The Milwaukee Brewers (26-17) travel to face off against the Houston Astros (19-25) on Friday, May 17th. This game will be played at Minute Maid Park in Houston and televised on BSWI. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 8:10 ET.
Brewers vs Astros
Heading into their last game vs. the Pirates, the Brewers closed out the series with a 10-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -149. It was a five-run 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Pirates could only score a single run, which came in the 3rd.
Robert Gasser put together a good start for the Brewers, going five innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Milwaukee’s offense was carried by William Contreras, who went 3/5 with a homer and four RBIs.
Milwaukee is on the road today to take on the Astros, and they lead the NL Central by two games over the Cubs. The Brewers are 26-17 overall and have won two straight games. Their two-game winning streak came after dropping the series opener vs. the Pirates.
At home, the Brewers are 12-9 this year, and they have been really good on the road at 14-8. So far, they have gone 13-8 as the favorite and 13-9 as the underdog. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 8-4-2, and they have won two straight series.
When the Brewers are on the road, they have covered the run line in 14 of 22 games. Their average run differential in those games is +1.4 runs per game. They have been the underdog in 22 games and have covered the run line in 15 of those contests.
The Milwaukee Brewers have played 43 games this season, and their combined run average is 9.4 runs per game. They have a 26-17 over/under record, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 16-7. So far this season, 16 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 37.2% of their games.
Freddy Peralta Gets The Start For The Brewers
Milwaukee is sending Freddy Peralta to the mound today as he faces the Astros on the road. Peralta has made eight starts this year and has a record of 3-1 with a 3.63 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Peralta has a WHIP of 1.05 and opponents are batting .189 this year. Peralta has made four quality starts this year and is averaging 11.69 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
William Contreras has been on a tear for the Brewers, as he is hitting .359 for the season and has gone 11/23 (.478) over his last six games. He also has a nine-game hitting streak coming into today’s game. Contreras has also been driving in runs at a high rate, as his 34 RBIs are 4th in the league. Rhys Hoskins has been struggling with a .233 batting average this season but does have a team-high nine homers.
As a team, the Brewers are 3rd in runs per game at 5.2 and have been even better at home, also averaging 5.2 runs per contest. They have been one of the league’s top home run hitting teams and have the 3rd best team slugging percentage in the league. Currently, both their on-base percentage and OPS are the 2nd best in the MLB.
Heading into their last game vs. the Athletics, the Astros closed out the series with an 8-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -210. Offensively, the Astros scored their eight runs on just eight hits and only hit one home run.
Cristian Javier put together a good start for the Astros, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out eight Athletics batters. Joey Loperfido was hot at the plate, going 1/3 with a homer and two RBIs.
Houston is hosting the Brewers today with an overall record of 19-25, which has them five games behind the Mariners for the AL West lead. So far, they have gone 9-5 in divisional games. The Astros are currently on a five-game winning streak, and they won all four games of their most recent series vs. the Athletics.
At home, the Astros have gone 11-12 this year and 8-13 on the road. So far, they have struggled as the favorite, going 15-19, compared to 4-6 as the underdog. Houston has won four straight games at home, and their overall series record is 6-7-1 this year.
When the Astros win, they win big, with an average run margin of +4.6. That’s been a good indicator for bettors, as Houston is 18-26 against the run line this season. The Astros have been a better bet at home, going 10-13 against the run line, compared to 8-13 on the road. They’ve covered the run line in two straight games, but are just 5-5 against the run line as the underdog.
The Astros have had a combined run average of 9.3 runs per game this season, and their games have gone over the over/under line in 16 of their 25 games. The average over/under line for their games this season has been 9 runs, and their games have gone over the over/under line in 59.1% of their games when the line has been set at 8.5 runs.
Hunter Brown Gets The Start For The Astros
Hunter Brown is looking to pick up his first win of the season today for the Astros. He has made seven starts and one of them was a quality start. Brown’s record for the season is 0-4, and his ERA is 7.79. Opponents are batting .320 this season off Brown, and his WHIP is currently 2.01. The right-hander has made four starts at home and three on the road. Brown’s ERA on the road is 36.26, and at home, it is 4.32. In his last outing, Brown gave up one earned run in five innings of work out of the bullpen. He finished with a no-decision in that outing.
Astros Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the league’s top-hitting team, with a batting average of .261. They are also the top home run hitting team in the league and have the best slugging percentage in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.5 runs per game (13th) and have been even better at home, putting up 4.9 runs per contest.
Kyle Tucker has been leading the way for the Astros in terms of home runs, as his 13 homers are the best mark in the MLB. He also comes into the game batting .280 and is 9th in the league with 29 RBIs. Tucker is currently on a six-game hitting streak and has gone 6/16 in his last five games. Alex Bregman has also been swinging the bat well, going 8/19 with three homers in his last five games.
Brewers vs Astros Prediction
Our prediction for this Brewers vs. Astros matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line, with the payout sitting at -110. We actually have the Brewers winning this one by a score of 5-4, which would also give you a nice payout if you wanted to take the over, as the line is 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Freddy Peralta is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among all starters today. As for Hunter Brown, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and we have him finishing with a 17th best among starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 17, 2024 Astros, Brewers