The Milwaukee Brewers (27-18) travel to face off against the Houston Astros (20-26) on Sunday, May 19th. This game will be played at Minute Maid Park in Houston and televised on BSWI. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Astros are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 2:10 ET.
Brewers vs Astros
It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Astros by a score of 4-2. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Astros and struck out nine times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +152 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Bryse Wilson for the Brewers and Justin Verlander for the Astros. Wilson only went 4 2/3 innings but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. On the other side, Verlander was tagged for four runs in 4 2/3 innings of work.
Milwaukee’s two biggest innings came in the 1st and 5th. They scored four runs in the 1st but didn’t score another run until putting up four more in the 5th. As for the Astros, they scored their only two runs in the 5th and couldn’t muster any more offense.
Milwaukee is 27-18 overall and leads the NL Central by two games over the Cubs. The Brewers are 13-7 against other teams in the division, and they have won two straight games as the underdog. So far, they are 13-9 as the underdog on the road, and they have an overall road record of 15-9.
As the favorite, the Brewers are 13-9 this year, and they are 8-4-2 in series this year. They have won two straight series and are 6-4 in their last 10 games overall. At home, the Brewers are 12-9 this year.
When the Brewers win, they do so by an average of 3.7 runs per game. They have a run line record of 23-22 overall, and they are 15-9 on the run line on the road. They are 16-7 against the run line as an underdog, and they have covered the run line in their last two games as the underdog.
The Brewers have had a high-scoring season so far, with a combined run average of 9.3 runs per game. Their over/under record is 27-18, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. In games where the over/under line was set at 9 runs, they are 1-1. Only 4.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, and 91.1% of their games have had lower lines.
Colin Rea Gets The Start For The Brewers
Right-hander Colin Rea gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Astros on the road. Rea has made eight starts this year and has a record of 3-1 with a 3.45 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Rea has a WHIP of 1.26 and has allowed a total of six home runs. In his last outing, Rea took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had put together a streak of three straight quality starts. Rea’s ERA on the road is 3.57, and he is 1-0 away from home.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
William Contreras has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Brewers, going 8/21 in his last five games with two homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .350 with a team-high 37 RBIs. Rhys Hoskins has also been a key power source for the Brewers, as he is 6th in the league with nine homers but is batting just .233.
Over their last five games, Joey Ortiz has gone 9/18 with two homers and is currently on a five-game hitting streak. Jake Bauers is also swinging a hot bat for the Brewers, as he has two homers in his last four games, but is just 3/13 in that stretch.
Houston is 20-26 overall and trails the Mariners by five games in the AL West. So far, they have gone 9-5 in divisional games. The Astros are currently 3rd in the AL West and are 8-13 on the road this year.
At home, the Astros are 12-13 this year. They have won two straight series and have an overall series record of 6-7-1 this year. As the favorite, the Astros are 15-20 and 5-6 as the underdog. Houston has been playing well, going 8-2 over their last 10 games.
When the Astros win, they win big, with an average run differential of +4.4 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run differential of -3.8 runs per game. This has led to a run line record of 19-27 on the season, including an 11-14 mark at home and an 8-13 mark on the road. As the favorite, they are just 13-22 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 6-5.
Today’s over/under line of 9 runs is right in line with the Astros’ season average of 9 runs per game. The Astros have played 43.5% of their games with an over/under line of 9 runs, and their over/under record is 17-26 on the season. In their last 10 games, they have gone over the total 4 times, under 5 times, and pushed once.
Spencer Arrighetti Gets The Start For The Astros
Houston is sending Spencer Arrighetti to the mound today vs. the Brewers, and he is coming off a start in which he gave up five earned runs. In that outing vs. the Yankees, he gave up three homers. Looking back at his last six starts, Arrighetti has allowed at least one homer in five of them. So far, he has made six starts and has a record of 1-4 with a 7.52 ERA. Opponents are batting .312 off the right-hander this season. Per nine innings, Arrighetti is averaging 10.25 strikeouts and 5.13 walks.
Astros Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Astros are the best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .262. They also have the fewest strikeouts in the league and are among the league leaders in slugging percentage and on-base percentage. Houston is 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season.
Kyle Tucker has been a big power threat for the Astros this season, as his 13 home runs are the 2nd most in the league. He is also 10th in the MLB with 29 RBIs. Tucker’s batting average of .284 is 5th on the team. Jose Altuve is on an 8-game hitting streak and has the 2nd best batting average on the team at .310. Alex Bregman and Jake Meyers have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Bregman hitting .323 over his last 8 games and Meyers at .435 in his last 7 games.
Brewers vs Astros Prediction
Our prediction for this Astros vs. Brewers matchup is that the Astros will come out on top by a score of 6-5. Given that they are at -135 on the money line, this is the route we recommend going, as there is a lot of value in this payout.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Spencer Arrighetti finishing with five strikeouts compared to Colin Rea with four. Arrighetti is projected to go just five innings, while Rea is projected to go seven.
Offensively, the Astros are predicted to finish with 10 hits compared to the Brewers with nine. If you’re looking for a player prop, you could look at Arrighetti’s strikeout total and potentially take the over on five.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 19, 2024 Astros, Brewers