Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros Prediction 7/11/2024

The Miami Marlins (32-60) travel to face off against the Houston Astros (48-44) on Thursday, July 11th. This game will be played at Minute Maid Park in Houston and televised on BSFL. The Astros are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Astros. First pitch is set for 7:10 CT.

Marlins vs. Astros Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Astros (-199)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • Astros have won 10 out of their last 15 games.
  • Astros have scored an average of 6.6 runs per game in their last 15 games.
  • Astros have won their last 5 home games.
  • Astros have outscored the Marlins 13-4 in their last 2 head-to-head games.
  • Astros have a 7-3 record in their last 10 games, while the Marlins have a 3-7 record in their last 10 games.

Marlins vs Astros

miami marlins nba

Houston cruised to a 9-1 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their nine runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Astros were favored at -227 on the money line.

Framber Valdez pitched well for the Astros in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts and picked up a win. Bryan Hoeing had a rough outing for the Marlins, taking the loss.

Joey Loperfido hit the game’s only home run while going 2/4 with two RBIs and two runs scored. Yainer Diaz also had a good game at the plate, going 3/4 with three RBIs.

Miami’s overall series record is 8-19-2, and they are currently down 0-2 in the series vs. the Astros. The Marlins are 41-51 against the run line this season, with a 22-21 mark on the road. As underdogs, they have a 39-36 run line record, but as favorites, they are just 2-15.

For the season, the Marlins have an over/under record of 48-42, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game is 8.5 runs, which is the same as their season average. Miami’s straight-up record is 32-60, and they are in 5th place in the NL East, 28 games behind the Phillies.

Roddery Muñoz Gets The Start For The Marlins

Miami is sending Roddery Muñoz to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 1-3 and ERA of 5.48. Muñoz has made eight starts and two of them have been quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Muñoz came out of the bullpen and went four innings. He didn’t give up a run in that outing, but he did give up a home run. Before that, he had given up a home run in three straight outings. Opponents have a batting average of .233 this season off Muñoz. His ERA at home is 7.12 compared to 5.01 on the road.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. Their road offense has been even worse, averaging only 2.9 runs per game. Miami’s offense has been a bit better at home, averaging 4 runs per game. Collectively, the Marlins are batting just .230, which is 17th in the league.

Bryan De La Cruz has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 15 home runs are 13th in the league. He also leads the team with 43 RBIs. De La Cruz is batting just .241 this season. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is right behind him in the home run and RBI departments, with 11 homers and 41 RBIs. Over his last five games, Jesús Sánchez has gone 4/16 with two homers.

At home, the Astros have an over/under record of 10-17 when the total is 8.5 runs, and the average total runs scored in their games at home is 9.1. Overall, their over/under record is 36-52, with games averaging 9 runs per game. Houston is 47-45 against the run line, including 23-22 at home and 24-23 on the road.

Houston has won two straight games and is 7-3 in their last 10, the best record in the AL West. They trail the Mariners by two games in the division, with an overall record of 48-44. As the favorite, the Astros are 36-32, and they have an 8-game winning streak at home.

Jake Bloss Gets The Start For The Astros

Jake Bloss is getting the start for the Astros today as they take on the Marlins. In his first start of the season, Bloss went 3 2/3 innings, giving up 2 earned runs and striking out 6. He did give up a home run in that outing.

Astros Offense Breakdown

houston astros

For the season, the Astros are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game. As a team, the Astros are batting .264, which is the best mark in the league, and also have the fewest strikeouts in the league.

Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker have been the Astros’ top power threats this season, with both players having 19 home runs. Alvarez’s 51 RBIs are the best on the team, while Tucker is 5th with 40 RBIs. Jose Altuve is also having a strong season, hitting .309 with 13 homers.


Marlins vs Astros Prediction

Our predicted final score for this one is 6-4 in favor of the Astros, which would have them covering the -199 on the money line. However, we actually like the over in this matchup, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. Our recommended pick would be to take the over, as we see this one finishing with 10 combined runs.

Looking at some potential player props, Jake Bloss is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing 10th among starters. As for Roddery Muñoz, we have him finishing with just four K’s, which would have him near the bottom of starting pitchers today.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.