Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Prediction 6/5/2024

The Minnesota Twins (33-27) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (43-19) on Wednesday, June 5th. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on BSN. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 6:05 CT.

Twins vs Yankees

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New York cruised to a 5-1 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 3rd inning, scoring two of their five runs and picking up three of their six hits. As for the Twins, they scored their only run in the 7th and finished with just two hits.

Luis Gil pitched well for the Yankees in this one, going six innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Bailey Ober took the loss for Minnesota. Ober went five innings and gave up three earned runs.

Giancarlo Stanton and Gleyber Torres each homered for the Yankees, while Aaron Judge scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/3. Royce Lewis hit the game’s only other home run for the Twins.

Minnesota is 33-27 overall and trails the Guardians by seven games in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 15-11 against other teams in their division. The Twins are on the road today, and they are 17-14 on the road this year.

As the favorite, the Twins have put together a record of 25-13 this year. They are 8-14 when listed as the underdog, and they have an overall series record of 11-6-2 this year. Minnesota has won four straight series and two straight series on the road. Their overall record in the series is 11-6-2.

When the Twins win, they do so by an average of 3.4 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 4.0 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 28-32, with a run line record of 17-14 on the road. As the favorite, they are 17-21 against the run line, and as the underdog, they are 11-11.

The Minnesota Twins are on the road today against the New York Yankees, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Twins have had an average combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 25-33. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 4-11. Overall, 65.0% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and they are currently on a streak of four consecutive games going under the total.

Chris Paddack Gets The Start For The Twins

Right-hander Chris Paddack gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Yankees on the road. So far this season, he has made 11 starts and has a record of 4-2 with an ERA of 4.57. Paddack’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.38. In his 11 appearances, he has turned in three quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t factor into the decision, giving up four earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Paddack has not taken the loss in any of his last three outings.

Twins Offense Breakdown

For the season, the Twins are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. However, they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .229 and their on-base percentage of .302 is also below average. One thing they have done well is hit for power, as their isolated power (ISO) of .163 is the 4th best mark in the league.

Ryan Jeffers has been the Twins’ top power threat this season, as his 12 home runs are the most on the team and 8th most in the league. He is also 13th in the league with 36 RBIs. However, he has gone just 3/13 in his last four games. Willi Castro comes into the game with a batting average of .257 and has gone deep four times this season.

With an overall record of 43-19, the Yankees lead the AL East by 2.5 games over the Orioles. The Yankees are on a six-game winning streak, and they are 8-2 across their last ten games. At home, the Yankees are 19-8 this year and have gone 24-11 on the road.

So far, the Yankees are 8-8 in AL East games, and they have won three straight games as the home favorite. As the favorite overall, the Yankees are 32-15 this year, and they have gone 11-4 as the underdog. New York’s series record is an impressive 15-2-2 this year, and they have won three straight series overall and five straight series on the road.

When the Yankees win, they tend to win big, averaging a run differential of 3.7 runs per game. That’s helped them to a run line record of 36-26 overall, including a 14-13 mark at home. The Yankees have been favored in 47 of their 62 games, going 24-23 against the run line in those contests.

When the New York Yankees play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.0 runs per game this season. Overall, the Yankees’ over/under record is 27-33, with a 14-11 record when the line is set at 8.5 runs. So far this season, 41.9% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs.

Carlos Rodón Gets The Start For The Yankees

Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today and comes into the game with a record of 7-2 and an ERA of 3.09. So far, he has made 12 starts and eight of them have been quality starts. Rodón has a WHIP of 1.13 and is averaging 8.33 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Rodón gave up three earned runs in six innings of work, coming out with the win. Before that, he had back-to-back outings without giving up an earned run. Rodón has given up a homer in three straight starts.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

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Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they are also the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .255, which is the 3rd best mark in the league, and they also have the best on-base percentage and OPS in the league.

Both Juan Soto and Aaron Judge have been swinging the bat well of late, with Soto hitting .344 and Judge batting .394 over their last nine games. Judge has five homers in that stretch, and Soto has three. Judge’s 21 homers this season is the best mark in the league, and Soto is 3rd in the MLB with 53 RBIs.

Twins vs Yankees Prediction

Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Twins matchup is that the Yankees will come out on top by a score of 6-5. However, with the payout for a Yankees win being -191, we recommend taking the over, with the line being set at 8.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we do have Carlos Rodón finishing with more strikeouts than Chris Paddack. Rodón is projected to finish with six K’s, which is good for eighth among starters. As for Paddack, he is projected to finish with six as well, but his strikeout projection is seventh.

Offensively, we have the Yankees finishing with eight hits and the Twins with nine. However, the Yankees are projected to hit more home runs, with them finishing with five and the Twins with just two.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.