The Milwaukee Brewers (27-20) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (16-33) on Tuesday, May 21st. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSWI. The Marlins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Brewers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Marlins. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.
Brewers vs Marlins
Miami picked up a 3-2 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a late rally, scoring one run in the 7th and another in the 9th to pick up the win. Heading into the game, they were at +122 on the money line.
Ryan Weathers started for the Marlins and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued three walks. Joe Ross only went one inning for the Brewers, giving up one run on one hit.
Andruw Monasterio hit the game’s only home run while going 2/4 with an RBI, but it came in a losing effort. Nick Gordon also had a two-hit game for Miami and scored a run.
With an overall record of 27-20, the Brewers lead the NL Central by 1.5 games over the Cubs. The Brewers have dropped two straight games, and this season, they are 13-7 in the division. The Brewers have been good at home this year, going 12-9, and they are 15-11 on the road.
This season, the Brewers have been favored in 23 of their games, and they are 13-10 in those games. As the underdog, the Brewers have gone 14-10 this season. Milwaukee is also 4-5 as the road favorite. The Brewers’ overall series record is 8-5-2, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.
When the Brewers are on the road, they are a good bet to cover the run line, as they are 15-11 on the run line in those games. They are 16-8 on the run line as an underdog, but just 7-16 when favored. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.7, while it is -3.1 in losing games.
Today’s over/under line of 8 runs is right in line with the Brewers’ season average of 8 runs per game. The Brewers have played 47 games this season, and 30 of them have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs. Their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 28-19. When the line has been set at 8 runs, the Brewers’ over/under record is 1-3.
Robert Gasser Gets The Start For The Brewers
Robert Gasser is on the mound for the Brewers today, as they take on the Marlins on the road. Gasser has picked up wins in each of his first two starts, and in his last outing, he went 5 innings, giving up 1 earned run on 6 hits.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
William Contreras has been one of the Brewers’ top hitters this season, batting .332 with a team-high 37 RBIs and seven home runs. He is also on a two-game homer streak. Joey Ortiz has also been swinging a hot bat for the Brewers, going 10/23 in his last seven games with two homers. Overall, Ortiz has four homers and is batting .435 in his last seven games.
As a team, the Brewers are the 3rd highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are 4th in home runs and have the league’s 5th best team batting average.
Miami is 16-33 overall, putting them in 5th place in the NL East. So far, they have gone just 4-12 in divisional games. The Marlins trail the Phillies by 18.5 games in the NL East. Miami has won two straight series and has an overall series record of 3-11-1 this year.
At home, the Marlins are 9-18 this year compared to 7-15 on the road. Miami has really struggled in night games this year, going 6-18. As the underdog, the Marlins are 13-22 this year and 3-11 as the favorite.
The Marlins have a run line record of 18-31 for the season, and they have been a better bet on the run line on the road than at home. They are 10-12 vs. the run line on the road and 8-19 at home. They have a run line record of 17-18 as an underdog and 1-13 as a favorite. The average run differential in their wins is +3.1 runs per game, while it is -3.9 runs per game in their losses.
Through 49 games, the Marlins have a 29-20 over/under record. Their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Marlins have a 3-4 record. So far this season, 61.2% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.
Trevor Rogers Gets The Start For The Marlins
Miami is sending left-hander Trevor Rogers to the mound today vs. the Brewers. He has made nine starts this season and has a record of 1-6 with a 5.79 ERA. In his last outing, Rogers picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run to the Tigers. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Rogers’ ERA for the season is 5.72 at home compared to 9.81 on the road. Overall, he has allowed five homers and is averaging 4.07 walks per nine innings.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Marlins offense has been one of the worst in the league, averaging just 3.8 runs per game (25th) and are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and on-base percentage. However, they have been better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. Miami’s offense is also one of the most strikeout-prone lineups in the league, but they do have the 7th best team batting average in the MLB.
Over his last six games, Josh Bell has gone 10/26 with one home run and six RBIs. Bell is currently tied with Bryan De La Cruz and Jazz Chisholm Jr. for the team lead in RBIs. De La Cruz has gone just 5/22 in his last six games, and Chisholm Jr. is also looking to break out of his recent slump, as he is hitting just .200 over his last six games.
Brewers vs Marlins Prediction
For this Brewers vs. Marlins matchup, we really like the Brewers to pick up the win on the road. You could take them on the money line at -141, as that is our recommended pick.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Robert Gasser going five innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for Trevor Rogers, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts and go around six innings.
If you’re looking for a parlay, you could pair the Brewers with an over pick. The line is sitting at eight runs, and we have this one finishing with a score of 5-4 in favor of the Brewers.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 21, 2024 Brewers, Marlins