New York Mets vs Washington Nationals MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction 6/3/2024

The New York Mets (24-35) travel to face off against the Washington Nationals (27-31) on Monday, June 3rd. This game will be played at Nationals Park in Washington and televised on MASN. The Nationals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 5:45 CT.

Mets vs Nationals

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New York is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 5-4 loss to the Diamondbacks, Jose Quintana was good on the mound, allowing just three runs on four hits, and the Mets offense scored all four of their runs in the 3rd inning. However, the Mets couldn’t close things out, and Jake Diekman took the loss out of the bullpen. New York was the slight favorite at -107 at home going into the game.

Brandon Nimmo was hot at the plate, going 1/4 with two RBIs. Both of his RBIs came in the Mets’ 3rd inning. Jose Quintana started for the Mets, going four innings and giving up three earned runs. He also issued three walks and took the loss.

The Mets are 4th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 16.5 games. Overall, the Mets are 24-35 and have dropped two straight games. New York lost the final two games of their series vs. the Diamondbacks and are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.

At home, the Mets are 13-21 this season and 11-14 on the road. As the road underdog, the Mets have gone 8-10 compared to 13-16 as the favorite. So far, their overall series record is 6-11-3 this year.

Despite a run differential of -0.7 runs per game, the Mets have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 25-34. They have been especially profitable on the road, where they are 14-11 against the run line. However, they have struggled against the run line as the favorite, going just 9-20.

The Mets have been a solid over team this season, with a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. Their over/under record is 31-27, and the over has hit in three straight games. The over/under line for today’s game against the Nationals is set at 8 runs, which is right in line with their season average.

Tylor Megill Gets The Start For The Mets

Tylor Megill and the Mets are on the road to take on the Nationals. Megill has made 3 starts so far this season, and he is coming off of a no-decision in his last outing, where he went 7 innings and struck out 9. He has yet to pick up a win, as he has a loss and a no-decision in his first two starts.

Mets Offense Breakdown

Coming into today’s game, the Mets offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. However, they have been much better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .236 and have the 10th ranked home run total in the league. Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo are the top two power threats in the lineup, with Alonso leading the team with 13 homers and Nimmo right behind him at 7.

Francisco Lindor has been swinging the bat well for the Mets, hitting .357 over his last seven games, with two homers and five RBIs. J.D. Martinez is also on a seven-game hitting streak and has two homers in his last six games. Overall, he is batting .292 in his last six games.

Washington closed out their series vs. the Guardians with a 5-2 win on the road. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +114 on the money line. It was a four-run 2nd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Guardians could only score two runs, both of which came in the 4th.

Jake Irvin put together a good start for the Nationals, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. Washington’s offense was carried by Ildemaro Vargas, who went 2/4 with a run scored and a RBI.

Washington will host the Mets with an overall record of 27-31, which has them 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by 13 games, and they are 8-6 in divisional matchups this year. The Nationals lost two of three in their series vs. the Guardians.

At home, the Nationals are 10-13 this season and 17-18 on the road. So far, they have been the underdog in most of their games, where they are 24-29 compared to 3-2 as the favorite. Washington’s overall series record is 7-11-1, and they will open their series vs. the Mets today with a record of 6-4 in their last 10 games.

The Nationals have a run line record of 36-22 this season, with a -0.2 average run margin. They have been a solid bet on the run line, going 23-12 on the road and 13-10 at home. When they are the underdog, they have been especially good, going 33-20 on the run line.

Washington’s games have averaged 8.2 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 25-31. When the O/U line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 3-5-1. In 58.6% of their games, the O/U line has been set higher than 8 runs. Their current O/U streak is 2 games.

MacKenzie Gore Gets The Start For The Nationals

Left-hander MacKenzie Gore gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Mets at home. He has made 11 starts this season and has a record of 4-4 with a 2.92 ERA. Gore’s WHIP for the season is 1.28, and opponents are batting .244 off him this year. In his 11 starts, Gore has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 11.05 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he went 5 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run, and got the win. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.

Nationals Offense Breakdown

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So far this season, the Nationals offense is averaging just 4 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .230 and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of home runs. CJ Abrams and Eddie Rosario are the team’s top home run hitters, but Rosario is batting just .176 this season.

Joey Meneses is the Nationals’ top run producer, with 29 RBIs, but he has just two homers and is batting .240. Over his last seven games, Lane Thomas is batting .296 with one home run and five RBIs. CJ Abrams has just one home run in his last five games and is batting .182.

Mets vs Nationals Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Nationals game is that the Nationals will pick up a 5-4 win at home. Given that the Nationals are predicted to win and the payout is -125, we see this as a good opportunity to take them on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, MacKenzie Gore is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Tylor Megill with five. However, Gore is projected to finish with fewer earned runs allowed than Megill and also has a better chance of picking up the win.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.