The Miami Marlins (57-99) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (81-75) on Tuesday, September 24th. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on BSFL. Both the Marlins and Twins are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:40 CT.
Marlins vs. Twins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Twins (-243)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Twins have scored 6 or more runs in 4 of their last 6 home games.
- The Twins have a home record of 42-33, while the Marlins have an away record of 27-48.
- The Twins have won 3 of their last 4 home games.
- The Marlins have lost 7 of their last 10 games.
- The Twins have a higher league rank (7th) compared to the Marlins (15th).
Marlins vs Twins
The Twins Took The Last Game Of This Series
Miami is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 5-4 loss to the Braves, Jake Burger went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs. The Marlins also got a good start from Darren McCaughan, allowing just one run while he was on the mound. However, they took him out after just four innings of work.
Declan Cronin took the loss out of the bullpen for the Marlins, as Miami allowed three runs in the top of the 9th to blow their lead. Heading into this game, the Marlins were at +166 on the money line.
Marlins games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, with an over/under record of 82-68. When the total has been set at 8 runs, the over/under record is 18-12-2. Miami’s run line record is 73-83, and they are 71-67 against the run line as underdogs.
Miami is 57-99 overall and have lost four straight series. They are 30-51 at home and 27-48 on the road. As underdogs, the Marlins are 53-85, but they are just 4-14 when favored. Heading into today’s game, they have dropped two straight games.
Ryan Weathers Gets The Start For The Marlins
Miami is sending left-hander Ryan Weathers to the mound today vs. the Twins. He has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 3-6 with a 3.94 ERA. Weathers’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.18. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings vs. the Dodgers and giving up five earned runs. Looking back over his last three starts, Weathers has allowed at least four earned runs in each outing. The last time he didn’t give up a run was on May 26th vs. the Diamondbacks.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 28th in the MLB. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game. Miami’s offense has struggled in a number of areas, including team on-base percentage, where they are 26th in the league. The Marlins are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have the worst team walk rate in the league.
Jake Burger has been swinging a hot bat for the Marlins, hitting .276 over his last eight games with three homers. For the season, he is batting .248 with a team-high 28 homers and 69 RBIs. Jesús Sánchez is also near the top of the Marlins’ home run and RBI leaderboards, with 18 homers and 63 RBIs. Otto Lopez has also been hot of late, going 11/28 over his last eight games.
The Twins Took The Last Game Of This Series
The Twins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Red Sox with a 9-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 5th inning before the Red Sox scored six runs in the 6th to pull away. Minnesota was the -120 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Zebby Matthews got the start for the Twins and took the loss. He only lasted 4 2/3 innings, giving up six earned runs. Offensively, the Twins scored their only three runs in thejson 5th. Trevor Larnach and Christian Vazquez each had two hits. Larnach also scored a run and drove in one.
Minnesota has struggled recently, losing two straight games and going 3-7 in their last 10. They are 8.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central, with an 81-75 overall record, putting them in 4th place.
When betting the run line on the Twins this season, they have been a better bet on the road (40-41) than at home (32-43) and as the underdog (25-22) compared to the favorite (47-62). Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game, with the over hitting in two straight games, bringing their season total to 79 overs in 150 games.
Bailey Ober Gets The Start For The Twins
Minnesota is sending Bailey Ober to the mound today vs. the Marlins. The right-hander has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 12-7 with a 3.84 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .200 off Ober this season, and he has a WHIP of .97. Ober’s last outing came on September 18th, where he finished with a no-decision after giving up two earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a homer. This year, he has allowed 25 homers. Ober has one complete game and 18 quality starts this season.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Carlos Santana has been the Twins’ top power hitter this season, as he leads the team with 22 home runs and 65 RBIs, but he has struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .182 over his last eight games. Willi Castro comes into the game with a batting average of .249 and has gone deep 12 times this season, which is 7th in the league. Castro has also been swinging the bat well of late, hitting .259 with a homer in his last eight games.
For the season, the Twins are averaging 4.6 runs per game and are 9th in the league in home runs. As a team, they are batting .247, which is 10th in the league. Currently, they have three players on a three-game hitting streak, including Matt Wallner, who is batting .321 over his last eight games.
Marlins vs Twins Prediction
Our prediction for the Twins vs. Marlins matchup is to take the Twins to win at home, with a final score prediction of 6-5. However, with the Twins being such heavy favorites on the money line, we recommend taking the over at 8 runs, as we see this game having a combined 11 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Bailey Ober finishing with six strikeouts compared to Ryan Weathers with five. We have Ober’s chances of picking up a win ranked higher than Weathers, with Weathers projected to go 5.1 innings compared to Ober, who we have going 5.2 innings.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 24, 2024 Marlins, Twins