Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 9/26/2024

The Miami Marlins (58-100) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (82-76) on Thursday, September 26th. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on BSFL. The Twins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 6:40 CT.

Marlins vs. Twins Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Twins (-252)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Twins have scored 8 or more runs in 3 of their last 5 home games.
  • The Twins have won 4 of their last 5 home games.
  • The Marlins have lost 7 of their last 10 games.
  • The Marlins have a poor away record with only 28 wins and 49 losses.
  • The Twins have a better overall record at home with 43 wins and 34 losses.

Marlins vs Twins

miami marlins nba

Even though the Twins were favored at -193 on the money line, they still picked up an 8-3 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. Minnesota’s offense got off to a fast start, scoring three runs in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Marlins got on the board with one run in the 3rd and added their final two runs in the 4th.

Byron Buxton and Trevor Larnach each homered for the Twins, while Carlos Santana scored three times and drove in three runs while going 1/4. Jake Burger hit the game’s other home run for Miami and drove in three runs.

Simeon Woods Richardson only went one inning for the Twins but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. Griffin Jax got the win, going five innings and giving up one earned run. Edward Cabrera struggled on the mound for the Marlins, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work.

Miami is 58-100 overall, and they are 5th in the NL East, 35.5 games behind the Phillies. The Marlins are 3-7 in their last 10 games and are looking to even up their series with the Twins today.

Against the run line, the Marlins are 39-38 on the road and 35-46 at home. As underdogs, they have a 72-68 run line record. Miami’s games have averaged 9.1 runs this season, and their overall over/under record is 83-69.

Valente Bellozo Gets The Start For The Marlins

Right-hander Valente Bellozo is starting for the Marlins today as he faces the Twins on the road. Bellozo has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 3-4 with a 3.82 ERA. In his 12 appearances, he has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 5.94 strikeouts per nine innings. Bellozo’s most recent outing came on September 20th, where he picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had lost three straight starts.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Marlins are averaging 3.8 runs per game, which is 28th in the majors. They have been even worse on the road, putting up just 3.4 runs per contest. Miami has been better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game. As a team, the Marlins are batting .242, and their team on-base percentage is just .298 (20th). Miami’s offense has been led by Jake Burger, who is hitting .247 for the season and has gone 8/27 with three homers over his last seven games.

As a team, the Marlins are just 25th in home runs this season. Burger’s 29 homers are 13th in the league, and he also leads the team with 72 RBIs. Jesús Sánchez is right behind him in terms of RBIs, with 63, and he has 18 homers this season.

Minnesota has an over/under record of 25-22 in games with an 8.5-run total line. This season, their games have averaged 9.1 runs, and their over/under record stands at 80-72. Against the run line, the Twins are 33-44 at home and 40-41 on the road, with an overall record of 73-85.

The Twins are 4th in the AL Central with an 82-76 record, trailing the Guardians by 9.5 games. They have lost three straight series and are looking to bounce back after two consecutive losses. Minnesota’s overall record as favorites is 65-46, but as underdogs, they are 17-30.

David Festa Gets The Start For The Twins

Right-hander David Festa is getting the start for the Twins today as he faces the Marlins at home. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 2-6 with an ERA of 4.80. Festa’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.28, and he has only turned in one quality start this year. In his 13 appearances, opponents are batting .227. Festa’s most recent outing came against the Red Sox, where he went five innings, giving up one earned run on six hits. He finished with a no-decision in that outing.

Twins Offense Breakdown

minnesota twins

Carlos Santana comes into the game as the Twins’ leader in home runs this season, but he has struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .179 over his last 10 games. However, he does have five RBIs during that stretch. Willi Castro and Ryan Jeffers are also near the top of the Twins’ home run leaderboard, with Castro batting .250 for the season and Jeffers at just .224.

Over his last eight games, Byron Buxton has gone 10/33 with a home run and four RBIs. This stretch has pushed his season average to .250. Buxton also comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak. Willi Castro has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 10/35 in his last 10 games.

Marlins vs Twins Prediction

Our predictions for the Twins vs. Marlins matchup is to take the over, with the line being set at 8.5 runs. We are predicting a 6-5 win for the Twins, giving us plenty of wiggle room if you wanted to take the over/under.

If you’re looking for a money line pick, the Twins are the way to go, but at -252, we prefer the over. Looking at the starters, we have Valente Bellozo finishing with six strikeouts compared to David Festa with five.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.