The Milwaukee Brewers (28-21) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (26-24) on Friday, May 24th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on BSWI. The Red Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Brewers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Marlins. First pitch is set for 7:10 ET.
Brewers vs Red Sox
The Brewers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Marlins with a 1-0 loss. This was especially tough, as they held the lead going into the 9th inning before the Marlins scored a run in the bottom of the 9th. Milwaukee was the -132 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Freddy Peralta was excellent for the Brewers, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out seven. However, the Brewers couldnjson’t close things out, and Peralta took the loss. The Brewers also wasted a big game from Gary Sanchez, who went 2/3 with a double.
Milwaukee is 28-21 overall and leads the NL Central by two games over the Cubs. The Brewers lost two of three in their most recent series vs. the Marlins. So far, they have gone 13-7 against other teams in the NL Central.
At home, the Brewers have gone 12-9 this year and are above .500 at 16-12 on the road. As the underdog on the road, Milwaukee is 11-6, and they are 14-10 as the underdog overall. The Brewers’ series record is 8-6-2 this year, and they have dropped two straight series.
When the Brewers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.0 runs per game. Overall, they have a run differential of +0.8 runs per game this season, and their run line record is 24-25. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road (16-12) than at home (8-13), and they have been a better bet as the underdog (16-8) than as the favorite (8-17).
The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road today against the Boston Red Sox with an over/under line of 9.5. The combined run average in their games this season is 9.2, and their over/under record is 29-20. The average over/under line in their games is 8, and when the line is set at 9.5, their record is 2-0. However, they have not had any games this season with an over/under line set higher than 9.5, as 95.9% of their games have had lower lines.
Bryse Wilson Gets The Start For The Brewers
Right-hander Bryse Wilson is starting for the Brewers today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 2-1 with an ERA of 2.79. Wilson has made 12 appearances this year and has a WHIP of 1.14. In his 38 2/3 innings of work, he has allowed six home runs and is averaging 7.22 strikeouts per nine innings. Wilson has had two quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up two earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
William Contreras has been one of the Brewers’ top hitters this season, as he is batting .333 with a team-high 40 RBIs and seven homers. However, he has struggled of late, going just 4/25 in his last six games. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins have also hit seven homers this season, with Hoskins batting just .233 and Adames at .238.
Over his last five games, Brice Turang is hitting .400, and Andruw Monasterio has gone 3/10 in his last four games. Jake Bauers and Joey Ortiz have also hit one homer in their last five and six games, respectively.
Heading into their last game vs. the Rays, the Red Sox closed out the series with an 8-5 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +123 on the money line. It was a big second inning that really turned things in their favor, as the Red Sox scored five runs in the inning. The Rays could only score three runs in the 2nd, and Boston’s pitching staff held them to just two more runs the rest of the way.
Brayan Bello put together a good start for the Red Sox, going six innings and giving up just three earned runs, and picking up the win. Boston’s offense was carried by Wilyer Abreu, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Boston is at home today to host the Brewers, and they come into the game having won four straight games. Currently, they are 3rd in the AL East, eight games behind the Yankees for the division lead. Overall, they are 26-24 and have gone 4-6 in divisional games this year.
So far, the Red Sox have been good on the road, putting together a record of 16-11. However, they are just 10-13 at home and have dropped two straight at home. As the favorite, the Red Sox are 13-9 this year and 13-15 as the underdog. Boston’s overall series record is 8-7-1 this year.
When betting the Red Sox on the run line, it’s best to do so when they are on the road. They are 17-10 on the run line away from Fenway Park, compared to just 7-16 at home. They have covered the run line in five straight games at home, where they are 7-15 on the run line this season. They are 17-11 on the run line as an underdog this season.
The Boston Red Sox are home today against the Milwaukee Brewers. The O/U line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The Red Sox have had an average combined run average of 8.2 runs per game this season. Their O/U record is 19-27, and their average O/U line for the season is 8 runs. When the O/U line has been set at 9.5 runs, their record is 0-2. Only 4.0% of their games this season have had an O/U line set at 9.5 runs or higher.
Kutter Crawford Gets The Start For The Red Sox
Through 10 starts, Kutter Crawford has a record of 2-2 and an ERA of 2.17 for the Red Sox. He has made five quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a homer. In his last outing, Crawford went 5 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run, five hits, and two walks. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Crawford has given up a homer in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .219 this year off Crawford. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.84 strikeouts and 2.79 walks.
Red Sox Offense Breakdown
Boston’s offense has been pretty good this season, averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. The Red Sox have been a good home run hitting team this season, as their 55 homers is 9th in the league. As a team, they are batting .243, and their team on-base percentage is .313.
Rafael Devers comes into the game with the 7th most home runs in the league (10) and is batting .277 overall. However, he is just 4/18 in his last five games. Tyler O’Neill is also a power threat in the lineup, as he has 11 homers this season. Ceddanne Rafaela has struggled with a .198 batting average but does lead the team with 26 RBIs.
Brewers vs Red Sox Prediction
We see the Red Sox picking up a win at home over the Brewers with a final score of 6-5. With the Red Sox having a money line of -136, this is the best way to go about betting on this game.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Kutter Crawford has a better chance to pick up a win than Bryse Wilson. Crawford is projected to finish with five strikeouts compared to Wilson, who is projected to finish with four.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:May 24, 2024 Brewers, Red Sox