The Milwaukee Brewers (27-19) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (15-33) on Monday, May 20th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSWI. Both the Brewers and Marlins are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.
Brewers vs Marlins
Heading into their last game vs. the Astros, the Brewers closed out the series with a 9-4 loss. Milwaukee was the +117 underdog on the road. Things started off well for the Brewers, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Astros scored four times in the bottom of the first.
Colin Rea got the start for the Brewers and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up five earned runs on eight hits. Offensively, the Brewers scored their other three runs in the a 3rd inning. Brice Turang was hot at the plate, going 3/5 with a double, two RBIs, and a run scored. The Brewers also had three other players with two hits.
Milwaukee heads into today’s game vs. the Marlins with a record of 27-19, putting them 1st in the NL Central. They currently lead the Cubs by 2 games for the top spot in the division. The Brewers lost the final two games of their series vs. the Astros and are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Brewers have gone 12-9 this season and are 15-10 on the road. So far, they have been a bit better as the underdog, going 14-10 compared to 13-9 as the favorite. Today’s game is the first of the series, and the Brewers’ overall series record is 8-5-2 this year.
When the Brewers are on the road, they have been a good bet to cover the run line, going 15-10. They have an average run margin of +1.1 runs per game away from home, which is better than their overall run margin of +0.8 runs per game. They have been a better bet to cover the run line as an underdog, going 16-8, compared to 7-15 as the favorite.
With an average combined run total of 9.4 runs per game, the Milwaukee Brewers have seen a lot of high-scoring contests this season. Their over/under record is 28-18, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game in terms of the over/under line. In games where the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, the Brewers’ record is 1-3. Overall, 63.0% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs.
Joe Ross Gets The Start For The Brewers
Joe Ross will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Pirates. In that May 14th start, he went five innings, giving up two earned runs, and he finished with six strikeouts. Looking at his overall numbers, Ross has made eight starts, and his record for the season is 2-4. The right-hander has an ERA of 4.61 and a WHIP of 1.37. Opposing batters are hitting .253 off Ross this season. He has made two quality starts and is averaging 7.68 strikeouts per nine innings.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
William Contreras has been swinging the bat well for the Brewers of late, going 11/32 in his last eight games with two homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .341 and is 3rd in the league with 37 RBIs. Rhys Hoskins is also near the top of the league in homers, as his nine long balls are 6th best in the league. However, he is batting just .233.
As a team, the Brewers are 3rd in the league in scoring at 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they have the league’s 2nd best batting average and are 3rd in on-base percentage and slugging.
The Marlins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 7-3 loss. Miami was the +119 underdog at home going into this game. Things started off well for the Marlins, as they got on the board with two runs in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Mets scored four times in the top of the first.
Sixto Sanchez took the loss for the Marlins, going only four innings and giving up four earned runs on six hits. Dane Myers had only one hit, but it was a home run, and Christian Bethancourt also had a good day at the plate, going 1/3 with a run scored.
Miami is 15-33 overall and trail the Phillies by 19 games in the NL East. So far, they are just 4-12 in divisional matchups. The Marlins closed out their series vs. the Mets with a win and took the series 2-1.
At home, the Marlins are 8-18 this year and 7-15 on the road. They have really struggled in night games, going 6-18. As the underdog, Miami is 12-22 compared to 3-11 as the favorite. The Marlins’ overall series record is 3-11-1, but they have won two straight series.
When betting the Marlins on the run line, it’s best to take them as the underdog, as they are 16-18 against the run line in that scenario. They are just 1-13 against the run line as the favorite. Miami’s average run margin on the season is -1.7 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 17-31. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.2 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.9 runs per game.
Marlins games have been high-scoring affairs this season, with the O/U record sitting at 29-19. The average combined run total in their games is 9.4, and the over has hit in three straight games. The over/under line for today’s game against the Brewers is set at 8 runs, which is right around their season average.
Ryan Weathers Gets The Start For The Marlins
Miami is sending left-hander Ryan Weathers to the mound today vs. the Brewers. He has made nine starts this year and has a record of 2-4 with a 3.81 ERA. Weathers’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.17. In his last outing, he went eight innings vs. the Tigers, giving up three hits and no earned runs. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Weathers has given up three earned runs in each of his last three starts. Opponents are batting .220 vs. Weathers this season.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They have been especially bad on the road, averaging only 3.3 runs per contest. As a team, the Marlins are batting just .231, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
Bryan De La Cruz has been a bright spot for the Marlins this season, as his nine home runs are 6th in the league, and he is batting .260 overall. De La Cruz has also gone deep in one of his last five games. Josh Bell has also gone deep six times this season but is batting just .229.
Brewers vs Marlins Prediction
Our prediction for this Brewers vs. Marlins matchup is to take the Marlins on the money line, with the payout sitting at +114. According to our projections, the Marlins will come out on top by a score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Joe Ross is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and we have Ryan Weathers ending the game with five. Weathers is also predicted to go seven innings, compared to Weathers, who is projected to go five.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 20, 2024 Brewers, Marlins