The Milwaukee Brewers (20-11) travel to face off against the Chicago Cubs (19-14) on Saturday, May 4th. This game will be played at Wrigley Field in Chicago and televised on BSWI. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cubs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 2:20 ET.
Brewers vs Cubs
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Brewers vs Cubs series. Milwaukee went into the matchup as slight underdogs at -101 and squeaked out a 3-1 win. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Cubs and struck out 12 times, but still picked up a win.
Chicago wasted a good outing from Hayden Wesneski, as he gave up just one run in 6 1/3 innings of work for the Cubs. Adbert Alzolay took the loss.
Joe Ross got the win for the Brewers, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Trevor Megill got the save out of the bullpen.
Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Cubs, the Brewers have won three straight games and lead the NL Central by two games over the Cubs. So far, they have gone 8-3 in divisional games. Milwaukee’s overall record is 20-11, and they are 7-7 at home this year.
The Brewers have been really good on the road, putting together a record of 13-4 this season. They have also been good in day games, going 12-3. As the road underdog, the Brewers are 9-2 this year, and they have won three straight on the road as the underdog. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 6-2-2, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
When the Milwaukee Brewers are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 11-6. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.5, while their run line record as the underdog is 11-6. Their road scoring margin is 2.3, and they have covered the run line in two straight games.
Despite the Brewers’ over/under record of 18-13, the over has hit in just 3 of their 21 games with an over/under line of 8 runs this season. The over has hit in 61.3% of their games overall, but their last two games have gone under the total. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game this season, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Cubs is set at 8 runs.
Tobias Myers Gets The Start For The Brewers
Looking to pick up his first win of the season, Tobias Myers and the Brewers are on the road to take on the Cubs. Myers has a no-decision and a loss in his first two starts, and in his last outing, he went five innings and gave up four runs on five hits. He did strike out five batters, but he also gave up a pair of home runs.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
William Contreras has been on a tear of late for the Brewers, going 12/38 in his last 10 games, including one homer and six RBIs. He is also on a five-game hitting streak. Overall, Contreras is batting .341 with five homers, which is 2nd on the team and 6th in the league. Christian Yelich is also swinging a hot bat, as he is hitting .333 for the season and has gone deep five times.
As a team, the Brewers are 4th in scoring at 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams and have the 3rd best team batting average in the league.
Chicago will host the Brewers today with an overall record of 19-14, which has them two games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. The Cubs dropped the first game of this series and are 0-1 in the division so far. Chicago has dropped two straight games, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Cubs are 10-4 this year compared to a 9-10 mark on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 8-4, and they are 11-10 as the underdog. Chicago’s overall series record is 5-3-2 this year.
Chicago has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 22-11 overall. They have been especially good at home, going 9-5. They have a positive run differential at home, averaging 2.2 more runs per game than their opponents. Their average run differential in winning games is 3.4, while their average run differential in losing games is -3.7. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 16-5 on the run line.
With an over/under line set at 8 runs, the Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers have combined for an average of 9.2 runs per game this season. The Cubs’ over/under record for the season is 14-18, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone 1-5. So far this season, 45.5% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.
Jameson Taillon Gets The Start For The Cubs
Jameson Taillon has been solid in his first two starts of the season, picking up a win in his last outing against the Astros. He went 5 2/3 innings in that start, striking out 4. In his first start of the year, he went 7 1/3 innings, allowing just 1 earned run. He’ll be taking on the Brewers at home.
Cubs Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Cubs are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .236, which is 14th in the league. Chicago has been good at drawing walks, as they are 6th in the league in walks and have a collective OBP of .314.
Michael Busch and Christopher Morel are tied for the team lead in home runs, with both players going deep six times so far this season. Busch is also 2nd on the team with 17 RBIs, while Morel is 1st at 18. Morel has three homers in his last eight games but is hitting just .226 over that stretch. Busch has gone 8/28 in his last eight games.
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Cubs vs. Brewers game is that the Cubs will pick up a 6-5 win at home. With the Cubs’ money line sitting at -129, this is the way we recommend playing this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Jameson Taillon finishing with five strikeouts compared to Tobias Myers with five as well. However, we have Taillon finishing with a better ERA and picking up the win.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:May 4, 2024 Brewers, Cubs