Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros Prediction 7/9/2024

The Miami Marlins (32-58) travel to face off against the Houston Astros (46-44) on Tuesday, July 9th. This game will be played at Minute Maid Park in Houston and televised on BSFL. The Marlins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Astros are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 7:10 CT.

Marlins vs. Astros Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Astros (-236)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • Astros have won 8 out of their last 10 home games.
  • Astros have scored an average of 7.1 runs per game in their last 10 home games.
  • Astros have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games overall.
  • Astros have a 3-game winning streak at home.
  • Astros have outscored their opponents by 27 runs in their last 10 home games.

Marlins vs Astros

miami marlins nba

The Marlins Are Coming Off A Win

The Marlins’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the White Sox, closing out their series with a 7-4 win. After allowing two runs to the White Sox in the top of the 4th, the Marlins responded with a run of their own and added another four runs in the 6th inning. Miami went on to close things out with a 7-4 win. Heading into the game, the Marlins were the heavy favorite at -149.

Edward Cabrera got the start for the Marlins, going 3 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He also issued just one walk and struck out four White Sox batters. Jake Burger had only one hit, but it was a home run, and Josh Bell had a good day at thejson, going 1/4 with two RBIs.

Miami is 32-58 overall, and they have a 7-19 record against NL East teams. They are 5th in the NL East, 26 games behind the Phillies. The Marlins have won two straight games, including their last game against the White Sox.

As underdogs, the Marlins are 38-35 straight up and 21-20 against the run line on the road. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 47-41. The over has hit in 15 of their 8.5-run line games this season.

Trevor Rogers Gets The Start For The Marlins

Miami is sending left-hander Trevor Rogers to the mound today vs. the Astros. He has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 1-9 with a 4.91 ERA. Rogers’ WHIP for the season is 1.60, and he has turned in three quality starts. In his last outing, Rogers took the loss, giving up two earned runs in three innings of work vs. the Red Sox. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. Rogers has a 6.85 ERA on the road this year compared to 5.5 at home.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the MLB. Miami has been even worse on the road, averaging only 3 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s worst home run-hitting team and have the worst on-base percentage in the league. Miami’s team OPS of .632 is also the worst in the majors.

For the season, Bryan De La Cruz is batting just .237, but he does have a team-high 15 home runs and 42 RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is also in double digits in homers, with 10, and is batting .255. Over his last seven games, Jake Burger has gone just 6/29 at the plate, but he does have two homers in that stretch. Jesús Sánchez has also gone deep twice in his last seven games while batting .318.

The Astros Took The Last Game Of This Series

Houston closed out their series vs. the Twins with a 3-2 loss. Heading into the game, the Astros were the +125 underdog on the money line. Things started off well for the Astros, as they got on the board with two runs in the 2nd inning but couldn’t hold the lead. The Twins scored a run in the 4th and added another in the 9th to pick up the win.

Spencer Arrighetti got the start for the Astros and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up two earned runs on seven hits. Offensively, the Astros only had five hits but scored their only two runs on a Josh Hjson double in the 2nd.

As the underdog, the Astros are 12-12 straight up this season, while as the favorite, they have a 34-32 record. Currently, Houston is two games behind the Mariners in the AL West, with an overall 46-44 record. They have covered the run line in six straight home games and are 8-2 on the run line in their last 10 games.

Looking at the over/under, the Astros have a 10-16 O/U record in games with an 8.5 run total line. Their overall O/U record for the season is 35-51, with an average of 9.1 runs per game. For the season, 36.7% of their games have had total lines of 8.5 runs, resulting in a 10-16 O/U record.

Ronel Blanco Gets The Start For The Astros

Houston is sending Ronel Blanco to the mound today vs. the Marlins, and he has made 16 starts this season. Blanco’s record is 8-3, and he has an ERA of 2.53. So far, he has turned in one complete game shutout and nine quality starts. Blanco most recently pitched vs. the Blue Jays, where he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, four hits, and two homers. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Blanco’s ERA at home is 2.86, compared to 2.51 on the road.

Astros Offense Breakdown

houston astros

Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker have been the Astros’ top power threats this season, as they are tied for the team lead with 19 home runs. Alvarez comes into the game batting .298, while Tucker is at .266. Alvarez has gone 9/26 with three homers in his last eight games, and Tucker is on a three-game hitting streak. Jose Altuve is also swinging a hot bat right now, as he is batting .309 for the season and has a six-game hitting streak.

As a team, the Astros are the top hitting team in the league, batting .264, and they also lead the league in fewest strikeouts per game. Overall, they are averaging 4.8 runs per contest, and they have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per game.

Marlins vs Astros Prediction

Our predicted final score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Astros. However, with the payout for an Astros win being -236, we recommend taking the over at 8.5 runs. You can get the over at +101, and we have the Astros winning by just one run, so there is some room for error in the over/under line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Trevor Rogers is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and Ronel Blanco is projected to finish with six as well. However, we have Blanco finishing with fewer earned runs, and he is also projected to finish with more innings.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.