The Minnesota Twins (70-55) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (71-55) on Tuesday, August 20th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on None. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.
Twins vs. Padres Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Padres (-105)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- The Padres have won 10 of their last 15 games, indicating strong recent form.
- San Diego has scored an average of 6.2 runs per game over their last 15 games, showcasing their offensive strength.
- The Padres have a 7-3 record in their last 10 home games, demonstrating a home-field advantage.
- San Diego has outscored their opponents by 30 runs in the last 15 games, reflecting their overall dominance.
- The Padres have a 3-1 record in their last 4 home games against the Twins, suggesting favorable head-to-head performance.
Twins vs Padres
San Diego picked up a 5-3 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 3rd inning, scoring all five of their runs. As for the Twins, they scored their first run in the 1st inning and added two more in the 9th.
Michael King started for the Padres and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued three walks. Zebby Matthews got the start for the Twins and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work.
Christian Vazquez was the only player in the Twins lineup to have more than one hit. He went 2/4 with an RBI. Jackson Merrill had a three RBI game at the plate for the Padres, going 1/4.
Minnesota is 70-55 overall and 2.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. They have won two straight series and have an overall series record of 24-13-3. The Twins have covered the run line in 62 games this season, with a 35-30 record on the road.
For games with a total of 7.5 runs, the Twins have a 19-14 O/U record. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game this season, and the over has hit in their last two games.
Bailey Ober Gets The Start For The Twins
Right-hander Bailey Ober is getting the start for the Twins today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 12-5 with a 3.49 ERA. Ober’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.00, and opponents are batting .205 off him this year. In his 23 appearances, he has turned in 14 quality starts and is averaging 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Ober’s most recent outing came against the Rangers, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Carlos Santana has been the Twins’ top power threat this season, as his 18 home runs are 2nd best in the lineup. However, he has struggled at the plate of late, going just 3/20 in his last six games. Ryan Jeffers and Willi Castro have also been driving in runs at a good rate, as Jeffers leads the team with 57 RBIs, and Castro is 4th in that category and has 10 homers this season.
Overall, the Twins have been a good offensive club this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game (8th) and have been even better at home, where they are averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are among the league leaders in both slugging percentage and OPS.
San Diego has been a strong run line team on the road, going 41-22, but they’ve struggled at home with a 25-38 record vs. the run line. Overall, they are 66-60 vs. the run line. The Padres are 7-3 in their last ten games and have a 71-55 record for the season, three games behind the Dodgers in the NL West.
This season, the over/under record in Padres games is 67-58, with an average of 9.0 runs per game. In games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, the over has hit 59.5% of the time, with a 75-51 record. Today’s O/U line is set at 7.5 runs.
Martín Pérez Gets The Start For The Padres
Left-hander Martín Pérez gets the start for the Padres today as he faces off against the Twins at home. So far this season, he has made 19 starts and has a record of 3-5 with an ERA of 4.62. In his last outing, Pérez picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just one earned run on five hits. Looking back further, he has allowed two earned runs in three straight starts. One area of concern for Pérez is his WHIP, which currently sits at 1.49. This year, opponents are batting .281 off Pérez.
Padres Offense Breakdown
San Diego’s offense comes into today’s game as the league’s top hitting team, with a batting average of .265. They are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league, and they are averaging 4.8 runs per game. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest.
Jurickson Profar and Manny Machado are the Padres’ top home run hitters this season, with 19 apiece. Profar’s 73 RBIs are the best mark on the team, while Machado is 2nd at 71. Machado is also hitting .269 for the season, and Profar comes into the game with a batting average of .290. Jackson Merrill has gone 6/16 in his last four games and is also on a four-game hitting streak.
Twins vs Padres Prediction
Our prediction for this Twins vs. Padres matchup is to take the Padres on the money line at -105. We have the final score at 6-5 in favor of the Padres, and with the payout being close to even, we feel good about the value on the Padres to pick up a win.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Martin Perez finishing with four strikeouts compared to Bailey Ober with five. Perez is also projected to go longer in this one, Ober is 19th among starters in terms of projected innings.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:August 20, 2024 Padres, Twins