New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 9/13/2024

The New York Mets (80-66) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (88-58) on Friday, September 13th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on NSPPH. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.

Mets vs. Phillies Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Mets (+138)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Mets have won 10 of their last 15 games.
  • The Mets have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game in their last 15 games.
  • The Mets have a 6-2 record in their last 8 road games.
  • The Mets have won 4 of their last 5 games against the Phillies.
  • The Mets have an 8-2 record in their last 10 games overall.

Mets vs Phillies

new york mets nba

The Mets Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into their last game vs. the Blue Jays, the Mets closed out the series with a 6-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -135 on the money line. It was a big 6th inning for the Mets, as they scored six runs in the inning. The Blue Jays could only score one run, and it came in the 4th.

Sean Manaea put together a good start for the Mets, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run, and striking out eight. New York’s offense was carried by Francisco Alvarez, who went 1/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

Heading into today’s game, the Mets have an 80-66 record, putting them eight games behind the Phillies in the NL East. They have won five straight series and have an overall series record of 25-16-7. New York is 53-37 as the favorite and 27-29 as the underdog this season.

For games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the over has hit 25 times in 44 games. The Mets’ overall over/under record is 72-69, and games with an O/U line of 8.5 runs have accounted for 24% of their games this season.

Jose Quintana Gets The Start For The Mets

New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Phillies. Quintana has made 28 starts this year and has a record of 8-9. His ERA is 4.09, along with a WHIP of 1.31. Quintana’s last outing came on September 7th vs. the Reds, where he picked up the win. In that start, he went 6 2/3 innings and didn’t give up a run. Looking back further, Quintana has won two straight starts and hasn’t given up a run in either outing. So far, he has made 10 quality starts and is averaging 6.99 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has given up 22 homers.

Mets Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Mets are 6th in the league in home runs, and they have been one of the better run-scoring teams in the league, averaging 4.7 runs per game. Both of those numbers are among the top 10 in the league. New York has been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have both gone deep 31 times this season, which is 10th in the league. Lindor is batting .268 for the season and Alonso is at .238. Mark Vientos is also a player to watch, as he is batting .276 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 24 homers.

The Phillies Are Coming Off A Win

The Phillies’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rays, closing out their series with a 3-2 win. After allowing one run to the Rays in the top of the first, the Phillies responded with two runs of their own. Philadelphia went on to add another run in the 2nd inning, finishing the game’s scoring.

Zack Wheeler put together a good start for the Phillies, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. He also issued only three hits and struck out nine Rays batters. Nick Castellanos was hot at the plate, going 1/2 with a homer and two RBIs.

Philadelphia’s home record is 50-25, and they are 38-33 on the road. They have an overall record of 88-58, leading the NL East by eight games over the Mets. The Phillies have a three-game winning streak heading into today’s game against the Mets.

Against the run line, the Phillies are 71-75, and their average run differential in wins is +3.9 runs per game. The over/under record in games with an 8.5 run total is 15-14, and their overall O/U record is 68-71.

Aaron Nola Gets The Start For The Phillies

Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mets at home. Nola has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 12-7 with a 3.41 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Nola has a WHIP of 1.18 and has pitched one complete game shutout this year. Nola’s last outing came on September 7th vs. the Marlins, where he took the loss, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far this year, he has made 18 quality starts and is averaging 8.49 strikeouts per nine innings.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

philadelphia phillies

Heading into today’s game, the Phillies offense is 5th in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, and they also have a collective batting average of .259, which is 4th in the MLB.

Kyle Schwarber has been a big power threat for the Phillies this season, as his 35 homers is 7th in the league. He also comes into the game on a nine-game hitting streak. Schwarber’s 95 RBIs is the best mark on the team and 9th in the MLB. Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm are also having good seasons, with Harper batting .288 with 26 homers and Bohm hitting .290 with 13 homers.

Mets vs Phillies Prediction

Our pick for today’s Mets vs. Phillies game is to take the Mets on the money line, where they are currently sitting at +138. We have the Mets winning this one by a final score of 5-4.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jose Quintana finishing with four strikeouts, which would have him as the fourth-lowest among starters. As for Aaron Nola, we have him finishing with six strikeouts, which has him 14th among starters.

Offensively, we have the Mets finishing with eight hits compared to the Phillies with eight. The Phillies are projected to finish with four runs, which has them as the fifth-lowest team in terms of runs scored today.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.