The Miami Marlins (19-37) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (30-28) on Wednesday, May 29th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on None. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 4:10 ET.
Marlins vs Padres
San Diego cruised to a 4-0 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a two-run 1st inning and added their final two runs in the 5th. As for the Marlins, they had their best scoring chance in the 6th, but Jesús Luzardo got out of a bases-loaded jam.
Matt Waldron pitched well for the Padres in this one, going seven innings and striking out eight without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Luzardo took the loss for Miami.
Jurickson Profar hit the game’s only home run while going 2/4 with three RBIs and a run scored. Fernando Tatis Jr. also had a two-hit game for San Diego.
Miami is 19-37 overall, which puts them 5th in the NL East, 19 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 4-12. The Marlins have dropped two straight games, and they are 4-0 in the series before this one.
At home, the Marlins are just 10-19 this year, and they are 9-18 on the road. As the underdog, the Marlins are 16-26 this year, and they have gone just 3-11 when favored. Miami will be looking to get back to .500 over their last 10 games with a win today.
It’s been a tough season for the Miami Marlins on the run line, as they have a 23-33 record. They are 14-13 on the run line on the road, but just 1-13 at home. As an underdog, they are 22-20 on the run line, but as a favorite, they are just 1-13. Their average run margin is -1.5 runs per game, and they have a run line losing streak of one game.
The Miami Marlins are on the road today against the San Diego Padres. The O/U line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their average combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. The Marlins have a 30-26 O/U record on the season, and their games have had an average O/U line of 8 runs. When the O/U line has been set at 7.5 runs, the Marlins have gone over the total in 8 of 11 games. Miami has gone under the total in their last six games.
Braxton Garrett Gets The Start For The Marlins
Braxton Garrett will be on the mound for the Marlins in their road matchup with the Padres. Garrett has made 3 starts this season, and in his most recent outing, he picked up the win by going the distance and giving up 4 hits while striking out 6. He has 18 strikeouts in 13 1/3 innings of work so far this season.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
Over the past seven games, Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Jake Burger have been swinging the bat well for the Marlins. Chisholm Jr. has gone 9/27 (.333) with two homers, while Burger has gone 9/28 with a home run. Chisholm Jr. comes into the game as the Marlins’ leader in RBIs, with 27, and Bryan De La Cruz and Josh Bell are also tied for the team lead in homers, with nine and six, respectively.
As a team, the Marlins are batting just .232 and are 29th in the league in scoring, at 3.6 runs per game. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game. Overall, they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.
San Diego is 3rd in the NL West, and they trail the Dodgers by 5.5 games for the division lead. The Padres have an overall record of 30-28 heading into today’s game vs. the Marlins, and they have won three straight games. San Diego has gone 12-13 in divisional games this year.
The Padres have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Marlins, and they are 10-7-2 in series this year. San Diego has won three straight games at home, and they are 13-18 at home this year. On the road, the Padres are 17-10 this season. So far, they have been favored in 34 games, going 18-16 as the favorite. As the underdog, the Padres are 12-12 this year.
When the Padres are favored, they are 15-19 against the run line. When they are the underdog, they are 16-8. They have a run differential of +0.2 runs per game, but they are just 10-21 against the run line at home. On the road, they are 21-6 against the run line.
San Diego has a combined run average of 8.5 this season and has a 29-28 over/under record. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, but when the line is set at 7.5 runs, they have gone 9-10. The under has hit in four straight games for the Padres, and 60.3% of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than today’s 7.5-run total.
Yu Darvish Gets The Start For The Padres
Yu Darvish gets the start for the Padres today as he faces off against the Marlins at home. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 4-2 with an ERA of 3.04. Darvish’s WHIP for the season is currently .99. In his 10 starts, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 8.61 strikeouts per nine innings. Darvish most recently faced the Yankees, where he took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts.
Padres Offense Breakdown
Over his last nine games, Luis Arraez has been on fire for the Padres, going 17/39 (.436) with one home run and four RBIs. Manny Machado is also swinging a hot bat, hitting .273 in his last nine games. Machado comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak. For the season, Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth are both near the top of the Padres’ home run and batting average charts.
As a team, the Padres are batting .255, which is 4th in the MLB, and they are also among the league leaders in on-base percentage and slugging. Overall, they are 15th in the league in runs per game (4.4). San Diego has been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game.
Marlins vs Padres Prediction
Our predicted final score for this game is a 5-4 win for the Padres, and with the money line sitting at -175, we see a lot more value in taking the over at 7.5 runs, which is currently paying out at +100.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Yu Darvish finishing with six strikeouts, and Braxton Garrett with five. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, you could take Darvish’s over on his strikeout line and Garrett’s under.
Offensively, the Padres lineup is projected to finish with nine hits, compared to the Marlins with eight. However, the Marlins are projected to finish with fewer runs and have the third-worst home run projection of any team in action today.
If you’re looking for a long-shot bet, you could take the Padres to finish with the fewest team strikeouts, as they are projected to finish with seven, and the Marlins with eight.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:May 29, 2024 Marlins, Padres