The Miami Marlins (12-32) travel to face off against the Detroit Tigers (21-21) on Wednesday, May 15th. This game will be played at Comerica Park in Detroit and televised on BSDET. The Marlins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Tigers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Marlins. First pitch is set for 1:10 ET.
Marlins vs Tigers
Miami picked up a 1-0 win over the Tigers in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins offense only had four hits in the game but still picked up a win thanks to a good outing from Ryan Weathers, who went eight innings and didn’t give up a run. He finished the game with just four strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk.
Josh Bell provided the only run of the game for the Marlins, as he homered in the 10th inning. Wenceel Perez had a two-hit game for the Tigers, going 2/4.
Tanner Scott got the win out of the bullpen for the Marlins, while A.J. Puk got the save. Alex Lange took the loss for Detroit out of the bullpen.
Miami is just 12-32 overall this season, and they are 18.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 2-11 in the division. The Marlins are on a three-series losing streak and have an overall series record of 1-11-1 this year.
At home, the Marlins are just 6-17 this year, and they are only slightly better on the road at 6-15. This season, the Marlins are 3-11 as the favorite and 9-21 as the underdog. Miami’s overall record is 3-7 over their last 10 games.
When the Marlins are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 9-12. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and have been a good bet as the underdog, going 13-17. Their average run differential on the road is -1.7 runs per game.
Despite the fact that the Marlins have played 38.6% of their games with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 12 of those games. This includes the most recent game in which the Marlins played, a 6-1 win over the Tigers that saw 11 runs scored. The Marlins have played 44 games this season, and the over has hit in 26 of them.
Trevor Rogers Gets The Start For The Marlins
Miami is sending left-hander Trevor Rogers to the mound today vs. the Tigers. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 0-6 with a 6.57 ERA. Rogers has a WHIP of 1.86 and has struggled with the long ball, as he has given up five homers at home and five on the road. In his most recent outing, he took the loss, going just 3 1/3 innings vs. the Phillies and giving up four earned runs. Rogers has taken the loss in each of his last four outings. His ERA on the road is 13.07 compared to 5.72 at home.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.3 runs per contest. Miami’s team batting average is just .227, and they are also among the league’s worst teams in terms of on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. One area they have been solid is not striking out too often, as their 7 strikeouts per game is 9th in the league.
Bryan De La Cruz has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 8 homers are 6th in the league. However, he has hit just .219 over his last eight games. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has gone 10/32 in his last eight games and is batting .250 for the season. Josh Bell and Nick Gordon also have five homers apiece, but both are batting under .230 for the season.
Detroit is at an even 21-21 overall heading into their matchup vs. the Marlins. The Tigers are 5.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 10-6 in AL Central play. Detroit will be closing out their series vs. the Marlins today, and they are looking to snap a three-game series losing streak.
At home, the Tigers are 10-12 this year and 11-9 on the road. Detroit has gone 11-9 both as the favorite and as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Tigers are 6-5-2 this year. They are also just 3-7 over their last ten games overall.
When betting the run line on the Detroit Tigers, it’s been a mixed bag this season. They have a run line record of 19-23 overall, but they have been much better on the road, where they are 13-7. They are just 6-16 at home. They have been the favorite in 20 games and the underdog in 22 games. They have a run line record of 4-16 as the favorite and 15-7 as the underdog. Their average run differential this season is +0.1 runs per game.
When the Tigers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. So far this season, the over/under record for Tigers games is 20-20, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. In the 40 games they’ve played, only 9.5% of them have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Casey Mize Gets The Start For The Tigers
Casey Mize will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced off against the Astros and finished with a no-decision. In that outing, he went six innings, giving up just one earned run on five hits. Looking back further, Mize has made three straight starts without taking the loss. He has a record of 1-1 this season and an ERA of 3.58. Mize’s WHIP for the season is 1.30. So far, he has made three quality starts and is averaging 6.21 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, Mize has allowed three homers. Per nine innings, he is giving up just 2.15 walks. At home, his ERA is 2.70 compared to 4.57 on the road.
Tigers Offense Breakdown
Over his last nine games, Andy Ibanez has been swinging a hot bat for the Tigers, going 10/31 with two homers and five RBIs. This has helped him bring his season average up to .323. Mark Canha is the team’s leader in RBIs, with 20, and has gone deep six times this season. However, he is batting just .239. Riley Greene is batting .242 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 19 RBIs.
Greene has been in a bit of a slump of late, going just 6/40 in his last 10 games. However, he has gone deep twice during this stretch. Wenceel Perez is also on a hot streak, batting .333 over his last eight games. As a team, the Tigers are batting just .226, and their 4 runs per game is 21st in the league.
Marlins vs Tigers Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Marlins vs. Tigers matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. We have the Tigers picking up a 5-4 win, which gives us some room on the over/under line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we actually have Trevor Rogers finishing with more strikeouts than Casey Mize, but we still like the over. Rogers is projected to finish with seven K’s, compared to Mize with five.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 15, 2024 Marlins, Tigers