New York Mets vs Washington Nationals MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction 6/4/2024

The New York Mets (25-35) travel to face off against the Washington Nationals (27-32) on Tuesday, June 4th. This game will be played at Nationals Park in Washington and televised on SNY. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nationals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 5:45 CT.

Mets vs Nationals

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New York rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Mets vs. Nationals series. The Mets scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the top of the 5th, picking up an 8-7 win. Heading into the game, the Mets were at -102 on the money line.

Tylor Megill started for the Mets and went five innings, giving up four runs and striking out four. He did not factor in the decision as Jake Diekman got the save. MacKenzie Gore had a rough outing for the Nationals, giving up six runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work.

Joey Gallo hit the game’s only home run while going 1/3 with two RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Mark Vientos hit a home run for the Mets and went 2/3 with three RBIs.

The Mets are 25-35 overall and trail the Phillies by 16.5 games in the NL East. So far, they are 6-8 in divisional games. New York is on the road today, leading the Nationals by 2.5 games for 3rd place in the division.

At home, the Mets are 13-21 this year, and they are just above .500 at 12-14 on the road. So far, they have gone 13-16 as the favorite and 12-19 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 6-11-3, and they are 1-0 in this series vs. the Nationals.

When betting on the Mets this season, it’s been more profitable to take them on the run line when they’re on the road. They’re 15-11 against the run line on the road, compared to 11-23 at home. They’ve been a better bet against the run line as the underdog, going 17-14, compared to 9-20 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.7, while it’s -3.1 in losses.

With a combined run average of 9.2, the New York Mets have seen their fair share of high-scoring games this season. Their over/under record is 32-27, and their over streak is at four games. Today’s over/under line is set at 8.5, and the Mets have gone 8-5 in games with that line. Overall, 61.7% of their games have had lower lines than 8.5.

David Peterson Gets The Start For The Mets

David Peterson and the Mets are on the road to take on the Nationals. Peterson is coming off a start in which he went 5 innings and gave up 3 runs (2 earned) on 7 hits and 1 home run. He struck out 3 and walked 1 in a no-decision vs. the Dodgers.

Mets Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Mets are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per game, which is the best mark in the MLB. Overall, they are batting .238 as a team, which is 12th in the league, and have the 8th most home runs in the league.

Over the last six games, Mark Vientos and J.D. Martinez have both gone deep twice, with Vientos batting .333 and Martinez hitting .292. Martinez also has six runs and five RBIs over that stretch. Heading into the game, J.D. Martinez is on an eight-game hitting streak.

Washington is 27-32 overall and trails the Phillies by 14 games in the NL East. Currently, they are 3rd in the division and have gone 8-7 in divisional matchups. The Nationals will host the Mets today, and New York is 16.5 games out of first place in the division.

At home, the Nationals are 10-14 this year and 17-18 on the road. So far, they are 3-3 as the favorite and 24-29 as the underdog. Washington has dropped two straight at home, and their overall series record is 7-11-1. Heading into game two vs. the Mets, the Nationals dropped the first game of the series.

Washington is 36-23 against the run line this season, including a 13-11 mark at home. They have covered the run line in 23 of 35 road games. They have covered the run line in three of six games as the favorite and 33 of 53 games as the underdog.

The Washington Nationals have an over/under record of 26-31 this season, with an average combined run average of 8.3 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 9-10. Overall, 25.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Trevor Williams Gets The Start For The Nationals

Trevor Williams will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Braves and picked up the win. In that May 30th outing, he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Williams has made 11 starts and has a record of 5-0. His ERA for the season is an impressive 2.22, along with a WHIP of 1.08. Williams has made one quality start this year and is averaging 7.46 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has allowed a total of two home runs.

Nationals Offense Breakdown

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Washington’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 4 runs per game (23rd) and are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and slugging percentage. As a team, they are batting just .232, which is 17th in the league. The Nationals will need more production from Eddie Rosario, who is batting just .184 this season but does have 7 homers.

CJ Abrams has been a bright spot for the Nationals this season, as he is batting .249 and leads the team with 26 RBIs. Joey Meneses has driven in 30 runs this season but is batting just .240. Nick Senzel has been hot of late, going 6/16 in his last five games, and is currently on a three-game hitting streak.

Mets vs Nationals Prediction

Our predicted score for this game is 5-4 in favor of the Nationals. So we are recommending that you take the Nationals on the money line, where you can get them at -101.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have David Peterson finishing with six strikeouts, and Trevor Williams finishing with five. If you’re looking at some player props, you could look at the over/under for these two pitchers.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.