The Minnesota Twins (58-47) travel to face off against the New York Mets (56-50) on Tuesday, July 30th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on SNY. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Twins vs. Mets Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Mets (-134)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Mets have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game in their last 15 games.
- The Mets have won 10 out of their last 15 games, showing strong recent performance.
- The Mets have a home record of 29-28, while the Twins have an away record of 29-26, indicating a slight home-field advantage for the Mets.
- The Mets have outscored their opponents by a total of 30 runs in their last 15 games.
- The Mets have won 7 out of their last 10 home games.
Twins vs Mets
New York cruised to a 15-2 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 4th inning, scoring six of their fifteen runs. As for the Twins, they scored their only two runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -113 on the money line.
Jose Quintana pitched well for the Mets in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but did issue one walk. Simeon Woods Richardson had a rough outing for the Twins, taking the loss after going just 3 1/3 innings and giving up six runs.
Pete Alonso and Luis Torrens each homered for the Mets, while Alonso, Jeff McNeil, Francisco Lindor, and Tyrone Taylor each had three RBIs. Alonso, Lindor, and J.D. Martinez each scored three times for New York’s offense.
Minnesota is 58-47 overall this season and trails the Guardians by 5.5 games in the AL Central, but they lead the AL Wild Card race by 1.5 games. The Twins have a 21-14 record against other teams in the AL Central.
As favorites, the Twins are 46-27, but as underdogs, they are 12-20. Their over/under record is 54-49, and the average total runs in their games is 9.3. When the total line is 8.5, their O/U record is 14-14, and only 11.4% of their games have had lines of 8.5 or higher.
David Festa Gets The Start For The Twins
David Festa and the Twins are on the road to take on the Mets today. Festa is making his 3rd start of the season, and he has a win and a loss under his belt so far. In his first start, he went 5 innings and gave up 2 earned runs, and then in his last outing, he went 4 1/3 and gave up 1 earned run.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Minnesota’s offense has been one of the better units in the league this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. The Twins are also among the league leaders in team on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.
Ryan Jeffers and Carlos Santana have been the Twins’ top power threats this season, with Jeffers leading the team with 15 homers and Santana right behind him with 14. Jeffers also comes into the game as the team’s current leader in RBIs. Over his last eight games, Max Kepler is hitting .333, and Byron Buxton has three homers in this stretch.
After winning the first game of their series against the Twins, the Mets are 57-50 overall this season and have won seven of their last 10 games. They are currently third in the NL East, nine games behind the Phillies.
For the season, the over has hit in 57 of the Mets’ 103 games, and their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game. Against the run line, they are 51-55 straight up and 27-17 as underdogs. At home, the Mets are 29-28 straight up and 24-33 vs. the run line.
Sean Manaea Gets The Start For The Mets
Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today and comes in with a record of 6-4 and an ERA of 3.74. Looking back at his last outing, Manaea finished with a no-decision against the Yankees, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Against the Marlins on July 19th, he gave up five earned runs in five innings of work. Manaea’s ERA at home is 5.0 compared to 3.24 on the road. Overall, he has made six quality starts this year.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Mets are the league’s 4th best home run hitting team and are also among the league leaders in runs per game. Overall, they are averaging 4.9 runs per contest, and that number jumps up to 5.3 on the road. As a team, the Mets are batting .250, which is 10th best in the league.
Both Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor come into the game with 22 home runs, which is 11th best in the league. Lindor has gone deep five times over his last eight games while batting .294 in that stretch. Jeff McNeil has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/30 in his last eight games.
Twins vs Mets Prediction
We see the Mets taking this one at home with a predicted final score of 6-5. Given that they are at -134 on the money line, this is the way we would recommend playing this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Sean Manaea finishing with five strikeouts, which has him at 14th among starters. As for David Festa, he has a predicted strikeout total of five, which has him at 17th.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 30, 2024 Mets, Twins