Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox Prediction 5/1/2024

The Minnesota Twins (16-13) travel to face off against the Chicago White Sox (6-24) on Wednesday, May 1st. This game will be played at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago and televised on BSN. The Twins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the White Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 2:10 ET.

Twins vs White Sox

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Even though the Twins were favored on the road at -183 on the money line, they still picked up a win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. Both offenses scored two runs in the first inning, and the Twins scored the game’s final run in their half of their 5th, picking up the 6-5 win.

Minnesota’s starter, Simeon Woods Richardson, only went 3 2/3 innings but gave up just one run and one hit. He finished with just two strikeouts and allowed two walks. Caleb Thielbar got the win out of the bullpen, and Jhoan Duran got the save.

Trevor Larnach, Danny Mendick, and Andrew Benintendi each homered for their respective teams. Larnach, Mendick, and Gavin Sheets each had two hits and two RBIs.

Minnesota’s nine-game winning streak has pushed them to 16-13 overall, and they are 3rd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by three games. The Twins have gone 11-7 in divisional matchups this year. The Twins have picked up their winning streak at home and have now won five straight on the road.

As the favorite, the Twins are 14-5 this year, and they are 2-8 when the underdog. So far, they are 9-1 as the road favorite. Minnesota’s overall series record is 3-4-2, and they have won two straight series.

When the Twins are on the road, they have been a good bet against the run line, going 10-7. Their average run margin is +0.5 on the road, and they have an average run margin of +0.3 overall. They have been a favorite in 19 games and an underdog in 10 games.

Minnesota’s games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 14-14. The over/under line for today’s game is 8.5 runs. The Twins have played four games with a higher over/under line than 8.5, and the over/under record in those games is 2-7. Overall, 55.2% of their games have had lower lines than 8.5 runs.

Bailey Ober Gets The Start For The Twins

Looking at Bailey Ober’s season so far, he has picked up wins in each of his first two starts. He went 6 innings in his first start and then went 7 1/3 in his last outing. Ober has racked up 14 strikeouts in 13 1/3 innings of work, and he has given up 3 home runs.

Twins Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Twins are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, the Twins are batting .235, which is 15th in the league, and their collective on-base percentage of .314 is 11th. Minnesota’s offense has been good at hitting for power, as their isolated power (ISO) of .165 is the 3rd best mark in the league.

Ryan Jeffers has been the Twins’ top run producer so far, as his 17 RBIs is 12th in the league, and he is batting .295 with five homers. Edouard Julien is batting just .223 but has seven home runs, which is 4th in the league. Over his last seven games, Willi Castro is hitting .433 with a home run and seven RBIs, while Carlos Santana has four homers in this stretch and is also batting .286.

With a record of 6-24, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 13.5 games. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 2-17. Chicago has dropped two straight games and lost the first two games of this series vs. the Twins.

At home, the White Sox are 5-11 compared to 1-13 on the road. This season, they have yet to win a game as the underdog, going 0-0. Their losing streak as the underdog is currently at two games. So far, they have an overall series record of 1-7-1.

The White Sox have been a good bet on the run line this season, as they are 14-16 overall. They are 10-6 at home and 4-10 on the road. Their average run margin on the season is -2.6 runs per game. They have covered the run line in five straight games at home and are 5-0 as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.0 runs per game.

Today’s over/under line for the Chicago White Sox game against the Minnesota Twins is set at 8.5 runs. The White Sox have played 29 games this season, and their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 14-15, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 4-5. So far this season, 7 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, which is 23.3% of their games.

Chris Flexen Gets The Start For The White Sox

Right-hander Chris Flexen gets the start for the White Sox today and has made four starts this year. He has a record of 1-3 and an ERA of 5.11. So far, Flexen has made one quality start, and his ERA at home is 9.52 compared to 2.71 on the road. In his last outing, Flexen picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run. Before that, he had two straight outings where he didn’t give up a run but didn’t pitch long enough to qualify for the win. Flexen’s ERA for the season is 5.11, and opponents are batting .240 off him this year.

White Sox Offense Breakdown

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As a team, the White Sox are batting just .212 this season, which is 23rd in the league. They are also dead last in the league in home runs and are averaging just 2.8 runs per game. However, they have shown some signs of life of late, as Andrew Benintendi and Eloy Jimenez have both hit three homers over their last eight and nine games, respectively. Benintendi is batting .333 over that stretch, while Jimenez is at .297.

Heading into the game, Benintendi and Jimenez are both tied for the team lead in home runs and are the top two hitters in terms of RBIs. Benintendi’s five-game hitting streak is the longest current streak on the team, and Gavin Sheets also has a five-game streak going. Sheets is batting .279 for the season and has three homers.


Twins vs White Sox Prediction


Our prediction for today’s Twins vs. White Sox game is to take the White Sox on the money line, with the payout currently sitting at +168. We have the White Sox winning this one by a score of 6-5.

Looking at today’s starters, we have Chris Flexen finishing with just five strikeouts, which has him as the seventh worst among starters. As for Bailey Ober, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which has him in the middle of the pack.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.