The Minnesota Twins (32-25) travel to face off against the Houston Astros (25-33) on Saturday, June 1st. This game will be played at Minute Maid Park in Houston and televised on None. The Twins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Astros are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.
Twins vs Astros
It was all Minnesota in the last game of this series, as the Twins took down the Astros by a score of 6-1. The Twins offense only had two more hits than the Astros and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at -104 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Pablo Lopez for the Twins and Ronel Blanco for the Astros. Lopez went seven innings and gave up just one hit and one earned run, picking up a win in the game. On the other side, Blanco was tagged for four homers and four runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work.
Minnesota’s two homers came from Trevor Larnach and Carlos Santana. Larnach, Alex Bregman, and Jorge Polanco each had two RBIs for the Twins’ offense.
Minnesota is 32-25 overall and 6.0 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. The Twins will be on the road today for their matchup with the Astros, and they lead the series 1-0. So far, they have gone 15-11 in divisional games.
The Twins have won two straight games, and they are 8-2 over their last 10. At home, the Twins are 16-13 this season and 16-12 on the road. As the underdog, the Twins are 7-12 this year and 25-13 when favored. Minnesota’s overall series record is 10-6-2, and they have won three straight series.
Minnesota has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 16-12, and their average run differential is +0.5 runs per game. They have been a profitable run line bet as the underdog, going 10-9. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.4 runs per game, while it drops to -4.1 runs per game in losses.
The Minnesota Twins are on the road today against the Houston Astros. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Twins have played 55 games this season, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 25-30, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, the Twins have a record of 7-7. So far this season, 61.4% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.
Joe Ryan Gets The Start For The Twins
Right-hander Joe Ryan gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Astros on the road. He has made 11 starts this season and has a record of 4-3 with a 2.96 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Ryan has a WHIP of .94 and has turned in eight quality starts. In his last outing, Ryan went seven innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. He has won two straight starts and has not allowed more than two earned runs in any of his last five outings. The most home runs he has allowed in a game is one.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Over his last seven games, Alex Kirilloff has gone 6/17 with two homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .266 with a team-high 12 homers. Ryan Jeffers has also been a good power source for the Twins, as he is 11th in the league with 36 RBIs and has gone deep 12 times. Jeffers also comes into the game with a nine-game hitting streak.
As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.5 runs per game and are 4th in the league in road scoring at 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .233, which is 15th in the league, and they are 10th in home runs. Minnesota’s team on-base percentage and batting average are both around league average.
Houston is 3rd in the AL West, trailing the Mariners by 6.5 games. Overall, the Astros are 25-33 and have gone 4-6 over their last ten games. In the AL West, they have a division record of 13-11.
So far, the Astros have gone just 14-16 at home compared to 11-17 on the road. As the favorite, the Astros are 19-26 this year and 6-7 as the underdog. Their losing streak as the favorite is three games, and they are 13-13 as the home favorite this year.
When it comes to the run line, the Astros have been a losing proposition overall this season, going 23-35. That includes a 12-18 mark at home. They have lost their last four games against the run line at home, and they have been favored in 45 games, going 16-29 against the run line. When they are the underdog, they are 7-6 against the run line.
The Houston Astros are at home today against the Minnesota Twins with an over/under line of 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 21-34. The over/under line for their games on average is 9 runs per game. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 3-6. The over has hit in seven straight games for the Astros.
Framber Valdez Gets The Start For The Astros
Left-hander Framber Valdez gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Twins at home. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 3-3 with an ERA of 4.34. Valdez’s WHIP for the season is 1.34, and opponents are batting .277 off him this year. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings. Valdez has made four quality starts this year.
Astros Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the MLB’s top team in terms of avoiding strikeouts, and they also have the league’s 2nd best team batting average at .258. Overall, they are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. At home, they have been even better, averaging 4.8 runs per contest.
Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker have been the Astros’ top power bats this season, with both players having gone deep 9 times. Tucker’s 39 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 8th in the league. Jose Altuve is also in the top 10 in the MLB in batting average, hitting .291 for the season. He is currently on a 6-game hitting streak.
Twins vs Astros Prediction
Our prediction for this Twins vs. Astros matchup is to take the Astros on the money line at -126. We actually have the Astros winning this one by a score of 6-4. Looking at the starting pitchers, Framber Valdez is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and he ranks fourth in terms of starters in the strikeout department.
For Joe Ryan, we have him finishing with five strikeouts, and he ranks seventh worst among starters. Looking at the Twins lineup, they are projected to finish with nine hits compared to the Astros, who we have racking up 11.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 1, 2024 Astros, Twins