The Miami Marlins (1-10) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (9-2) on Tuesday, April 9th. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on BSFL. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Marlins. First pitch is set for 7:05 ET.
Marlins vs Yankees
The Yankees and Marlins wrapped up their series with a game that saw the Yankees win by a score of 7-0. Despite the lopsided score, the Marlins actually had just as many hits as the Yankees, but the Yankees’ six-run 4th inning and two home runs were more than enough.
Miami’s offense was held in check by Nestor Cortes, who went eight innings and didn’t give up a run. As for the Marlins, starter Jesus Luzardo took the loss, giving up all seven runs in less than five innings of work. Both Juan Soto and Anthony Volpe went deep for the Yankees, while Alex Verdugo went 3/3 with a double.
Heading into the game, the Yankees were the favorite at -152 on the money line. The Marlins were the underdog at +127. Miami’s offense never got going, and the game finished well below the total of 8.5 runs.
The Marlins are off to a rough start this season, as they have just one win in their first 11 games. They are currently in last place in the NL East, trailing the Nationals by 3.5 games. Miami has struggled at home, going 0-7, but they have been slightly better on the road, going 1-3.
So far, the Marlins have not fared well in day games, going 1-7, and they have also struggled in series, as they are currently on a three-game losing streak in series and have lost their last two series at home.
When it comes to the run line, the Marlins have been a team to fade this season. They are just 1-10 overall and 0-7 at home. On the road, they are 1-3 against the run line. As the favorite, they are 0-7, while as the underdog, they are 1-3. Their average run margin for the season is -2.9 runs per game, but in their losses, it drops to -3.9.
When the Marlins and Yankees met, the over/under line was set at 8.0 runs, and the game went under that total. This season, the Marlins have played in 11 games with an over/under line, and the over has hit in eight of them. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8.0 runs, and their games have averaged 10.2 runs per game.
A.J. Puk Gets The Start For The Marlins
Although A.J. Puk has taken the loss in each of his first two starts, he has been able to rack up the strikeouts. In his first start, he struck out 5 in 4 innings, and then followed that up with 6 K’s in just 2 innings of work.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
When looking at the Marlins’ player prop projections for hits and home runs, we see that Luis Arraez has the highest total hits projection on the team and is 4th in terms of all players across today’s games. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is not far behind Arraez in terms of total hits, and he is actually our top projected home run hitter for the Marlins. If you’re looking to bet on a Marlins player to hit a home run, Jazz Chisholm Jr. has the 12th best odds in today’s games. If you’re looking for a longshot, Jake Burger has the best odds on the Marlins and is 12th in terms of all players today.
At 9-2, the Yankees are off to a great start and are currently in 1st place in the AL East. They have a 3.0 game lead over the Red Sox and are 7.0 games ahead of the White Sox for the 5th spot in the division. The Yankees have been excellent at home, going 3-1, and have been even better on the road, posting a 6-1 record.
New York has won three straight games and has won three straight series overall. They are also 5-2 as the favorite and have won all four games when they have been the underdog.
The Yankees have been a solid run line bet this season, going 7-4 overall. They are 2-2 against the run line at home, where they have a scoring margin of 2.5 runs per game. Their run line record is 5-2 on the road, where they have a scoring margin of 1.0 runs per game. They have covered the run line in their last two games and have covered in four straight games as the underdog.
Through their first ten games, the New York Yankees have seen their over/under line set at an average of 9 runs per game, with today’s line set at 8.5 runs. The Yankees have gone over the line in just three of their ten games, with their combined run average sitting at 8.6 runs per game. Their over/under record is 3-7, and in the two games where the line was set at 8.5 runs, they’ve split the outcomes, going over once and under once.
Carlos Rodón Gets The Start For The Yankees
Carlos Rodón will be making his third start of the season for the Yankees, and he will be taking on the Marlins at home. In his first two outings, Rodón has a pair of no-decisions, and he has struck out 7 and 4 batters, respectively.
Yankees Offense Breakdown
If you’re looking at the Yankees’ player prop projections, Aaron Judge is not only projected to have the 3rd highest total hits on the team, but he also has the best odds to hit a home run for the Yankees and 6th best in the league today. Giancarlo Stanton’s home run projection is 8th best in the league today. Gleyber Torres is projected to have the most hits for the Yankees and his home run projection is 15th in the league today. Juan Soto is 2nd in terms of total hits on the Yankees and his home run projection is 9th in the league today.
Marlins vs Yankees Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Yankees vs. Marlins matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. Offensively, we actually have the Yankees finishing with five runs, and the Marlins with four, giving us some wiggle room on the over/under line.
If you’re looking for a money line pick, we would recommend sticking with the Yankees, as they are predicted to pick up a 5-4 win. However, with the payout sitting at -196, we think there is more value on the over/under line.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:April 9, 2024 Marlins, Yankees