The Minnesota Twins (57-46) travel to face off against the Detroit Tigers (52-54) on Sunday, July 28th. This game will be played at Comerica Park in Detroit and televised on BSN. The Tigers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Tigers. First pitch is set for 12:40 CT.
Twins vs. Tigers Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Tigers (+149)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- In their last 15 games, the Tigers have scored 5 or more runs in 10 games, showing strong offensive performance.
- The Tigers have won 6 of their last 10 games, indicating a positive recent trend.
- At home, the Tigers have a balanced record of 25-25, but they have won 4 of their last 6 home games.
- In head-to-head matchups against the Twins this season, the Tigers have won 4 out of 7 games.
- The Tigers have outscored the Twins 22-18 in their last 4 head-to-head games, showing a slight edge in recent offensive output.
Twins vs Tigers
Detroit cruised to a 7-2 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Tigers had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Twins, they scored their only two runs in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Tigers were the slight underdogs at -104.
Tarik Skubal pitched well for the Tigers in this one, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with eight strikeouts and picked up a win. Joe Ryan had a rough outing for the Twins, taking the loss after going six innings and giving up three earned runs.
Offensively, the Tigers were led by Colt Keith and Javier Baez, as they were the only two Tigers hitters to have more than one hit and each homered. Keith, Baez, and Matt Vierling each had two RBIs for Detroit’s offense.
Minnesota is 4-6 in their last ten games and are currently tied 1-1 in their series vs. the Tigers. They have a 20-11-1 series record for the season and are 29-21 at home and 28-25 on the road. The Twins are 20-14 against AL Central teams and are 4.5 games behind the Guardians in the division.
When the Twins win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.6 runs in victories. Their run line record is 49-54, and they have hit the over in 53 of their 101 games this season. The over has hit in their last three games, and when the total is set at 8 runs, the under has gone 15-9 in their games.
Bailey Ober Gets The Start For The Twins
Right-hander Bailey Ober is starting for the Twins today as he faces the Tigers on the road. He has made 19 starts this year and has a record of 9-5 with a 4.04 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .223 off Ober this year, and he has a WHIP of 1.06. In his last outing, Ober picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs on four hits. Looking back, he has allowed just one earned run in three of his last four starts. Ober has a total of 10 quality starts this year.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Carlos Correa has been one of the Twins’ top hitters this season, as he is batting .308 and leads the team with 47 RBIs. His 13 homers are the 2nd most on the team, behind the 14 homers from both Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers. Both Santana and Jeffers have also driven in 47 runs. However, Jeffers is batting just .231, and Santana is hitting only .246.
Minnesota has one of the league’s top offenses, as they are 6th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They are also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams and have the 5th best team batting average in the league. So far, they have been a good road team, averaging 4.8 runs per game.
As underdogs, the Tigers have a 30-34 record and are 22-20 as favorites. They have a 54-52 record against the run line, including a 33-23 record on the road and 21-29 at home. Detroit’s games have gone over the total in 58 of 103 games this season, and the O/U line for today is 8 runs, which is typical for Tigers games.
Detroit is 6-4 in their last 10 games and has an average run margin of 3.6 in wins and -3.4 in losses. They are 14-14-4 in series this year and are looking to improve their 25-25 home record with a win today. The Tigers are currently 11 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central with a 52-54 overall record.
Alex Faedo Gets The Start For The Tigers
Detroit is sending Alex Faedo to the mound today vs. the Twins, and he will be looking to build off his last outing out of the bullpen. In that appearance, he went 2 innings vs. the Guardians and didn’t give up a run. Faedo finished with a no-decision in the outing. Leading up to that appearance, he had won two straight games out of the bullpen. Faedo has made 31 appearances this season and one start. His record for the season is 5-1, and he has an ERA of 3.47. Opposing batters are hitting .225 off Faedo this season.
Tigers Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a below-average offensive team in terms of batting average, on-base percentage, and OPS. Detroit’s team on-base percentage of .298 is 20th in the league, and they are averaging 8 strikeouts per game.
Riley Greene has been the Tigers’ top power threat this season, as his 17 home runs lead the team and is 15th in the league. He is also batting .264 for the season. Matt Vierling is 2nd on the team with 13 homers and has a batting average of .255. Baez has been struggling at the plate of late, going just 5/26 in his last seven games.
Twins vs Tigers Prediction
Our pick for this Twins vs. Tigers matchup is to take the Tigers on the money line at +149. We have the Tigers winning this one by a final score of 5-4. With the payout at +149, you could also look to take the Tigers on the run line, as there is some good value there as well.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Bailey Ober finishing with around six strikeouts, which is good for 10th among starters. As for Alex Faedo, we have him finishing with six K’s as well, which is 11th best.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 28, 2024 Tigers, Twins