The Milwaukee Brewers (20-12) travel to face off against the Chicago Cubs (20-14) on Sunday, May 5th. This game will be played at Wrigley Field in Chicago and televised on MARQ. The Cubs are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Brewers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cubs. First pitch is set for 2:20 ET.
Brewers vs Cubs
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Cubs vs Brewers series. Chicago went into the matchup as -132 favorites and squeaked out a 6-5 win. Milwaukee had a late rally, scoring four runs in the 7th and another run in the 9th, but Héctor Neris closed things out for the Cubs.
Jameson Taillon pitched well for the Cubs in this one, going six innings and striking out seven without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Tobias Myers had a rough outing for the Brewers, taking the loss.
At the plate, Patrick Wisdom and Nico Hoerner each had two hits and drove in a run for Chicago. Christopher Morel also had a two-hit game and scored a run. For Milwaukee, Blake Perkins hit the game’s only home run and drove in two runs.
Milwaukee is on the road today for the final game of their series vs. the Cubs. The Brewers currently lead the NL Central with a record of 20-12, putting them one game ahead of the Cubs for the division lead. So far, they have gone 8-4 against other teams in the NL Central.
The Brewers have been good on the road this year, putting together a record of 13-5 compared to going just 7-7 at home. Milwaukee has been really good in day games this year, going 12-4 heading into today’s game. So far, they have been a favorite in 14 of their games, and they are 9-5 in those matchups. As for their record as the underdog, the Brewers are 11-7 this year. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 6-2-2, and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
The Milwaukee Brewers have been a strong bet on the run line this season, going 16-16 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 12-6. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 12-6 on the run line. They have a positive run differential of 2.1 runs per game on the road this season.
The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road against the Chicago Cubs today, and the O/U line for the game is set at 6.5 runs. The Brewers’ games have had an average of 9.5 runs scored this season, and their O/U record is 19-13. The average O/U line in their games has been set at 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 6.5 runs, the O/U record is 1-0. So far this season, 96.9% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 6.5 runs.
Freddy Peralta Gets The Start For The Brewers
Freddy Peralta is looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Rays. In that start, which came on April 30th, he went 5 1/3 innings, giving up just two earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Peralta has made six starts and has a record of 3-0. His ERA for the season is 3.21, along with a WHIP of .86. Peralta has turned in three quality starts this year and is averaging 12.03 strikeouts per nine innings. Overall, he has 45 strikeouts, and his ERA on the road is 3.16 compared to 4.07 at home.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
William Contreras comes into the game as one of the hottest hitters in the Brewers lineup, as he is currently on a six-game hitting streak and is batting .336 for the season. He also leads the team with 27 RBIs. Christian Yelich and William Contreras are both tied for 2nd on the team with five homers apiece. Yelich is batting .333 for the season.
As a team, the Brewers are 3rd in the league in scoring at 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. Overall, they have the league’s 5th best home run total and are near the top of the league in both on-base percentage and OPS.
Chicago will host the Brewers today with an overall record of 20-14, putting them just one game behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. The Cubs are 1-1 in divisional games so far. The Cubs have gone 11-4 at home this year and are just under .500 at 9-10 on the road.
The Cubs have an overall series record of 5-3-2 this year, and they are currently 5-5 in their last 10 games. As the underdog, Chicago has dropped two straight, and they are 11-10 as the underdog overall. As for their record as the favorite, the Cubs have gone 9-4 this year.
Chicago has been a solid bet to cover the run line this season, going 22-12 overall. They have been especially good at home, going 9-6 ATS. They have been a much better bet as the underdog, going 16-5 ATS. They have been outscored by an average of 1.0 runs per game on the road this season, but have outscored their opponents by an average of 2.1 runs per game at home.
Chicago Cubs games have had an average of 9.2 runs scored this season, and the over/under record for their games is 15-18. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and today’s line is set at 6.5 runs. In games with lines set at 6.5 runs, the over/under record is 0-0.
Javier Assad Gets The Start For The Cubs
Javier Assad gets the start for the Cubs today and has made six starts this season. He has a record of 2-0 and an ERA of 1.97. So far, Assad has made one quality start and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in five innings of work. In that outing, he finished with a no-decision. Assad has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Opponents are batting .207 off the right-hander this season. Per nine innings, Assad has 7.59 strikeouts and 2.53 walks.
Cubs Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Cubs are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is good for 9th in the league. At home, they have been even better, putting up 5.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 8th in the league in home runs and have the 13th ranked batting average in the league. As a team, the Cubs are 12th in both slugging percentage and OPS.
Christopher Morel comes into the game with a team-high seven home runs, but he is batting just .213 for the season. However, he has gone 4/22 (.227) over his last six games with four homers. Nico Hoerner has been hot of late, going 7/23 in his last six games and is on a four-game hitting streak.
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Brewers and Cubs matchup is to take the Cubs on the money line, with a payout of +104. We have the Cubs winning this one by a final score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Freddy Peralta is projected to finish with eight strikeouts, which is the highest among all starters today. As for the Cubs’ starter, Javier Assad, he is projected to finish with five K’s.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 5, 2024 Brewers, Cubs