The Miami Marlins (54-90) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (68-76) on Tuesday, September 10th. This game will be played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh and televised on SN PT. The Pirates are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pirates. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Marlins vs. Pirates Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Pirates (-145)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- The Pirates have won 6 of their last 10 games, indicating strong recent form.
- In their last 5 home games, the Pirates have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game.
- The Pirates have a winning record at home with 35 wins and 38 losses, compared to the Marlins’ poor away record of 26 wins and 43 losses.
- The Pirates have won their last 2 games, showing positive momentum.
- In their last 4 head-to-head games against the Marlins, the Pirates have won all 4 games, scoring an average of 7.75 runs per game.
Marlins vs Pirates
Pittsburgh picked up a 3-2 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a two-run lead heading into the 9th inning, and the Marlins could only muster one run as they fell short. Heading into the game, the Pirates were favored at -273 on the money line.
Paul Skenes pitched well for the Pirates in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but issued five walks. Skenes picked up a win in the game, while Aroldis Chapman closed things out.
Valente Bellozo had a rough outing for the Marlins, taking the loss after going 5 1/3 innings and giving up one run. He finished the game with just two strikeouts and issued one walk.
Miami is 26-43 on the road this season and 16-29 against NL East teams. They are 5th in the NL East, 32 games behind the Phillies. The Marlins have an overall series record of 11-26-9, and they are currently losing their series vs. the Pirates.
When the total line is set at 9 runs, the Marlins are 4-12-1 to the over this season. Their games have averaged 8 runs, with only 6.2% of their games having totals of 9 or higher. Miami’s run line record on the road is 36-33, and they have covered the run line in three straight road games.
Adam Oller Gets The Start For The Marlins
Adam Oller will be making his 4th start of the season for the Marlins, and he’ll be on the road against the Pirates. Oller has a win and a loss on his record so far, and in his last outing, he went 5 1/3 innings, giving up 4 earned runs. He did strike out 6 in that game, but he also gave up 5 hits and 5 walks.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. One of the few bright spots for the Marlins offense is that they are 14th in batting average. Miami’s home run total of 133 is 21st in the league.
Jake Burger has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 25 home runs is 15th best in the MLB. He also leads the team with 60 RBIs, but he is batting just .242. Jesús Sánchez is hitting .251 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 17 homers. Sánchez comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak.
As underdogs, the Pirates have been a profitable run line bet, going 57-30. Overall, they have a 79-65 run line record, with an average run margin of -0.3 runs per game. Pittsburgh is 68-76 this season and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
Pittsburgh is 5th in the NL Central, half a game behind the Reds. They trail the Brewers by 14.5 games in the division. The Pirates have a 35-38 home record and are 33-38 on the road. Their over/under record for games with a total of 9 runs is 4-9-1, and the average total for their games this season has been 8 runs.
Carmen Mlodzinski Gets The Start For The Pirates
Pittsburgh is sending Carmen Mlodzinski to the mound today vs. the Marlins, and he will be looking to rebound from a rough outing out of the bullpen. In that appearance, he gave up one earned run on two hits in just one inning of work. Mlodzinski finished with a no-decision in that outing. Overall, he has made 31 appearances and three starts. Mlodzinski’s record for the season is 2-5, and his ERA is 3.73. Looking at his home/away splits, Mlodzinski has an ERA of 4.62 on the road compared to 3.43 at home.
Pirates Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 22 home runs, and his 82 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 15th in the league. He has also been a solid hitter for the Pirates, batting .275. Oneil Cruz and Bryan De La Cruz are also near the top of the Pirates’ home run leaderboard, with 19 homers apiece. Cruz is batting .269 for the season, while De La Cruz comes in at just .237.
Over his last four games, Andrew McCutchen has gone 4/15 with a home run and two RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .240. Oneil Cruz is currently on a four-game hitting streak, but he is just 5/22 over his last six games.
Marlins vs Pirates Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Marlins vs. Pirates matchup is to take the Pirates on the money line, with the payout being -145. We actually have the Pirates winning this one by a score of 6-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Carmen Mlodzinski finishing with six strikeouts compared to Adam Oller with six as well. However, Mlodzinski is projected to finish with a much better ERA than Oller, and we have him going five innings compared to Oller going just three.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 10, 2024 Marlins, Pirates