Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros Prediction 7/10/2024

The Miami Marlins (32-59) travel to face off against the Houston Astros (47-44) on Wednesday, July 10th. This game will be played at Minute Maid Park in Houston and televised on None. The Astros are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Astros. First pitch is set for 7:10 CT.

Marlins vs. Astros Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Astros (-255)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • The Astros have won 10 of their last 15 games, indicating strong recent performance.
  • The Astros have scored an average of 6.4 runs per game in their last 15 games, showcasing their offensive strength.
  • In their last 7 home games, the Astros have won 6, demonstrating a strong home-field advantage.
  • The Marlins have lost 7 of their last 10 games, indicating a recent struggle in performance.
  • The Astros have outscored their opponents by 28 runs in their last 15 games, highlighting their dominant play.

Marlins vs Astros

miami marlins nba

Houston picked up a 4-3 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a late rally, scoring two runs in the 7th and another two in the 8th. As for the Marlins, they scored one run in the 1st and added their final two runs in the 5th.

Ronel Blanco started for the Astros and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued two walks. Josh Hader closed things out. Trevor Rogers got the start for the Marlins, taking the loss after going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Jesus Sanchez each homered for the Marlins, while Bryan De La Cruz went 2/3 with an RBI. Alex Bregman hit a home run for the Astros, going 2/4 with three RBIs.

Overall, the Marlins have struggled this season with a 32-59 record and are 27 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. Against the NL East, they have a 7-19 record and are 3-7 in their last 10 games. Miami’s series record is 8-19-2.

On the run line, the Marlins are 41-50 and have covered it in their last three road games. As underdogs, they are 39-35 straight up. This season, 47.3% of their games have had O/U lines higher than today’s total of 8 runs.

Bryan Hoeing Gets The Start For The Marlins

Miami is sending right-hander Bryan Hoeing to the mound today as he faces the Astros on the road. He has made 12 appearances this year and just one start, coming into the game with a record of 0-1 and an ERA of 1.99. Hoeing’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.06. The right-hander most recently pitched on July 5th, where he took the loss, going three innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Hoeing has not allowed a homer in any of his other appearances this year.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

The Marlins offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging just 3 runs per contest. Miami is also near the bottom of the league in home runs and team slugging percentage. However, they do come into the game with a collective batting average of .230.

Bryan De La Cruz has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 15 home runs are the best mark on the team and 12th best in the league. He is also the team’s leader in RBIs. Over his last seven games, Jesús Sánchez has three home runs and is hitting .333. Jake Burger comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak.

Currently on a nine-game winning streak, the Astros are 47-44 overall and trail the Mariners by two games in the AL West. At home, they have a 25-19 record and have won seven straight games. Their series record stands at 16-12-1.

When the Astros win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.9 runs per game. This season, their games have averaged 9.1 runs, and the over/under record is 35-52. Today’s total of 8 runs is lower than usual for Astros games.

Framber Valdez Gets The Start For The Astros

Framber Valdez will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Blue Jays. In that July 4th start, he went six innings and gave up three earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Valdez has made 15 starts, has a record of 7-5, and his ERA is 3.84. Valdez has a WHIP of 1.30 and has turned in nine quality starts this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.09 strikeouts and 3.05 walks. So far, Valdez has allowed eight homers at home and has an ERA of 4.46 at home compared to 4.53 on the road.

Astros Offense Breakdown

houston astros

So far this season, the Astros have been the best hitting team in the league, batting .263 as a team. They are also the top home run hitting team in the league and have been very good at avoiding strikeouts. Overall, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. At home, they have been even better, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.

Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker are tied for the team lead in homers, and Alvarez has gone deep three times in his last seven games, batting .304 over that stretch. Jose Altuve is also swinging a hot bat right now, as he is on a seven-game hitting streak.

Marlins vs Astros Prediction

We see the Astros taking this one at home by a score of 5-4. However, with the Astros at -255 on the money line, we see the better value being on the over/under line. Our recommended pick is to take the over at 8 runs. You can get the over at -108.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Framber Valdez finishing with six strikeouts compared to Bryan Hoeing with five. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to pair an Astros win with Valdez to outpitch Hoeing.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.