The Miami Marlins (54-89) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (67-76) on Monday, September 9th. This game will be played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh and televised on BSFL. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Marlins vs. Pirates Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Pirates (-253)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- The Pirates have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- The Pirates have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
- The Pirates have a better home record (34-38) compared to the Marlins’ away record (26-42).
- The Pirates have won 3 out of 4 head-to-head games against the Marlins this season.
- The Pirates have a winning streak of 1 game, while the Marlins have a losing streak of 2 games.
Marlins vs Pirates
The Marlins Are Coming Off A Win
The Marlins’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Phillies, closing out their series with a 10-1 win. After scoring two runs in the 1st inning, the Marlins really broke things open with a seven-run 3rd inning. Miami was the +113 underdog at home going into the game.
Edward Cabrera put together a good start for the Marlins, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out six Phillies batters. Miami’s offense was carried by Connor Norby, who went 2/4 with two homers and four RBIs.
Miami’s over/under record in games with a total of 7.5 runs is 21-8, and the over has hit in their last three games. The Marlins are 65-60 against the run line as underdogs this season and 35-33 on the road. Overall, they are 67-76 vs. the run line.
Currently, the Marlins are 5th in the NL East, 31 games behind the Phillies. Miami’s overall record is 54-89, and they have won two straight games. This season, the Marlins are 4-14 straight up as favorites and 50-75 as underdogs.
Valente Bellozo Gets The Start For The Marlins
Miami is sending right-hander Valente Bellozo to the mound today as he faces the Pirates on the road. Bellozo has made nine starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with a 3.78 ERA. In his 47 2/3 innings of work, he has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 6.23 strikeouts per nine innings. Bellozo’s most recent outing came against the Nationals, where he went six innings, giving up six hits and no earned runs. He finished with a no-decision in that outing.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
Over the past seven games, Connor Norby has been on fire for the Marlins, going 10/29 with four homers and nine RBIs. This has pushed his season average up to .345. Norby is also currently on a seven-game hitting streak. Jake Burger and Jesús Sánchez have been the Marlins’ top power hitters this season, with 25 and 17 homers, respectively.
For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 15th in the league. Miami is also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. Currently, the Marlins offense is 22nd in home runs and have the league’s worst walk rate.
The Pirates Are Coming Off A Win
The Pirates’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Nationals, closing out their series with a 7-3 win. After allowing one run to the Nationals in the top of the first, the Pirates responded with four runs of their own. Pittsburgh went on to add another three runs in the 2nd inning.
Jared Jones put together a good start for the Pirates, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. He also issued only one walk and struck out nine Nationals batters. Andrew McCutchen was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and scoring three runs. The Pirates also had three other players with two hits.
As the underdog, the Pirates have struggled this season, posting a 37-50 record. Overall, they are 67-76 and sit 5th in the NL Central, 15 games behind the Brewers. Pittsburgh’s series record is 19-21-6, and they are coming off a series split with the Nationals.
Pittsburgh’s games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, resulting in a 71-70 over/under record. Against the run line, they are 43-28 on the road but only 36-36 at home. The Pirates have an average run margin of 3.3 in wins and -3.6 in losses.
Paul Skenes Gets The Start For The Pirates
Paul Skenes has been tough to hit this year, as he comes into the game with a record of 9-2 and an ERA of 2.13. Opponents are batting just .195 off the right-hander this season. Skenes has made 19 starts, and he has turned in 13 quality starts. In his last outing, Skenes didn’t give up a run, picking up the win in 5 innings of work. Looking back further, he has given up just two earned runs in three straight outings. The right-hander has been particularly tough at home, coming in with a record of 5-1 and an ERA of 2.83.
Pirates Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Pirates are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. Overall, they are batting just .236, and their on-base percentage of .302 is also near the bottom of the league. The Pirates have been one of the worst power-hitting teams in the league, coming in 21st in home runs and 23rd in isolated power.
Andrew McCutchen and Bryan De La Cruz are both tied for 2nd on the Pirates with 19 home runs this season. McCutchen comes into the game with two homers in his last five games but is just 4/18 over that stretch. Nick Gonzales is hitting .343 over his last nine games and has driven in five runs during that stretch.
Marlins vs Pirates Prediction
We see the Pirates coming away with a 5-4 win over the Marlins, and with the money line payout for the Pirates being -253, we are recommending taking the over, as we have the final score going over 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starters, we have Paul Skenes finishing with the most strikeouts among starters today, and he is also projected to finish with the most earned runs. As for Valente Bellozo, we have him finishing with six strikeouts, and he is projected to finish with four earned runs.
Offensively, the Pirates are projected to finish with eight hits compared to the Marlins at seven. However, the Marlins are projected to finish with fewer runs than the Pirates, and they are also projected to finish with fewer home runs.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 9, 2024 Marlins, Pirates