25-10 this season, and they are 5-3 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 9-2-3 and have won two straight series.
The Phillies have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 23-20 overall. They have been even better on the run line on the road, going 13-8, compared to 10-12 at home. Their average run margin for the season is +1.6 runs per game. They have been a good bet as the favorite, going 18-17, compared to 5-3 as the underdog. In their wins, their average run margin is +3.8, compared to -3.7 in their losses.
With an over/under line of 7.5 runs, the Phillies have had 11 games with this line this season, and the under has hit in eight of them. The Phillies have an over/under record of 21-20 this season, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game. Today’s over/under line is slightly lower than their average line of 8 runs per game, and 62.8% of their games have had higher lines than 7.5 runs.
Ranger Suárez Gets The Start For The Phillies
Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today and comes in with a record of 7-0 and an ERA of 1.50. So far, he has made eight starts and has one complete game shutout. Suárez has turned in seven quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. In that May 10th start vs. the Marlins, he went seven innings, giving up just three hits and two walks. Per nine innings, Suárez is averaging just 1.33 walks compared to 9.17 strikeouts. At home, his ERA is 2.48, compared to 1.03 on the road.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
Not only are the Phillies one of the best offensive teams in the league this season, but they are also one of the hottest lineups in the league right now. Over their last nine games, both Bryce Harper and Bryson Stott are hitting over .340, with Harper having three homers and Stott having one. Harper is also 9/35 in this stretch with 11 RBIs. Alec Bohm has been a steady presence in the lineup all season, hitting .333 with four homers and 35 RBIs.
Philadelphia’s offense is 2nd in the league in runs scored at 5.2 runs per game. They are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. So far, they have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game.
Mets vs Phillies Prediction
We are predicting that the Phillies will pick up a win today, and with the money line payout being -194, we actually like the over/under line a lot more. Our recommended pick is to take the over at 7.5 runs, with the payout being -114.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Ranger Suarez is predicted to finish with five strikeouts, and his chances of picking up a win are the fourth best among today’s starters. As for Mets starters, they are projected to finish with the fifth fewest strikeouts today.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 15, 2024 Mets, Phillies