The Miami Marlins (11-32) travel to face off against the Detroit Tigers (21-20) on Tuesday, May 14th. This game will be played at Comerica Park in Detroit and televised on BSFL. The Tigers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Tigers. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.
Marlins vs Tigers
Detroit rallied for three runs in the 8th inning in the most recent game of this Tigers vs. Marlins series. The Tigers scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the 8th, picking up a 6-5 win. Heading into the game, the Tigers were favored at -172 on the money line.
Miami wasted a good outing from Sixto Sanchez, as he gave up just two hits and no earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work for the Marlins. Anthony Maldonado took the loss. Alex Faedo got the win out of the bullpen for the Tigers as Matt Manning went 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs.
Offensively, the Tigers were led by Spencer Torkelson, who went 1/4 with a home run. Wenceel Perez also had two hits and scored a run for Detroit. For the Marlins, Otto Lopez went 1/4 with a homer, while Nick Gordon went 3/4.
Miami is just 11-32 overall this season, and they are 18.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going just 2-11. The Marlins lost the series opener vs. the Tigers and have an overall series record of 1-11-1 this year.
At home, the Marlins are 6-17 while going 5-15 on the road. This season, they have really struggled as the underdog, going 8-21 compared to 3-11 as the favorite. Miami’s overall series losing streak is at three games, and they are just 2-8 over their last 10 games.
Despite their struggles overall, the Marlins have been a solid bet against the run line at 13-30. They are 8-12 against the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of -1.8 runs per game. Miami has been particularly profitable as the underdog, going 12-17 against the run line in those games.
The Miami Marlins have been on a roll when it comes to hitting the over, as their last four games have all gone over the total. Their over/under record for the season is 26-17, and their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game. Today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game when the line is set at 8 runs or lower. So far this season, 18.6% of their games have had an over/under line set at 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 12-7.
Ryan Weathers Gets The Start For The Marlins
Making the start for the Marlins today is left-hander Ryan Weathers. He comes into the game with a record of 2-4 and an ERA of 4.54. Weathers has made a total of eight starts this year and has a WHIP of 1.32. Looking back at his last outing, Weathers took the loss, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. He has given up three earned runs in each of his last three outings. Weathers has a total of six home runs allowed this year.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Marlins offense has been one of the worst in the league in terms of scoring runs, as they are averaging just 3.7 runs per game. This is also the 27th ranked scoring offense in the league. Miami’s offense has been a bit better at home, averaging 4 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. As a team, they are batting just .229 and have the league’s 15th worst home run total.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Marlins, going 7/20 in his last five games. He is also on a four-game hitting streak. For the season, Chisholm Jr. is batting .256 with five homers. Bryan De La Cruz and Nick Gordon are also tied for the team lead with eight homers.
Detroit is 21-20 overall and 4.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 10-6 against other AL Central teams. The Tigers are looking to pick up a win today, as they have dropped seven of their last ten games.
At home, the Tigers are 10-11 this year and 11-9 on the road. As the favorite, Detroit has gone 11-8 and 10-12 as the underdog. The Tigers have dropped three straight series and have an overall series record of 6-5-2 this year.
The Tigers have been a run line bettor’s nightmare at home, going just 6-15 against the run line. They have been much better on the road, going 13-7 against the run line. They have been a much better bet as the underdog, going 15-7 against the run line.
The Detroit Tigers have gone over the total in three straight games, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Miami Marlins is set at 8.5 runs. The Tigers’ games have averaged 8.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record for the season is 20-19. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 3-5, and their games have gone over the total in four of those eight contests. Overall, 70.7% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
Reese Olson Gets The Start For The Tigers
Through seven starts, Reese Olson is still looking for his first win of the season, as he comes into today’s game with a record of 0-4 and ERA of 2.52. Overall, he has made seven appearances and has a WHIP of 1.12. Opposing batters are hitting .203 off the right-hander this season. Olson has turned in three quality starts this year, and his ERA at home is 1.35 compared to 3.51 on the road. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in six innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.
Tigers Offense Breakdown
Andy Ibáñez has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Tigers, going 10/27 in his last eight games with two homers and five RBIs. This has helped him put together a five-game hitting streak. Mark Canha and Riley Greene have been the Tigers’ most consistent power threats this season, with Canha leading the team with 20 RBIs and Greene’s nine homers being the best mark on the team and 5th in the league.
As a team, the Tigers are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. Their team batting average of .228 is also 20th in the league. Detroit has also struggled in terms of getting on base, as they have an OBP of just .301. They have been even worse in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.
Marlins vs Tigers Prediction
We see the best value in this Marlins vs. Tigers matchup coming on the over/under line, with the line currently sitting at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Tigers, giving us some room on the over/under line.
If you’re looking for a money line pick, the Tigers are the way to go, but at -185, we would much rather take the over. Looking at some potential player props, Reese Olson is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the third-best among all starters today.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 14, 2024 Marlins, Tigers