Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 9/20/2024

The Minnesota Twins (80-73) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (76-77) on Friday, September 20th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on BSN. Both the Twins and Red Sox are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Twins vs. Red Sox Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Red Sox (-104)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
  • The Red Sox have a 5-2 record in their last 7 home games.
  • The Red Sox have scored an average of 6.5 runs per game in their last 4 home wins.
  • The Red Sox have won 3 out of their last 4 home games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Twins have a 4-6 record in their last 10 games.
  • The Twins have lost their last 2 games, while the Red Sox have won 2 of their last 3 home games.

Twins vs Red Sox

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The Red Sox Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Twins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Guardians with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 10th inning before the Guardians scored a run in the bottom of the 10th to pick up the win. Minnesota was the -111 favorite on the money line going into the game.

Simeon Woods Richardson got the start for the Twins and took the loss. He pitched well, going 4 2/3 innings, and giving up just one run while striking out six. However, the Twins’ bullpen couldnjson’t close things out, and Caleb Thielbar took the loss out of the bullpen. The Twins also wasted a big game from Josh Donaldson, who homered twice, going 3 for 4.

Minnesota is 26-19-4 in series this season and trails the Guardians by 8.5 games in the AL Central with a record of 80-73. They have lost two straight games and three of their last four, heading into today’s game vs. the Red Sox. As favorites, the Twins are 63-43, but as underdogs, they are 17-30.

When the Twins play on the road, the average run total is 9.1 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 77-70. In games with a total of 9 runs, the over has hit 10 times and the under twice. Minnesota’s run line record on the road is 39-39, and they have an average run margin of 0.1 in road games.

David Festa Gets The Start For The Twins

Right-hander David Festa gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. Festa has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 2-6 with an ERA of 5.07. So far, he has turned in just one quality start and is averaging 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Festa most recently pitched on September 15th, where he finished with a no-decision, going 3 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. In that outing, he gave up three walks and three hits. Before that, he had lost three straight starts.

Twins Offense Breakdown

Carlos Santana comes into the game as the Twins’ top home run hitter, with 22 long balls this season. However, he is batting just .238, and his 65 RBIs are also a team high. Willi Castro has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/24 in his last eight games, and is batting .250 for the season. Ryan Jeffers is also near the top of the Twins’ home run leaderboard, with 20 homers, but is batting just .228.

As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They are also near the top of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Minnesota’s offense has been pretty consistent, averaging 4.4 runs per game on the road and 4.9 at home.

The Red Sox Took The Last Game Of This Series

Boston closed out their series vs. the Rays with a 2-0 loss. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were the slight favorite at -113 on the money line. It was a good start for the Red Sox, as Brayan Bello struck out the side in the 1st inning but ran into trouble in the 3rd, giving up a run. Boston’s offense didn’t score a run, and the Red Sox’s only had one hit, a single by Bello in the 3rd.

Bello took the loss, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. He also issued two walks and hit a batter. The Red Sox had a chance to tie things up in the 7th, but Christian Koss was thrown out at home. Boston’s other run-scoring opportunity came in the 4th, but Bello struck out to end the inning.

As underdogs, the Red Sox have a 35-42 record this season, while their run line record as underdogs is 44-33. Overall, their run line record is 72-81, with a 28-47 record at home and 44-34 on the road. The over has gone 75-70 in their games this season, and their O/U record with a total of 9 is 8-7-4.

Boston is currently 13 games behind the Yankees in the AL East, holding a 76-77 record. They have lost their last two series and are 23-20-6 in series play this season. The under has hit in their last two games, and today’s O/U line is set at 9.

Richard Fitts Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Richard Fitts will be making his 3rd start of the season for the Red Sox, and he is coming off a 5-inning outing vs. the Yankees in which he struck out 2 and allowed just 2 hits. Fitts has yet to factor into a decision this season, as he also went 5 2/3 innings in his 1st start vs. the White Sox.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

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Over the past five games, Tyler O’Neill has gone just 1/17 (.059) with one home run and two RBIs. This comes after a strong season in which he is batting .247 with a team-high 31 homers. Rafael Devers has also been a key power threat for the Red Sox, as his 28 home runs are the 2nd most on the team and he leads the club with 83 RBIs. Devers is batting .273 for the season.

As a team, the Red Sox are 7th in home runs and are batting a collective .253, which is the 6th best mark in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, and they have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Their team BABIP of .32 is the best in the MLB.

Twins vs Red Sox Prediction

With the Red Sox at -104 to pick up the win, we see this as a great opportunity to take them on the money line. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Red Sox, giving us some room to take them straight up or to take the over, as the line is sitting at 9 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Richard Fitts finishing with five strikeouts compared to David Festa with five as well. However, Fitts is projected to finish with a better ERA than Festa, and you could look to take Fitts to finish with more strikeouts if you’re looking for a player prop.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.